India & China current situation: Finally, there is some good news from India’s northern front. After months of tension, sabre-rattling and some bloodletting along a small section of the Line of Actual Control (LAC), India and China seem to have agreed to bury the hatchet, at least for the time being. The agreement came about after a meeting between India’s Minister for External Affairs S. Jaishankar and the Chinese State Councillor and Foreign Minister Wang Yi on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) foreign ministers’ meeting in Moscow on September 10. To the pleasant surprise of the international community, a joint statement was issued after the meeting between Wang and Jaishankar, signalling an easing of tensions between the two countries and averting an imminent limited military conflict.
The joint statement pledged that the militaries of the two countries would “quickly disengage, maintain proper distance, and ease tensions”. The statement reaffirmed the “series of consensus” that committed the two countries to a cooperative relationship. After the Wuhan summit meeting in April 2018, President Xi Jinping and Prime Minister Narendra Modi had given a solemn commitment that both countries would not take any action that would impact on the core national interests of each other.
One of the key consensus points was that China and India are not strategic rivals but partners who have a stake in the development of each other’s economies. The joint statement said that the two countries would adhere to the existing agreements and protocols in “bilateral boundary affairs” and that the two militaries would “maintain peace and tranquillity in the border areas and avoid action that will escalate matters”. Foreign Minister Wang told the media in Moscow that China was willing to take conciliatory steps, including the withdrawal of troops and heavy equipment.
The special representatives designated by the two governments will continue to hold discussions on the boundary questions and the Working Mechanism for Consultation and Coordination on India-China Border Affairs (WMCC) will continue with their meetings. Many analysts have noted that the joint statement does not mention the LAC but instead used the words “border areas”. Many analysts have concluded that the concept of the LAC has become redundant after the incidents witnessed this year.
It could also be a signal that the status quo ante may not be restored as demanded by the Indian side. The fact of the matter is that China never accepted the LAC as the border and has always stated that the claim line it put forward in 1959 is the only border it recognises. It is now widely agreed that the Modi government’s foolhardy move to abrogate the constitutional status of Jammu and Kashmir, turning Ladakh into a Union Territory and including parts of Aksai Chin on the new Indian map was the trigger for the Chinese to change certain facts on the ground.
The situation along the Sino-Indian border in Eastern Ladakh seemingly got out of hand in early September. For the first time in more than 45 years, there were reports that Indian and Chinese troops had resorted to firing warning shots on August 29 and 30, and on September 7. Both sides blamed each other for breaking the commitment of not using firearms along the LAC. The 1996 Agreement on “Confidence Building in the Military Field” along the Indo-China border has a clause prohibiting the use of firearms “within two kilometres of the line of actual control”.