The hosts break down Week 13 NFL contests with Survivor strategy and ATS picks, starting with a recap of Week 12 where 39 Survivor entries were eliminated, mostly on the Raiders, leaving 900 entries worth about $20.8k each in Circa and all six Grandissimo entries still alive worth $1.15M each. Mackenzie gives his pick: Broncos −6 vs Washington, citing Denver’s defense, Washington’s weak home field, Mariota likely starting, and the strength of road favorites off a bye. Munaf agrees, noting Denver’s scoring consistency and Washington’s defensive issues. Dave cautions that if Daniels plays he’d lean Washington but otherwise sides with Denver. Dave’s pick is Cowboys over Chiefs on Thanksgiving, arguing KC is not fully right, Dallas proved something with their comeback, and Mahomes’ team may not handle adversity as well as past years. Mackenzie likes Dallas with the points and cites a 6–25 trend for non-home Thursday teams off Sunday OT. Munaf praises Dallas’ defensive second half vs Philly and KC’s regression in close games. Munaf’s pick is Rams −10.5 at Carolina, expecting a two-TD win based on Carolina’s poor performances vs winning teams, Rams’ offensive rhythm, Stafford’s MVP-level play, and LAR’s defense generating turnovers. Dave and Mack agree Carolina is weak and McVay is trustworthy as a road favorite. They then discuss Bengals vs Ravens: Burrow returns, Higgins out, Ravens inconsistent, Bengals defense weak, possible Derrick Henry heavy game, and lean Bengals +7 or under. Survivor strategy: Circa splits Thanksgiving as 13A and Sunday as 13B; big favorites include Ravens, Eagles, Rams, Jags, Seahawks, Chargers. Dave prefers Eagles as safest pick; Munaf agrees. Mack and Dan’s live Survivor entries are using Eagles for 13A and Chargers for 13B but Mack is nervous about both sides. They warn against Jacksonville due to Tennessee’s recent covers and Cam Ward improving. They close with holiday notes, thanking listeners, emphasizing family time, and joking about tryptophan and naps.