NBA Gambling Podcast

NBA Win Totals For Teams With New Head Coaches (Ep. 100)


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In episode 100 of NBA Gambling Podcast , hosts Ryan McKee ( https://twitter.com/TheRyanMcKee ) and Zach Broner ( https://twitter.com/NBAZachB ) discuss the NBA win totals for the eight teams with new head coaches. While there is still a number of moves that can still happen in the next 20 days before NBA's 2020/21 season begins, bookmakers have released win totals and that means we can start betting on them! It's important to keep in mind that this will be a 72 game regular season, rather than the normal 82 games. That will skew how we traditionally analyze win projections.
Subscribe to NBA Gambling Podcast on Apple ( http://sg.pn/nba ) and Spotify ( http://sg.pn/nbas ).
New Head Coaches' NBA Win Totals
--------------------------------
Ryan and Zach will preview every team and their projected NBA win totals before the season begins. Since they had to choose somewhere to begin, they figured these influx teams are a good place to start. The Brooklyn Nets, New York Knicks, Chicago Bulls, New Orleans Pelicans, Indiana Pacers, Philadelphia 76ers, Los Angeles Clippers, Houston Rockets and Oklahoma City Thunder all have new head coaches. With those coaches come new systems, strategies, locker room culture, and philosophies. That's a lot for any team to incorporate in an off-season, especially one as drastically shortened as this current off-season.
Notes For The Podcast
---------------------
Below is the outline that Ryan prepared for the podcast recording. It provides the projected NBA win totals for each team, along with other factors to consider. It's not a complete breakdown of all the pertinent information, but it's a start. Expect a full article previewing all 30 teams in the coming weeks.
Brooklyn Nets
-------------
Projected win total: 45.5
Equivalent in an 82 game season: 52
5th highest total in league: 1 more game than Nuggets, Heat, 76ers
2020 win total: 35
Total games played: 72
*Coach*
Out: Kenny Atkinson
In: Steve Nash (and Amare Stoudemire, haha)
*Player movement*
Resigned: Joe Harris and Tyler Johnson
Signed: Jeff Green
Lost: Garrett Temple
Kyrie and KD healthy again
*Players they still might move?*
Spencer Dinwiddie
Caris LeVert
Jarrett Allen
That number has been currently taken down from some sportsbooks.
New York Knicks
---------------
Projected win total: 22.5
Equivalent in an 82 game season: 25.5
Lowest in league along with Cleveland
2020 win total: 21
Total games played: 66
*Coach*
Out: David Fizdale
In: Tom Thibodeau
*Player movement*
Signed: MKG, Austin Rivers, Nerlens Noel, Elfrid Payton, Alec Burks
Drafted: Obi Toppin, Immanuel Quickley
Chicago Bulls
-------------
Projected win total: 29.5
Equivalent in an 82 game season: 33.5
Tied with Washington Wizards total
*Coach*
Out: Jim Boylen
In: Billy Donovan
2020 win total: 22
Total games played: 65
*Player movement*
Resigned: Otto Porter (probably)
Lost: Shaquille Harrison, Kris Dunn
Drafted: Patrick Williams
New Orleans Pelicans
--------------------
Projected win total: 36.5
Equivalent in an 82 game season: 41.5
Tied with GS Warriors’ total
*Coach*
Out: Alvin Gentry
In: Stan Van Gundy
2020 win total: 30
Total games played: 72
*Player movement*
Traded for: Eric Bledsoe, Steven Adams
Lost: Jrue Holiday, Derrick Favors
Resigned: Brandon Ingram
Signed: Willy Hernangomez
Drafted: Kira Lewis
Indiana Pacers
--------------
Projected NBA win totals: 39.5
Equivalent in an 82 game season: 44
1 game below Portland, 1 game above Phx
*Coach*
Out: Nate McMillan
In: Nate Bjorkgren - BEE-ork-gren (comes from Nick Nurse coaching tree)
2020 win total: 45
Total games played: 73
*Player movement*
Resigned: Justin Holiday, Jakar Sampson
Signed: Kelan Martin
Drafted: Cassius Stanley
Lots of trade rumors around them, but nothing has happened yet.
LA Clippers
-----------
Projected NBA win totals: 46.5
Equivalent in an 82 game season: 53
3rd highest in league, tied with Celtics
*Coach*
Out: Doc Rivers
In: Tyronn Lue
2020 win total: 49
Total games played: 72
*Player movement*
Lost: JaMychal Green, Montrezl Harrell, Reggie Jackson, Landry Shamet
Resigned: Marcus Morris, Patrick Patterson
Signed: Serge Ibaka, Ky Bowman
Traded for: Luke Kennard, Justin Patton
Drafted: Daniel Oturu (2nd round)
Philadelphia 76ers
------------------
Projected NBA win totals: 44.5
Equivalent in an 82 game season: 50.5
Tied with Nuggets and Heat
*Coach*
Out: Brett Brown
In: Doc Rivers
2020 win total: 43
Total games played: 73
*Player movement*
Drafted: Tyrese Maxey
Traded for: Seth Curry, Danny Green, Terrance Ferguson
Signed: Dwight Howard
Lost: Josh Richardson, Al Horford
Houston Rockets
---------------
Projected NBA win totals: 35.5
1 game below Pels and Warriors
*Coach*
Out: Mike D'Antoni
In: Stephen Silas
2020 win total: 44
Total games played: 72
*Player movement*
Lost: Austin Rivers, Jeff Green, Robert Covington
Signed: Christian Wood, Boogie Cousins
Feels like a lot up in the air still.
Oklahoma City Thunder
---------------------
Projected NBA win totals: 23.5
Equivalent in an 82 game season: 27
Second from bottom, tied with Pistons
Coach
Out: Billy Donovan
In: Mark Daigneault (DAYG-nalt)
2020 win total: 44
Total games played: 72
Player movement
Lost: Chris Paul, Danilo Gallinari, Steven Adams, Dennis Schroder
Traded for: Al Horford, TJ Leaf, George Hill, Kenrich Williams, Trevor Ariza, Justin Jackson, Ty Jerome, Frank Jackson
Essentially building for future around Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Lu Dort?
NBA Win Totals Related (Kinda)
------------------------------
NBA Free Agency & Title Odds Movement | NBA Gambling Podcast (Ep. 99) ( https://www.sportsgamblingpodcast.com/2020/11/24/nba-free-agency-title-odds-movement-nba-gambling-podcast-ep-99/ )
Fantasy Basketball Sleepers for 2021 ( https://www.sportsgamblingpodcast.com/2020/11/30/fantasy-basketball-sleepers-2021-nba/ )
Ryan McKee’s new book Modest Proposal Anthology ( https://www.amazon.com/dp/1641379766 ) available on Amazon and anywhere else you buy books.
Follow - Twitter ( https://twitter.com/thesgpnetwork ) | Instagram ( https://www.instagram.com/sportsgamblingpodcast/ )
Support for this episode - MyBookie ( https://record.webpartners.co/_r3-BH6SjvRkWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/7/ ) code "SGP" | ThriveFantasy.com ( http://thrivefantasy.com/ ) code “SGP” | AcePerHead.com/SGP ( http://AcePerHead.com/SGP )
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