QAV America (free feed)

In Episode 44 of QAV America, Cameron and Tony open with a geopolitical tour of the Strait of Hormuz crisis — still very much closed — unpacking what a prolonged shutdown could mean for global oil supply, economies, and living standards, including Australia's precarious one-month oil reserve. From there, Cameron pivots to his deep dive on Geo Park Limited (GPRK), a Latin American oil and gas explorer and producer with operations in Colombia, Argentina, and Brazil — and one of the most fascinating boardroom sagas in recent oil-patch history. Cameron walks through the company's founding by two American oil veterans, James Park and Gerald O'Shaughnessy (who turns out to be a cousin of value investing legend James O'Shaughnessy of What Works on Wall Street), their bitter governance war in 2021, the failed Parex Resources takeover bid, and the dramatic "white knight" entry of Colombian billionaire Jaime Gilinski, who injected $107 million for a 20% stake just days before the episode. Tony and Cameron then analyse the QAV checklist numbers, discuss why the light portfolio is outperforming the S&P even in a down market, and review the current US portfolio performance. After hours covers Nassim Taleb's book The Bed of Procrustes, Mel Brooks' documentary The 99-Year-Old Man (featuring David Lynch's last filmed interview), and Cameron's soggy-but-memorable school camping trip with his son Fox.

In this episode of QAV America, recorded on March 12, 2026, Cameron and Tony navigate a market defined by "Trump Chaos," exploring how a rules-based system provides a psychological anchor during periods of high volatility. The duo discusses the fallout from trade tensions with Spain and the impact of attacks on Qatari LNG infrastructure on global energy prices. The "Pulled Pork" deep dive features **Murphy Oil (MUR)**, a 120-year-old company undergoing a radical transformation from a sprawling integrated petroleum giant into a streamlined, high-margin exploration and production play. Despite a "complexity discount" from the market, the hosts analyze Murphy’s aggressive shareholder return policy—dubbed "Viagra for Value Investors"—and its pivot toward deep-water assets in the "Gulf of Trump" and Vietnam.

In this episode, recorded on March 3, 2026, Cameron and Tony navigate a "punch-drunk" week for the markets following the escalation of war in the Middle East. They discuss how the QAV system provides a stress-free mechanical roadmap—buy, sell, or hold—regardless of geopolitical chaos. The duo reviews the US portfolio’s impressive 106% gain since late 2023 and examines why shipping stocks like Euroseas (ESEA) and Danaos (DAC) are surprisingly resilient despite maritime blockades. The centerpiece is a "Pulled Pork" deep dive into **Nabors Industries (NBR)**, tracing its lineage from the legendary Guggenheim family’s Chilean nitrate empire to its modern status as a debt-laden, asset-rich "zombie" drilling for the Saudis. Finally, they touch on the "Maga My Man" PolyMarket scandal and the importance of letting a value portfolio "churn" through its duds to find the long-term winners.

In this episode of QAV America, Cameron and Tony navigate the "completely bonkers" landscape of 2026, where a Supreme Court reversal on Trump’s previous tariffs and the looming shadow of AI bubbles have left investors guessing. The duo breaks down the hidden "gotchas" of American Depository Receipts (ADRs), specifically examining the tax hurdles and custody fees associated with South Korean plays like Shinhan Financial Group (SHG) and Korea Electric Power (KEP). The centerpiece of the episode is a "Pulled Pork" deep dive into **Bread Financial (BFH)**—a high-yielding, unloved credit card "stub" that has spent years amputating its legacy loyalty businesses to emerge as a pure-play lender. Despite the "Trump Slump" threat of capped interest rates and a "stinky" past involving a bankrupt spin-off, BFH boasts a massive QAV quality score and looks dirt cheap on a price-to-cash-flow basis.

In this episode of QAV America, Cameron and Tony navigate the "completely bonkers" landscape of 2026, where a Supreme Court reversal on Trump’s previous tariffs and the looming shadow of AI bubbles have left investors guessing. The duo breaks down the hidden "gotchas" of American Depository Receipts (ADRs), specifically examining the tax hurdles and custody fees associated with South Korean plays like Shinhan Financial Group (SHG) and Korea Electric Power (KEP). The centerpiece of the episode is a "Pulled Pork" deep dive into **Bread Financial (BFH)**—a high-yielding, unloved credit card "stub" that has spent years amputating its legacy loyalty businesses to emerge as a pure-play lender. Despite the "Trump Slump" threat of capped interest rates and a "stinky" past involving a bankrupt spin-off, BFH boasts a massive QAV quality score and looks dirt cheap on a price-to-cash-flow basis.

In this episode of QAV America, Cameron and Tony navigate a volatile week in the US markets, lead by Ford’s staggering $8.2 billion loss for 2025 and their strategic retreat from full electrification. The duo reviews the impressive performance of their "deep dive" portfolio, noting that many previously analyzed stocks have seen triple-digit or high double-digit gains. The centerpiece of the episode is a "Pulled Pork" deep dive into **Shinhan Financial Group ($SHG)**, a South Korean banking giant. Despite a litany of scandals involving cartel-like collusion, fraud, and political instability in Korea, the hosts weigh the risks against the "Value Up" government catalyst that may finally unlock the company’s depressed valuation.

In this high-stakes episode, Cameron and Tony celebrate a "bonkers" run for the QAV America portfolio, which is currently outperforming the S&P 500 by nearly double. After reviewing news on Seneca Foods (SENEA) and the curious 15% share price drop for Regional Management (RM) following record earnings, the duo dives into the murky waters of Mammoth Energy Services (TUSK). What begins as a look at an energy services "roll-up" quickly transforms into a true-crime corporate thriller involving a $1.8 billion contract, a FEMA bribery scandal, and a forfeited 40-foot luxury catamaran. They analyze whether TUSK is a "mammoth in the making" or a "wild pig," weighing its current status as a cash-heavy "stub" with zero debt against its history of "dirty stories" and its new pivot into aviation rentals and fiber optics.

---

Episode Timestamps

[00:00:00] Intro: Market "conniptions" and the US sneezing on Australia.

[00:00:50] Portfolio Performance: The dummy portfolio hits 103% since inception (Highlights: WLFC, BLX, ESCA, GASS).

[00:05:40] Stock News: SENEA (Seneca Foods) Q3 results show improving margins.

[00:06:20] Stock News: RM (Regional Management) beats expectations but the share price craters.

[00:07:50] Deep Dive: TUSK (Mammoth Energy Services)

In this episode, Cameron and Tony navigate a turbulent week in the American markets, touching on the downturn of Bitcoin, gold, and the "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks. Despite the macro-volatility, they celebrate the continued outperformance of their US dummy portfolio, which has nearly doubled its value since September 2023. The conversation shifts to a critical look at "stores of value" like Bitcoin and gold, with Tony arguing that without an inherent way to calculate intrinsic value, these assets remain speculative "pump and dump" cycles. The centerpiece of the show is a deep dive into the Colombian oil giant, **Ecopetrol (EC)**. The duo explores its unique monopoly on Colombian pipelines and its strategic pivot into high-voltage electricity transmission, all while navigating the "magical realism" of Colombian politics, executive scandals involving "cost-plus" prostitution, and a president who hates the very oil industry his government owns.

In this episode of QAV America, Cameron and Tony navigate the extremes of global weather and market volatility. After discussing the impact of recent geopolitical "deals" on their US portfolios, they dive into a success story from the Bakken formation: **Chord Energy (CHRD)**. The conversation explores the "Shale 2.0" era, detailing how modern horizontal drilling and leaner capital structures have transformed former bankruptcy stories into cash-generating powerhouses. Tony provides a technical breakdown of Chord's recent $11 billion acquisition of Enerplus and their shareholder-friendly policy of returning free cash flow through buybacks and dividends.

In this episode of QAV America, Cameron and Tony navigate the complex intersections of the 2026 US economy, where the AI boom is currently offsetting the drag of ongoing tariffs. The duo explores the shifting AI landscape, notably Apple’s decision to build the next Siri on Google Gemini rather than homegrown technology, leaving significant questions about the future of OpenAI. The heart of the show is a "Pulled Pork" deep dive into **AMTD Idea Group (AMTD)**, a company with a fascinating Australian origin story involving the Commonwealth Bank. Despite trading at an unbelievable discount to book value (P/B 0.04), AMTD remains a polarizing prospect due to its controversial leadership under Calvin Choi, a bizarre "Spider Net" ecosystem, and a recent shift from Big Four auditors to a small regional firm in Singapore.