If a vote for one party is really a vote for another, where do those voters go? DemosAU modelled four removal scenarios from an 8,000-respondent MRP, and the answer reshapes the case for a merged right... at least for One Nation.

Chapters

(00:00) - Intro

(01:38) - Why the two-party vote keeps sliding since 2007

(07:03) - Modelling what your vote really means in 2026

(13:05) - A merged right adds up to 37, not 48 per cent

(16:01) - The Coalition and One Nation are stronger apart

(21:21) - When a One Nation vote really elects Angus Taylor

(27:45) - What the four scenarios do to Labor and the Greens

(33:51) - Can the right actually merge, and who leads it

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In The Know with George & Evan is an Amplieo Originalpodcast produced by Amplieo Media Group in partnership with leading Australian polling company DemosAU.

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