The Philosophical Quant: A Trading Podcast

Palantir Gap Setup: Bull Flag or Trap?


Listen Later

In this episode of The Philosophical Quant, Michael and Lia break down a wild, news-and-earnings-driven tape: a Palantir earnings gap that gets rejected, why “public distribution” and Stage 4 risk matter, and what it means when most volume is overhead and traders are trapped.

Then we shift to the trading technique of the week: silver’s violent 25% drop, the psychology of parabolic moves, and why these become fast, tactical bounce plays rather than “hold and hope” trend trades. Lia shares how she prefers silver miners instead of pure silver because overnight gaps can wreck stops, and why she’d rather focus on cleaner charts like copper miners and defensive staples.

We finish with a trade breakdown Michael is watching: using anchored VWAP around the prior high and a potential short setup into the 95–96 zone — expressed through ZSL (ultra short silver) to manage overnight risk and avoid expensive options volatility.

Most importantly: drop your questions. Comment tickers, trading psychology issues, and setups you want us to cover, and we’ll build a weekly Q and A section around your feedback.

Chapters

0:12 – Ask us questions + feedback (Q and A segment request)

1:15 – Earnings season and why gaps are hard to trade
1:32 – Palantir earnings gap up, then rejection
2:14 – Public distribution, Stage 4 risk, below 200-day
3:16 – Trading technique: “broken trades” and why to move on
4:42 – Silver mania to a 25% drop: what now?
5:22 – Why Lia prefers miners over silver (gaps, stops)
6:27 – Other parabolic examples and why they can chop for years
8:05 – Silver: trend traders step aside, short-term traders take fast trades
8:43 – Other metals and copper miners (cleaner action)
9:30 – Defensive approach: staples and buffer positions
10:57 – Mindset minute: how to deal with earnings season
11:34 – Hedging long-term holdings into earnings
12:45 – Trade breakdown setup: anchored VWAP and patience
13:54 – Plan: short into 93–96 area, using ZSL
15:27 – Why inverse ETFs help psychologically and for hedging
17:09 – Zones not exact points: “crayon, not a pencil”
18:37 – Reminder: ask questions for next episode
19:07 – Wrap

Disclaimer: All opinions expressed on this show are solely the opinions of the hosts’ and guests’ and do not reflect the opinions of Stocktwits, Inc. or its affiliates. The hosts are not SEC or FINRA registered advisors or professionals. The content of this show is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decision. Read the full terms & conditions here: https://stocktwits.com/about/legal/terms/

...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

The Philosophical Quant: A Trading PodcastBy Stocktwits