Football is BACK. We break down Week 1 NFL player props using matchup logic + data (no sides/totals), and build a few smart parlays. Headliners: Breece Hall (New York Jets) rushing, Rachaad White (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) value vs Atlanta Falcons, and Brian Thomas Jr. (Jacksonville Jaguars) vs Carolina Panthers zone looks.

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00:00:00 – Football’s back

00:00:41 – Toronto Sundays

00:01:12 – New season

00:01:42 – Week 1 slate

00:01:58 – Bengals–Browns

00:02:33 – Seahawks D, Justin Herbert

00:03:14 – Props only

00:05:19 – Scheme edges

00:07:22 – DeAndre Swift

00:10:53 – Breece Hall picks

00:16:09 – Longest rush

00:21:04 – Rachaad White

00:25:20 – Falcons run D

00:31:58 – Tyler Warren

00:41:20 – Brian Thomas Jr., Jaguars–Panthers

00:49:43 – Theo Johnson

00:53:56 – Aaron Rodgers, DK Metcalf

00:57:11 – James Cook receptions

00:58:12 – Caleb Williams yards

01:04:04 – Spencer Rattler, Chris Olave, Rashid Shaheed

01:07:48 – Jalen Hurts, Javonte Williams

How to translate personnel & scheme (12/21 looks, option game, zone vs man) into prop edges

Why context beats season averages for opening-week lines

Building low-risk, high-logic same-game and cross-game parlays

Our Week 1 Picks (as discussed on the show)

Breece Hall (New York Jets): over 40 rushing yards; longest rush prop; add 15+ receiving yards for a small parlay

Rachaad White (Tampa Bay Buccaneers): over 18.5 rushing yards vs Atlanta Falcons; attempts ~3.5 discussed

Brian Thomas Jr. (Jacksonville Jaguars): over ~72.5 receiving yards vs Carolina Panthers zone

Tyler Warren (Indianapolis Colts): alt 3+ receptions (rookie safety-valve angle)

Theo Johnson: 3+ receptions possession role discussion

Bonuses: James Cook (Buffalo Bills) 2+ receptions, Caleb Williams (Chicago Bears) 216.5+ passing yards, speculative leans on Aaron Rodgers 1+ pass TD and DK Metcalf (Seattle Seahawks) alt yards, plus Jalen Hurts (Philadelphia Eagles) passing vs Dallas Cowboys, Javonte Williams (Denver Broncos) 2+ receptions

Lines mentioned reflect the conversation at recording time and may have moved. This is entertainment, not financial advice. Always shop the number.

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For entertainment purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always check latest game time decisions.

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