Munaf Manji and Rod Villagomez talk AFC West position battles.

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Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Friday.

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RJ bell, Steve Fezzik and Scott Seidenberg talk NFL Preseason and much more.

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Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the BMW Championship and best outright

Will Doctor opens with energy, introducing the BMW Championship at Caves Valley as week two of the FedExCup Playoffs and recapping a dramatic Memphis finish where Justin Rose, at 175–1 odds, claimed his 12th PGA Tour title by birdieing four of his last five holes to beat J.J. Spaun. Rose described his win as stoic, marked by determination and calmness, admitting that focus on execution muted his joy in the moment. Tommy Fleetwood, seeking his first PGA Tour win, led after 54 holes but faltered, finishing second; he emphasized gratitude for fan support and the importance of learning from close calls.

Scottie Scheffler briefly shared the final-round lead but lost nearly 1.5 strokes putting on Sunday, missing the playoff by one. Key FedExCup changes saw Kitayama, Cauley, Fowler, Vegas, and Poston move into the top 50 while Potgieter, Spieth, Knapp, Clark, and Martin dropped out. Fowler, who finished T6, knew roughly a top 10 was needed and edged Chris Kirk by one shot to advance. Doctor defended Fowler against criticism over sponsor exemptions, blaming reduced field sizes for controversy, and highlighted that Memphis drew 3.6 million viewers, the best since 2018.

Doctor’s betting card suffered as Scheffler’s Sunday putting cost multiple wagers. Brad Payne, caddying for Scheffler, noted good putts simply didn’t fall, while Scheffler praised Spaun’s grit. A win came via Jacob Bridgman over Potgieter, but Xander Schauffele, Wyndham Clark, and Harris English underperformed. On the European Tour, a bet on Christopher Broberg failed as Grant Forrest prevailed.

Ryder Cup standings for Team USA show locks in Scheffler, Spaun, Schauffele, Henley, DeChambeau, English, and Thomas, with Morikawa, Bradley, McNeely, and Novak on the bubble. Contenders like Young, Cantlay, and Goderup remain in play. Cantlay endorsed Bradley’s inclusion if he were captain. Team Europe’s locks include McIlroy, Rose, Fleetwood, McIntyre, Hatton, Straka, Lowry, Oberg, Hovland, and Fitzpatrick, with Højgaard and Wallace vulnerable; Jon Rahm will take a spot, and others could qualify with strong finishes.

Caves Valley’s redesign features rebuilt greens, narrowed fairways, and lengthened holes, now a par 70 over 7,600 yards. Doctor reviewed top contenders: Scheffler’s form remains strong despite a caddie change, McIlroy’s driving accuracy is a concern, Schauffele and Thomas struggle with consistency, Fleetwood and Oberg offer solid form but questionable value, and Cantlay’s price is too short given recent results.

This week’s picks include Fowler over Lowry, Sam Burns for a top 10, Matthew Fitzpatrick outright at 40–1, and Denny McCarthy as sleeper top 10. First round leaders are Scheffler and Burns. The DraftKings lineup features Young, Burns, Fitzpatrick, Fowler, McCarthy, and Novak, with Scheffler as best bet for top American. Doctor also tips Sami Välimäki to win the Danish Golf Championship at 35–1, citing improved iron play and consistent driving and putting.

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Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk College Football Group of Five betting.

0:05 – 0:31 Opening motivational speech emphasizing speed, defensive swarming, and physical dominance — “Out-block, out-tackle, out-hit, out-hustle” — with a repeated call to “leave no doubt tonight.”

0:31 – 1:19 Griffin Warner Introduces the College Football Podcast episode focusing on Group of Five teams, following a prior episode on the Power Four. Announces a promo code and a college football contest, noting the goal is to identify season-long betting opportunities. Date: Tuesday,

1:45 – 2:33 Griffin Warner Explains that Group of Five games offer strong betting opportunities. Begins with Army (West Point) win total: Over 7.5 at +110, Under 7.5 at -140 on BetOnline.

2:35 – 4:41 Lonte Smith — Army Analysis

2023 Recap: 12–2, AAC champions, led by QB Bryson Daly (dark horse Heisman) and RB Kanye Udo.

Losses: Daly to graduation, Udo to Arizona State, two Joe Moore Award-winning offensive tackles, best defensive player to Georgia.

Returning Talent: Six of top ten tacklers; LB corps Miller & Thomas praised.

Concerns: Offensive drop-off, new OL coach, challenging schedule (Tulane, UTSA, Navy, Air Force).

Projection: 7–5 ceiling, 6–6 floor → leans Under 7.5.

Army’s 2024 slate includes K-State, North Texas, Tulane, Air Force, Navy (in Baltimore). Lonte favors Navy among service academies, citing better returning production and depth.

Odds: Over 7.5 (-125), Under 7.5 (-105).

2023: 8–6 record.

Roster: Only 3 starters return (1 offense, 2 defense). Poor 2023 rush defense (224 YPG).

Key Additions: QB Maverick McIver (Abilene Christian, 3,500+ yds, 37 TDs), OC Rick Bowie (former Abilene OC). WR Matt Henry (1,100+ yds at Western Illinois).

Concerns: OL continuity, defensive holes, rush defense.

Schedule: Winnable home games; road tests at Toledo, Delaware, Missouri State. Projection: ~8.6 wins → leans Over 7.5.

15:43 – 20:22 Bowling Green (MAC)

Odds: Over 6.5 (+200), Under 6.5 (-260).

2023: 7–6 (6–2 MAC).

Changes: New HC Eddie George; ranked 130th in returning production; offense loses top TE hero Fanning (drafted by Browns).

Defense: Loses 13 of top 15 tacklers but adds FCS standouts (including Eddie George’s son).

Schedule: Lafayette, Cincinnati, Liberty, Louisville early; Toledo and Buffalo at home.

Projection: Depth concerns, brutal early stretch → Under (expects ~4–8).

Odds: Over/Under 6.5 (-115).

2023: 5–7 after starting 1–7, finished on 4-game win streak.

Roster: 9 returning starters (6 offense, 3 defense). QB battle (Johnson favored). OL returns 3 starters plus 2 with experience.

Defense: Allowed 23 PPG; DL led by Peyton Zurch.

Schedule: Bucknell, Boise, Navy, Wyoming, Army, UNLV, SJSU, UConn.

Projection: Manageable slate, strong finish expected → Over 6.5 (7–8 wins).

Odds: Over 7.5 (+130), Under (-160).

2023: 8–5.

Roster: 10 starters return (5 offense, 5 defense). QB J.C. French (2,500+ yds, 17 TDs, 11 INTs, 66% comp). Deep WR corps; strong OL with most combined starts in Sun Belt.

Defense: Needs rush D improvement; strong secondary led by Chance Gamble.

Schedule: Fresno, USC, Jacksonville State, JMU, Coastal, ODU, Marshall.

Projection: Favors in most conference games except JMU → Over 7.5 (floor 8 wins).

No strong playoff contenders from teams covered; JMU strong but blocked by JMU matchup for Georgia Southern.

Boise State (2–1 to make playoffs) downgraded without RB Ashton Jeanty.

Long-shot pick: South Florida (33–1) if QB Byron Brown stays healthy; avoid betting until after tough Miami/Florida stretch.

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Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB betting for Tuesday.

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Munaf Manji and Rod Villagomez talk NFL fantasy AFC South position battles.

[Munaf Manji | 0:06–0:40]

[Rod Villagomez | 0:40–1:40]

[Munaf Manji | 1:41–2:28]

[Rod Villagomez | 2:29–4:06]

[Munaf Manji | 4:07–5:41]

[Rod Villagomez | 5:42–7:47]

[Munaf Manji | 7:48–9:09]

[Rod Villagomez | 9:23–11:16]

[Munaf Manji | 11:17–12:23]

[Rod Villagomez | 12:24–15:22]

[Munaf Manji | 15:23–16:31]

[Rod Villagomez | 16:32–18:41]

[Munaf Manji | 18:42–19:59]

[Rod Villagomez | 20:00–22:28]

[Munaf Manji | 23:59–25:27]

[Rod Villagomez | 25:28–25:46]

[Munaf Manji | 25:47–26:23]

[Rod Villagomez | 26:24–28:14]

[Munaf Manji | 28:15–29:33]

[Rod Villagomez | 29:34–31:13]

[Munaf Manji | 31:13–32:08]

[Rod Villagomez | 32:09–32:46]

[Munaf Manji | 32:47–33:54]

[Rod Villagomez | 35:20–37:52]

[Munaf Manji | 37:53–40:00]

[Rod Villagomez & Munaf Manji | 40:01–45:54]

[Rod Villagomez | 45:55–end]

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Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB betting for Friday.

📉 Fading Mitch Keller: Keller has a 5.75 ERA against Cincinnati in his career and has allowed 3 ER in each start post-All-Star break.

🎯 Brewers as Best Bet: Brandon Woodruff has 37 K and 4 BB in 28.1 IP with a 0.64 WHIP, and the Brewers are undefeated in his 6 starts this season.

🔼 Astros Momentum: Hunter Brown is back in form with 12 IP, 2 ER in last two outings. Yankees' reliance on home runs a liability.

🚀 Mariners Undervalued: Seattle at home with Luis Castillo is priced cheaply against a travel-weary Rays team, with Drew Rasmussen likely limited.

🔥 Guardians Surging: Cleveland swept the Mets and is climbing in the AL Central. Tanner Bibee is a concern, but Aaron Civale is in great form.

🧨 Rangers Underdog Value: Merrill Kelly is a strong underdog play vs. Phillies; Texas is 10-2 at home since the All-Star break.

🔒 Twins Depend on Joe Ryan: Joe Ryan is 7-0, 1.30 ERA in 9 starts vs. KC. Royals pitcher Seth Lugo has 8 BB in last 2 starts.

🧮 Over in Arizona: Rockies’ Gomber and Diamondbacks’ Gallen create a perfect storm for hitting; game total over 9 is attractive.

💰 Fade the Dodgers: Dodgers always overpriced; Jays’ offense is rolling, and Scherzer's recent form is solid.

💥 Nick Pivetta Dominance: At home, Pivetta is 7-0 with a 1.99 ERA in 12 starts, making the Padres a strong play.

Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh [2:45–6:23]

Astros vs Yankees [6:24–10:11]

A’s vs Orioles [10:12–14:09]

Angels vs Tigers [14:10–17:03]

Marlins vs Braves [17:04–21:23]

Guardians vs White Sox [21:24–24:46]

Phillies vs Rangers [24:47–28:10]

Mets vs Brewers [28:11–31:15]

Royals vs Twins [31:25–35:14]

Rays vs Mariners [46:39–50:15]

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Scott Seidenberg and Steve Fezzik talk all things NFL this week.

🔉 Scott Seidenberg (00:04 - 03:40) predicted Matthew Stafford might miss the first two regular-season games due to back issues. He recommended betting under Stafford’s 3,750 passing yards, which later adjusted to 3,600 yards, reinforcing his view as information from Ian Rapoport confirmed an aggravated disc and epidural injections.

📉 Steve Fezzik (03:42) underscored epidurals only mask pain and don't cure the injury, supporting the under bet. He further advocated betting Rams under 10 wins or missing the playoffs.

📊 Line movement insight (04:34): Rams moved from -3 to -2.5 vs. Texans. If Jimmy G starts due to Stafford’s absence, Seidenberg speculated the line might swing to Rams -1.5 or even Texans pick’em, emphasizing Houston's +2 power rating versus Rams' -2, potentially setting Houston -4 on neutral, or -3 in LA.

💡 Week 2 warning (06:22): No change in line Rams -5.5 at Titans, making it a value opportunity if Stafford remains out. Fezzik liked Titans +5.5 due to their "bet-on" team profile.

⚠️ Seidenberg’s fear (07:31): Titans could be the “sharp’s darling disappointment” like last year’s Panthers. Fezzik argued Panthers were victims of defensive injuries, not poor form.

🧠 Survivor Strategy: Parsons’ absence could impact Cowboys @ Eagles. Fezzik emphasized picking Eagles in survivor pools rather than betting -7, since early success reduces entry value risk, quoting:

“Your entry, moron, isn’t even worth $1000... and you haven’t won yet.” (14:05)

🔥 Burrow Plays: Bengals starters including Joe Burrow will open vs. Eagles. Play Bengals 1Q -0.5 (-170) as Eagles start Tanner McKee. Total: 37—Fezzik prefers Week 1 unders when totals exceed 37.

🔄 Raiders vs Seahawks: Pete Carroll (28-20 preseason) may care more facing former team. Avoid assuming no motivation.

📊 Quarter and half-line strategies: Favor betting 1st quarters/halves with starter insights. Seidenberg said:

“Starters for one or two drives? Bet the first quarter. Avoid the full game.”

Fezzik’s critical note:

“In the preseason, the number is just wrong... I actually think I want to lay the six.” (19:20)

He emphasized blindly betting steam-chased lines at 6–8 AM PST is profitable.

Week 2 targets:

Bengals vs Commanders (ESPN MNF): Bet Bengals (starters will play more).

Eagles vs Browns: Eagles are undervalued as Browns starters won’t play (Flacco gets reps in joint practice).

Fezzik dismissed betting Eagles in preseason:

“Sirianni is McVay. He doesn’t care.” (21:25)

Scott Seidenberg’s 2026 insight:

“New Bills Stadium blocks wind. In wind games, totals get steamed down… we’ll bet the over.”

Contrast: Northwestern’s temp field = wind risk.

Alt win totals:

Saints under 5.5 = -110

Saints under 4.5 = +140

Saints under 2.5 = +500

“If you get more than 100 cents selling a win, it's good.”

🧠 Teaser Math Lesson:

Two-team teaser at -120 = two -280 moneylines

Not all -7 spreads have equal MLs:

Eagles -7 = ML -340

Commanders -7 = ML -290

49ers -7 = ML -325

Fezzik shared 10 out of 50 bootcamp tips:

Poker tip: Join new tables—new players = easier money.

Diamond status trick: 10x points at Caesars + 30 mins = free hotel stays.

Bonus bets: Use for parlays/long shots, not ATS.

Soft markets: Bet golf, tennis, obscure sports.

Pitcher importance: In HR Derby, pitcher matters more than hitter.

Pace betting: Target live college basketball first-half overs/unders.

3-leg parlays: Better odds than 4-legs; lower juice.

Avoid 4-leg parlays: Effective juice = -140, worse value.

Betting Round Robins: Mix +EV 3-leggers for long-term win.

Medical checkups: Best EV tip—"Get tested."

3-leg teaser (+180) is more +EV than 2-leg at -120. Fezzik warns against 4-leg teasers unless they pay 3:1 or more.

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Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the action at TPC Southwind.
Description:

🏆 Cameron Young’s breakthrough: Won Wyndham by six strokes, gaining over 10 strokes putting, his first PGA Tour victory after seven runner-up finishes.

📊 Ryder Cup implications: Young’s win propels him to 15th in USA points; Keegan Bradley, Collin Morikawa, and Maverick McNeely face selection pressure.

🔥 Scotty Scheffler dominance: Coming off his fourth win of the season; projected by Will to win at TPC Southwind.

🎯 Course demands: TPC Southwind requires accurate driving, high-trajectory iron shots, and sharp short games, especially on firm Bermuda greens.

⛳ Harris English sleeper: Ranked 7th in FedEx Cup, with strong past results at Southwind (win in 2013, T4 in 2021).

📉 Betting recap: Previous picks down 4.7 units; highlights include Chris Kirk’s T5 and Ben Griffin’s T11, but misfires on Kevin Kisner and Lucas Glover.

📋 DFS lineups: DraftKings core includes Scheffler, Matsuyama, Bridgman, and Highsmith.

📌 Rory McIlroy controversy: Will criticizes McIlroy for skipping the playoff opener, calling it “pathetic” given FedEx sponsorship stakes.

💡 Key matchups & picks: Jacob Bridgman over Aldridge Potgieter (-175), Xander Schauffele top 10 (+125), Harris English top 10 (+300).

🌡 Conditions & scoring: Memphis heat expected; predicted winning score at -17.

(0:15 - 0:28) Will Doctor opens with enthusiasm for the FedEx St. Jude Championship and promises sharp analysis for bettors and fans.

(0:38 - 32:16) Will Doctor reviews Cameron Young’s historic Wyndham win, emphasizing his 10+ strokes gained putting and contextualizing it as one of the most dominant putting performances of the season. He highlights its impact on Ryder Cup standings, placing Young 15th and pressuring others like Bradley, Morikawa, and McNeely.

Will critiques Colin Morikawa’s inconsistency (fifth caddie this season, limited top finishes) and defends Keegan Bradley’s Ryder Cup spot, pointing to his two wins in 25 starts and 4-3 Ryder Cup record.

The discussion shifts to Brian Harman, who sits 12th in Ryder Cup points with strong finishes (T10 at The Open, win in San Antonio) and historical success at Southwind, making him a likely selection barring poor play.

Will criticizes Rory McIlroy for skipping the playoff opener, calling it “pathetic” given the $25M prize pool and FedEx’s role as the tour’s biggest sponsor.

He provides course analysis for TPC Southwind, noting narrow fairways, water hazards, and firm Bermuda greens that favor high-trajectory iron players and elite short-game specialists.

Scotty Scheffler is identified as the primary outright pick (+315), with Will predicting his fifth win of the season due to his exceptional ball striking and recently improved putting.

Additional picks: Xander Schauffele top 10 (+125) for his consistency at Southwind and Jacob Bridgman over Aldridge Potgieter (-175) based on Bridgman’s accuracy and putting edge.

Harris English emerges as the sleeper top 10 pick (+300), supported by his FedEx ranking (7th), Ryder Cup standing (6th), and history at Southwind (win in 2013, T4 in 2021).

DFS lineups are outlined, with Scheffler as captain, alongside Matsuyama, Fitzpatrick, English, and value plays like Chris Kirk and Joe Highsmith.

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