2024 is still going to be very volatile. The Houthi attack in the Red Sea isn't going to be solved in the next few weeks, so it walks into 2024. The situation with Israel is not going to be resolved that quickly either. We've got at a minimum, several months or could be years. So it's a very volatile year. Just looking at it from that perspective, no end in sight with Putin and the war in Ukraine. It’s also an election year and the politics in the U.S. are kind of ugly, but what do we tell people about the stock market during the election year? Buy stocks. They always did better in election years than almost any other years. So you've got these two forces against each other. I'm going to stay in the stocks and biting my nails and trying not to look at my 401k.

#savannah #savannahrealestate #savannahga #wsj

When COVID hit us, we flopped like a rock. We gave Americans five and a half trillion dollars. That boosted the economy way above the trend line and we've been trying to get back to that trend line since. In in 2019 we were at $500 billion a month of retail sales. One would have said that by 2023 we're going to be maybe at $550 billion but we're currently at $600 billion a month and we've been there now for 18 months. Right now it's still nail biting territory for retails companies like Macy's, Walmart, Amazon or Target. The big fear is how do we converge back to the trend line? And if you do converge, is it by sales falling like a rock, recession or is it by over time where the difference begins to fade away?

Tune in to find out what grade Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve get from Prof. Kemmsies.

#savannah #savannahrealestate #savannahga #wsj

A zero percent inflation rate may look elegant mathematically, but the mathematical model built represents no universe that any human being has ever lived in.

Back then, Milton Friedman, the Nobel laureate, said that he thinks inflation target should be two percent. He didn't say zero, and there were a lot of economic commentaries about this. If you target zero percent inflation, you're making it really, really hard for a new company to emerge and drive productivity growth through the economy and take us into the future.

In today's economy, two percent may not be the answer either. So how much inflation is good?

#savannah #savannahrealestate #savannahga #wsj

Japan's recession during the 90's lasted over two decades and the stock market was flat for literally 20 plus years. It is considered one of the longest-running economic crises in recorded history. Mark Hall and Walter Kemmsies continue their discussion from previous episode regarding China's current debt situation and what are the parallels with Japan of the 90's.

#savannah #savannahrealestate #savannahga #wsj

A recent article in the Savannah paper reported the partnership between Hyundai and Georgia Tech on hydrogen technology. Even though E.V. just got here, could they be headed out already? The question is… is today's E.V. the Betamax of yesterday?

Hyundai announced in Savannah their big presentation, they mentioned hydrogen four times and E.V. twice. Is that a sign of what’s to come?

A year ago, an interview given by Mr. Toyoda (CEO of Toyota Motor Co.) said he had very serious doubts about the E.V.s. He wasn't buying in. He felt that it was dangerous not to also invest in hydrogen.

#savannah #savannahrealestate #savannahga #wsj #hyundai #geogiatech #hydrogencars

The threat or the worry over recession has been the theme or a sub-theme for the last year. At the same time the stock market has been on a run. If we're so worried about a recession, why does the stock market continue to climb?

A recession has been predicted now for the last 12 months and the economy seems to be sort of chugging along pretty well. But why would you be concerned? One is the yield curve has been inverted. When the yield curve inverts, inevitably there's a recession soon after. But when you look at the history of this indicator, you don't get the recession until the yield curve un-inverts but currently it’s still inverted.

China’s debt to GDP ration is 297%. Some of the increase in debt is because of the belt and road initiative. They lent money to a lot of countries to build infrastructure. That infrastructure hasn’t really paid off. China also has a lot of infrastructure that’s not being used in some of the poorest cantons. High speed rails, multiple airports that have been empty they finally just shut it down. On the flip side, China is also the single largest owner of U.S. Government debt and it is making everyone nervous.

In this episode, Mark Hall and Dr. Walter Kemmsies discuss how circular economy works. The concept of recycling, renewables and repurposing can help increase profits. One case study on this podcast is Rivian Automotive. Their target for their products is net zero. Both on the front end and back end. Tune in to find out how it's being done.

#savannah #savannahrealestate #savannahga #wsj #rivian #rivianstock

A stock broker said to another stock broker: "We need chaos to make money. When is flat and predictable, nobody trades. We don't make money. What we need is turbulence." In this episode, Mark Hall and Dr. Walter Kemmsies discuss the $5 trillion stimulus spending during the pandemic, supply chain issues. Are we going back to the trend line?

#savannah #savannahrealestate #savannahga #wsj

In this episode, Mark Hall and Dr. Walter Kemmsies continue their spirited discussion on biases. Sharing their personal experiences on how it affect business and personal decisions. "One in every ten people that looks at you, dislike you on sight for no know reason." Why is that? Tune in to find out. #malcolmgladwell #blink #savannah #savannahrealestate #savannahga #wsj