NBA Retrospective

We acknowledge the basketball and analytics contributions of Dikembe Mutombo and regrettably announce his passing. RIP, Dikembe.

Thank you to all who listened to this podcast. Join me for this episode as we chronicle NBA Retrospective's genesis, its peaks, and ultimately, its conclusion.

We discuss Four Factors performances by the Celtics, Lakers, Suns, and Heat and discuss the question of when to fire first year head coaches given success of Heat's Eric Spoelstra.

We discuss the Four Factors model for the 2007-08 season, the surprising number of significant predictors, and the future of NBA Retrospective.

We discuss the 2007-08 playoffs and assess how teams fared compared with their Elo simulation. We also provide deeper statistical analysis for the Celtics, Lakers, Suns, and Heat. Finally, we note some interesting parallels between the 2007-08 season and the 2023-24 season.

We simulate the 2007-08 season using Elo and report on the strength of the simulation and anomalous teams. We also discuss a blockbuster trade and striking conference disparity.

We compare the 2018 Rockets and Warriors using the Four Factors model and reveal how the Warriors got it done.

We set up the 2017-18 Western Conference Finals series between the Warriors and Rockets by comparing Elo simulations for both teams. We also recognize that statistics is not everyone's cup of Mountain Dew and recommend some episodes for those folks, including this one!

We discuss Four Factors performances by the Warriors, Cavs, and 76ers and reveal the key metric that led the Warriors to the Promised Land.

We discuss how the Four Factors model predicts wins in 2017-18. Shooting is strongest predictor this year. Thank you, KD, Steph, and LeBron.