We’re back with Week 5 NFL prop picks—the exact edges we’re betting after film + numbers. We break down Amon-Ra St. Brown (Detroit Lions) vs Cincinnati Bengals, Quinshon Judkins (Cleveland Browns) vs Minnesota Vikings in London, Tetairoa McMillan (Carolina Panthers) vs Miami Dolphins, Javonte Williams (Denver Broncos), and RJ Harvey (Denver Broncos) vs Philadelphia Eagles, plus quick-fire leans (Nico Collins, Zay Flowers, Rashid Shaheed, Jaxon Smith-Njigba under).

Final Sunday card posts on Instagram & Reddit—follow to see injury updates and any line moves before kickoff.

Chapters

00:00:00 – Intro / Week 5 setup

00:04:58 – Lions–Bengals: Amon-Ra, Chase Brown

00:14:19 – Saints–Giants: Cam Scattebo (receiving)

00:22:20 – London: Browns–Vikings, Quinshon Judkins

00:32:14 – Panthers–Dolphins: Tetairoa McMillan

00:40:03 – Cowboys–Jets: Javonte Williams

00:44:17 – Broncos–Eagles: RJ Harvey (receiving)

00:51:36 – Quick Fire: Collins, Flowers, Shaheed

00:58:04 – Housekeeping: Sunday card & hockey

What you’ll get

• Why Amon-Ra St. Brown can feast vs a low-blitz Cincinnati Bengals front and why we still like Jameson Williams’ deep shot.

• How Brian Flores’ high-blitz Minnesota Vikings defense sets up Quinshon Judkins for chunk gains.

• The Carolina Panthers’ likely aerial script vs Miami Dolphins → Tetairoa McMillan breakout window.

• Javonte Williams volume + red-zone role; when to ladder rushing vs add receptions.

• Sneaky receiving angle on RJ Harvey if Philadelphia Eagles force catch-up mode.

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For entertainment purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.

Subscribe & hit the bell so you don’t miss the final Sunday picks drop.

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NFL Week 3 was pure chaos.

The Cleveland Browns stunned the Green Bay Packers, the Pittsburgh Steelers upset the New England Patriots, and the Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles had a wild fourth quarter. The New York Jets vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers looked like a cakewalk but turned into a sweat, while the Carolina Panthers smashed the Atlanta Falcons and the Seattle Seahawks exploded behind Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

We went 7–3 on player props this week — with wins on Breece Hall, Jonathan Taylor, Chase Brown, and Ashton Jeanty, while Rachaad White, Tyler Warren, and Deebo Samuel missed.

Check the chapters below to jump straight to the biggest plays, props, and player storylines from Week 3.

⏱️ Chapters

00:00:00 – Browns vs Packers

00:02:34 – Jonathan Taylor

00:03:16 – Ashton Jeanty

00:06:33 – Bucky Irving

00:10:27 – Baker Mayfield

00:12:21 – Caleb Williams

00:16:02 – Jake Ferguson

00:18:23 – George Pickens

00:23:23 – Jonathan Taylor Again

00:27:30 – Jaxon Smith-Njigba

00:30:23 – James Cook

00:31:02 – Cam Scarborough

00:33:58 – Jahmyr Gibbs

#NFL #NFLWeek3 #Browns #Packers #AshtonJeanty #JonathanTaylor #JaxonSmithNjigba #BuckyIrving #BakerMayfield #CalebWilliams #JakeFerguson #QuentinJohnston #FantasyFootball #SportsBetting

We break down our Week 3 player props straight from the tape.

For Seahawks vs Saints, we’re leaning into Jackson Smith-Njigba’s role in the short game. Seattle’s passing script funnels to him on third downs, and against New Orleans’ coverages we expect steady volume.

In Colts vs Titans, we hit on why Jonathan Taylor’s receiving usage is quietly rising. The Titans’ front smothers inside runs, so Steichen’s answer has been dumping the ball off to JT. We also touch on Tyler Warren, who’s been a sneaky safety net when healthy.

With Tennessee, the volume case for Tony Pollard is simple: when Cam Ward is under fire, Pollard’s touches pile up even if the efficiency doesn’t.

For Bucs vs Jets, we debate Rashad White’s clock-killing role versus Bucky Irving’s change-of-pace spark. And with the Jets chasing, Breece Hall’s checkdown usage gives us a playable angle.

We also highlight Ashton Gentry as a live breakout candidate against a Washington defense that’s missing tackles, plus why Deebo Samuel stays valuable regardless of QB volatility—his production is schemed touches and YAC, not deep shots.

📌 Timestamps

00:00 – Intro

01:18 – Jackson Smith-Njigba

07:16 – Jonathan Taylor

08:18 – Tyler Warren

13:03 – Tony Pollard

18:08 – Rashad White

27:58 – Bucky Irving

28:45 – Breece Hall

33:48 – Ashton Gentry

43:31 – Deebo Samuel

52:22 – Dalton Kincaid

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For entertainment purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.

NFL Week 2 was full of drama, big wins, and tough losses. Jason and John open the show by breaking down standout player performances, including Drake Maye’s breakout game, Puka Nacua piling up receiving yards, and DK Metcalf finding the end zone. They also dive into some of the misses, such as Travis Hunter’s underwhelming performance and DeAndre Swift’s frustrating shortfall at the scrimmage line.

The conversation shifts into a wider look at fantasy football and betting picks, with in-depth analysis of Ja’Marr Chase, CeeDee Lamb, Jonathan Taylor, Tony Pollard, RJ Harvey, Bijan Robinson, Kyle Pitts, and Ken Walker. Quarterback play gets plenty of attention too, with JJ McCarthy’s struggles, Michael Penix’s flashes, and Russell Wilson’s roller-coaster outing all under the spotlight.

Beyond the players, Jason and John talk through lessons for bettors and fantasy managers — from knowing when to cash out to steering clear of volatile divisional matchups. They revisit the Colts’ nail-biting win over the Broncos on a last-second field goal, critique the Vikings’ passing attack, and examine the Seahawks’ ground game and Giants’ quarterback decisions. The show closes by looking ahead to Monday Night Football between the Bears and Cowboys, with predictions and betting angles for what could be one of the week’s most intriguing matchups.

Whether you’re following NFL betting strategy, fantasy football projections, or just want sharp instant reactions to Week 2, this show gives you the insights you need heading into the next slate of games.

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For entertainment purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.

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Sully called it: Breece Hall (New York Jets) over 40 rushing yards + longest rush + receiving — and we cashed big. We break down our top NFL Week 1 prop bets, why the market disrespected certain players, and where the edges still are heading into Week 2. Full player/team analysis: DK Metcalf (Seattle Seahawks), Puka Nacua (Los Angeles Rams), Drake Maye (New England Patriots), Justin Fields (New York Jets), Brenton Strange (Jacksonville Jaguars), RJ Harvey (Denver Broncos) and more.

Chapters

00:00:12:18 — Intro

00:00:29:06 — Breece Hall ✅

00:01:39:04 — Tyler Warren

00:03:20:14 — Steelers–Jets

00:06:08:07 — Justin Fields

00:16:34:01 — Breece Hall (WK2)

00:26:00:19 — Drake Maye o210

00:37:18:04 — Jaguars–Bengals

00:42:01:18 — Brenton Strange o25

00:50:20:21 — RJ Harvey props

00:59:16:17 — Puka Nacua o80

01:05:06:23 — Closing

We focus on data-driven player props (neutral pass rate, usage, yards per route run, explosive plays) and how to translate film + context into bets. If you’re hunting edges on NFL player props and same-game parlays, this recap is your blueprint.

Teams/Players referenced: New York Jets (Breece Hall, Justin Fields, Garrett Wilson), Pittsburgh Steelers (Calvin Austin), Seattle Seahawks (DK Metcalf), Los Angeles Rams (Puka Nacua, Matthew Stafford), Jacksonville Jaguars (Trevor Lawrence, Brenton Strange), Cincinnati Bengals (Joe Burrow), New England Patriots (Drake Maye), Denver Broncos (RJ Harvey, J.K. Dobbins), Miami Dolphins, Buffalo Bills, Tennessee Titans.

Subscribe for weekly edges: Thursday look-aheads, Sunday slate breakdowns, and live line moves.

#NFL #BreeceHall #NewYorkJets #PlayerProps #NFLWeek1 #SportsBetting #DKMetcalf #PukaNacua #DrakeMaye #JacksonvilleJaguars #CincinnatiBengals #LosAngelesRams #denverbroncos

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For entertainment purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always check latest game time decisions.

NFL Week 1 is in the books, and it was a rollercoaster for Prop Nation 🎲. Some of our player prop picks smashed, others fell just short, and we’re breaking down every angle to help sharpen strategy heading into Week 2.

We kick things off with Javonte Williams’ receptions prop that hit easily, then dive into Thursday night’s Chiefs vs Chargers matchup where rookie Xavier Worthy exited early. The highlight of the week came from Breece Hall, who dominated the Steelers with 107 rushing yards on 19 carries — a massive win for anyone backing his overs.

We also cashed on DK Metcalf’s receiving prop, with the Seahawks wideout going vintage for 83 yards, while Calvin Austin chipped in 70. On the flip side, Rachaad White fell agonizingly short of his rushing line against the Falcons, despite ripping off an 11-yard run early.

Other key storylines included Tyler Warren’s breakout rookie debut (7 catches, 76 yards), the disappointment of Brian Thomas Jr. vs the Panthers, and strong performances from Spencer Rattler, Chris Olave, and Marvin Harrison Jr. to round out the slate.

We wrap with a lookahead to Caleb Williams vs the Vikings and some early Week 2 leans.

If you’re into NFL Week 1 recaps, prop betting breakdowns, and player props analysis, this is the show for you. Subscribe for weekly picks, betting strategy, and game-by-game insights.

00:00:00 – Intro & Week 1 recap

00:01:21 – Javonte Williams receptions cash

00:02:26 – Chiefs vs Chargers & Xavier Worthy injury

00:03:13 – Breece Hall dominates Steelers

00:03:34 – DK Metcalf & Calvin Austin overs hit

00:04:37 – Rachaad White near miss vs Falcons

00:06:04 – Tyler Warren rookie breakout

00:08:03 – Brian Thomas Jr. flop vs Panthers

00:12:18 – Spencer Rattler & Chris Olave overs hit

00:12:54 – Marvin Harrison Jr. shines for Cardinals

00:19:00 – Caleb Williams lookahead vs Vikings

00:21:39 – Wrap-up & what’s next

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For entertainment purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always check latest game time decisions.

Show music is Sitting Ducks by The Crease Rule ©

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Football is BACK. We break down Week 1 NFL player props using matchup logic + data (no sides/totals), and build a few smart parlays. Headliners: Breece Hall (New York Jets) rushing, Rachaad White (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) value vs Atlanta Falcons, and Brian Thomas Jr. (Jacksonville Jaguars) vs Carolina Panthers zone looks.

Subscribe for weekly prop shows + sharp angles.

00:00:00 – Football’s back

00:00:41 – Toronto Sundays

00:01:12 – New season

00:01:42 – Week 1 slate

00:01:58 – Bengals–Browns

00:02:33 – Seahawks D, Justin Herbert

00:03:14 – Props only

00:05:19 – Scheme edges

00:07:22 – DeAndre Swift

00:10:53 – Breece Hall picks

00:16:09 – Longest rush

00:21:04 – Rachaad White

00:25:20 – Falcons run D

00:31:58 – Tyler Warren

00:41:20 – Brian Thomas Jr., Jaguars–Panthers

00:49:43 – Theo Johnson

00:53:56 – Aaron Rodgers, DK Metcalf

00:57:11 – James Cook receptions

00:58:12 – Caleb Williams yards

01:04:04 – Spencer Rattler, Chris Olave, Rashid Shaheed

01:07:48 – Jalen Hurts, Javonte Williams

How to translate personnel & scheme (12/21 looks, option game, zone vs man) into prop edges

Why context beats season averages for opening-week lines

Building low-risk, high-logic same-game and cross-game parlays

Our Week 1 Picks (as discussed on the show)

Breece Hall (New York Jets): over 40 rushing yards; longest rush prop; add 15+ receiving yards for a small parlay

Rachaad White (Tampa Bay Buccaneers): over 18.5 rushing yards vs Atlanta Falcons; attempts ~3.5 discussed

Brian Thomas Jr. (Jacksonville Jaguars): over ~72.5 receiving yards vs Carolina Panthers zone

Tyler Warren (Indianapolis Colts): alt 3+ receptions (rookie safety-valve angle)

Theo Johnson: 3+ receptions possession role discussion

Bonuses: James Cook (Buffalo Bills) 2+ receptions, Caleb Williams (Chicago Bears) 216.5+ passing yards, speculative leans on Aaron Rodgers 1+ pass TD and DK Metcalf (Seattle Seahawks) alt yards, plus Jalen Hurts (Philadelphia Eagles) passing vs Dallas Cowboys, Javonte Williams (Denver Broncos) 2+ receptions

Lines mentioned reflect the conversation at recording time and may have moved. This is entertainment, not financial advice. Always shop the number.

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For entertainment purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always check latest game time decisions.

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#NFL #NFLWeek1 #SportsBetting #PlayerProps #BreeceHall #RachaadWhite #BrianThomasJr #JacksonvilleJaguars #CarolinaPanthers #NewYorkJets #TampaBayBuccaneers #BuffaloBills #BaltimoreRavens #ChicagoBears #MinnesotaVikings #PhiladelphiaEagles #DallasCowboys

The AFL season is back, and we’re diving into Round 2 with a full breakdown of key matchups and best plays for the weekend.

We start with Carlton vs. Hawthorn, where the Blues look to bounce back after their shocking Round 1 loss. Sam Walsh, Patrick Cripps, and Blake Acres headline their disposal plays, while Charlie Curnow remains the best bet for multiple goals. The Hawks’ Jai Newcombe and Karl Amon should dominate possession, with Jack Gunston a sneaky option for goal-scoring value.

In Western Bulldogs vs. Collingwood, the Dogs will need Ed Richards, Bailey Dale, and Tom Liberatore to step up in midfield with Marcus Bontempelli sidelined. The Pies, coming off a massive win, will rely on Josh Daicos and Nick Daicos to rack up disposals, while Bobby Hill is our top goal-scoring pick.

St Kilda vs. Geelong closes out our analysis, with the Cats looking strong after their dominant win over Fremantle. Bailey Smith and Lawson Humphries look set for high disposal numbers, while Jeremy Cameron and Tyson Stengle are the safest forward options. For the Saints, Jack Sinclair and Marcus Windhager provide solid disposal value, with Mason Wood a key forward target.

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📢 For entertainment purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.

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#AFL #AFLRound2 #AFL2025 #AFLPicks #AFLBetting #FootyTips #SportsBetting #AFLPredictions #AFLLive #FootyBets #AFLBluesHawks #AFLDogsPies #AFLSaintsCats

Round 1 is here, and we’re breaking down all the key matchups, starting with Thursday night’s Tigers vs. Blues clash. We’re coming off a 9-1 week and diving into the best plays for this round, including Finn Callaghan’s impact, Josh Kelly’s consistency, and Brent Daniels as an anytime goal scorer. We’ll cover the Swans’ response after a tough loss, the Lions’ midfield edge, and the Pies looking to bounce back against Port Adelaide. Plus, we analyze the Giants vs. Demons showdown and why Melbourne’s midfield could be the difference.

We’ll also take a closer look at key players like Chad Warner and Matt Roberts for the Swans, Jason Horne-Francis’ potential breakout season, and how Nick Daicos and Josh Daicos respond after a tough loss. Ed Langdon’s role shift for Melbourne is another factor to watch, as well as Mitch Georgiades' goal-scoring potential for Port Adelaide. With injuries already impacting lineups, we’ll break down where the value is across disposals and goal scorers.

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#AFL #AFLOpeningRound #AFL2025 #AFLPredictions #FootyTips #AFLBetting #SportsBetting #AFLPicks #FootyBets #AFLLive #AFLNews

#AFLTigersBlues #AFLHawksBombers #AFLSwansLions #AFLPiesPower #AFLGiantsDees

The AFL 2025 season is here, and we’re breaking down four huge matchups with the best betting tips, player props, and predictions. The Brisbane Lions vs. Geelong Cats kicks off Thursday Night Footy, with Will Ashcroft, Lachie Neale, and Dane Zorko dominating the midfield, while Kai Lohmann and Cam Rayner look for goals. Jeremy Cameron and Tyson Stengle lead the Cats’ forward line, with Shannon Neale stepping into Tom Hawkins' role.

Friday night sees the Sydney Swans take on the Hawthorn Hawks, with Chad Warner, Isaac Heeney, and Matt Roberts set for big games. Joel Amartey and Logan McDonald bring scoring potential for the Swans, while James Worpel and Massimo D’Ambrosio lead the Hawks' midfield. Jack Ginnivan and Nick Watson will be key up forward.

Saturday twilight features the Gold Coast Suns vs. Essendon Bombers, where Sam Flanders and Matt Rowell control the midfield. Jack Lukosius offers goal-scoring value, while Jai Caldwell and Sam Durham lead the Bombers. Watch for Archie Roberts and Harrison Jones to make an impact.

The final game pits the GWS Giants against Collingwood Magpies in a fiery showdown. LOCK OF THE WEEK Josh Daicos headlines the midfield for the Pies alongside Nick Daicos, with Bobby Hill, Jamie Elliott, and Lachie Schultz key in attack. The Giants counter with Finn Callaghan, Josh Kelly, Aaron Cadman, and Brent Daniels in front of goal.

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