Raw Politics

This week on the Raw Politics podcast: David Seymour floats a new law labelled the single greatest breach of the Treaty of Waitangi. Plus political editor Laura Walters joins us from the US.

Each time the tide comes in, it comes further up the beach. Well, that appears to be the Act Party’s strategy launching its Treaty Principles Bill in Parliament with not a single vote in support of it passing likely from any of Parliament’s other five political parties.

Raw Politics looks at the political motivations behind a Bill widely judged to be dead-on-arrival and the challenges it presents to everyone from the Waitangi Tribunal to the National, NZ First and opposition parties.

Newsroom senior political reporter Marc Daalder, national affairs editor Sam Sachdeva and co-editor Tim Murphy discuss the introduction of the Bill, with no fanfare and in the absence of its solo advocate Act leader David Seymour.

Parties have undermined their coalition partners in the past, withdrawing support for proposals or making untenable conditions to prevent their passing. But Act’s prize of a select committee hearing and then a dead end could be an unprecedented event in our coalition politics under MMP.

In our second topic, we welcome in our usual host political editor Laura Walters from the US where she’s been reporting on the election’s final week and outcome.

She joins Marc to discuss what it is like right now in an America stunned or relieved simultaneously and how voters from either side move forward now.

Our home panelists offer some distant thoughts on takeouts for the rest of us from a country rocked again by Trump.
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This week's recommendations:

Marc: An analysis piece from Politico Europe on Trump’s effect on global climate action:

Sam: Marc’s morning-after opinion column on the US election and the threat of Trump to democracy

Tim: RNZ reporter Ella Stewart’s story looking at the people behind Toitū te Tiriti, the activist group leading protest action against Govt policies

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Raw Politics will be available every Friday here on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and YouTube too.

Read more on Newsroom - https://newsroom.co.nz

This week on the Raw Politics podcast: Who’s closing it out best ahead of next week’s US election; Act’s education wins; plus relaxing the checks on your new house

The end of the country, or the end of its democracy. That’s what the two camps are predicting if their candidate doesn’t win the US presidential election next week.

Raw Politics, from the great safety of half a world away, weighs in on the neverending American campaign, which many predict will go on in the courts, on the streets and in Congress even after polls close, voting is counted and the preliminary result declared.

Newsroom senior political reporter Marc Daalder, national affairs editor Sam Sachdeva and co-editor Tim Murphy assess the closing arguments of vice-president Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump and the shows of confidence by their two campaign teams.

Who to believe? What to trust?

And how a statistical tie in the current pre-election polls nationally could end up perversely giving one or other candidate a substantial victory, with just minor movements in voter behaviour.

In our second topic, the panel returns to home territory, marking the Act Party’s homework on its two populist education policies, cut-price school lunches and rounding up the truants.

Our reader question asks if there are risks from the Government relaxing who can sign off building work on certain types of new homes under construction, and the panel hears echoes from the privatisation of building inspection a generation ago.

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This week's recommendations:

Marc: The 2024 film Civil War, which is about journalism but also maybe a preview of what’s to come

Sam: Newsroom’s Jonathan Milne’s new investigative podcast Powder Keg

Tim: Trump’s ‘secret’ plan with US House Speaker Mike Johnson to overcome an election loss, from progressive US site The Nation

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Raw Politics will be available every Friday here on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and YouTube too.

Read more on Newsroom - https://newsroom.co.nz

This week on the Raw Politics podcast: This Govt was going to be push localism but is instead pushing in on cities and regions. Plus: Time for the Greens to rediscover the environment. And what's cooking with Brooke van Velden?

Both Wellington and Otago councils lost a little of their political souls this week as the coalition Government grabbed control of the local levers of power.

Raw Politics asks if the National ministers who promised 'localism' and devolving of power have now drunk the Bowen St kool aid and believe that only they can put things right for cities and regions as well as the nation.

Newsroom senior political reporter Marc Daalder, national affairs editor Sam Sachdeva and co-editor Tim Murphy discuss the twin interventions and some contradictions offered by Local Government Minister Simeon Brown in justifying central government stepping in.

How did it come to this, and should other councils with high debt, high rates and political divisions be worried that their masters in Wellington will claim to know best.

In our second topic, the Raw Politics panel looks at how the Greens regather themselves after the resolution of the Darleen Tana saga - and how they can start to make an impact for their voters on issues that they've been missing in action on.

Finally, the panelists recommend something to read, listen to or watch on the weekend ahead.

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This week's recommendations:


Marc: Nate Cohn in the NYT on polling misses in 2020 and what they mean for 2024

Sam: Newsroom political editor Laura Walters' interview with Cabinet minister Erica Stanford ahead of
the Crown apology to abuse victims

Tim: Maiki Sherman's 1News disclosure that the complainant against MP Andrew Bayly is ex-military

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Raw Politics will be available every Friday here on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and YouTube too.

Read more on Newsroom - https://newsroom.co.nz

This week on the Raw Politics podcast: There were two scandals over abuse of kids in state care - one was run from some of the highest offices in the land. Plus, the new NZ First party, polls and Nimbys vs the fast-track

One of the biggest political and government scandals in NZ history - the abuse of thousands of children in state care - will soon be subject to a formal Crown apology.

Raw Politics examines if this generation's politicians and mandarins can make it right.

Newsroom political editor Laura Walters, senior political reporter Marc Daalder and co-editor Tim Murphy discuss the enormity of not only the actual abuse but the state's campaign to silence and defeat court actions from victims, as set out in a powerful new series by Aaron Smale on Newsroom.

His series - Crown cover-up? - forensically pieces together the findings of the Royal Commission with the who, what, when, where and why of the establishment, from Prime Ministers and Attorneys-General to police, justice, welfare and Crown Law leaders.

The Raw Politics panel looks at the huge political challenge thrust onto Cabinet minister Erica Stanford to resolve this injustice, the steps forward for the Luxon government, what real justice and truth might seem like for victims and whether anyone could yet be held accountable from the state.

In our second topic, we run our eye over the New Zealand First Party's conference and its policy focus in 2024 as against its foundation planks and populist and nationalist heritage, and ask if you can teach an old dog new tricks.

Our reader question is on whether Nimbys might get in the way of the Government's 149 listed fast-track development projects and should landowners and residents be worried about something large and disruptive landing on their boundaries.

Finally, the panelists recommend something to read, listen to or watch on the weekend ahead:

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This week's recommendations:

Marc: Two articles on misinformation after Hurricane Helene and ahead of the US election

Laura: A piece from Madeleine Chapman of the Spinoff on how the controversial appointments to head the human rights commission weren’t recommended by the panel

Tim: No contest this week. Aaron Smale’s formidable news series on Newsroom this week on the Crown cover-up over abuse in care

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Raw Politics will be available every Friday on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and YouTube too.

Read more on Newsroom - https://newsroom.co.nz

This week on the Raw Politics podcast: We mark one year since the election by rating the parties, MVPs and duds, and weighing their risks and opportunities for the next two years.

Next week marks 12 months since the election that ejected the left from power and ushered in Christopher Luxon’s three-headed coalition of the right.

Newsroom political editor Laura Walters, senior political reporter Marc Daalder and co-editor Tim Murphy discuss how the parties of government and opposition have performed, and what their political risks and opportunities might be between now and the 2026 election.

It has been a year of thunderous, cascading political change and the panel marks the high and low points for the government and Labour Party.

We come up with a potential MP to succeed Luxon as PM, nominate most valuable politician, least valuable MP, the figure most likely to break up the coalition and MP most likely to get the boot.

Finally, the panelists recommend something to read, listen to or watch on the weekend ahead:

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This week's recommendations:

Marc: Laura Walters’ piece on Christopher Luxon’s email font choice – blue comic sans. No, seriously, her fascinating piece on the PM’s redrafted speech for the Koroneihana

Laura: Stuff’s Bridie Witton’s look at the lack of open and transparent process around the Government’s $24m of funding given to Mike King’s mental health charity

Tim: The Working Group podcast episode of David Seymour debating Helmut Modlik on Treaty Principles. Special shout out to the person who branded it “Iwi vs Peewee”

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Raw Politics will be available every Friday on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and YouTube too.

Read more on Newsroom - https://newsroom.co.nz

In this week's episode of Raw Politics: the Prime Minister declares himself wealthy and sorted, Darleen should say goodbye even though she's Green, plus a bad retweet.

Chris Luxon can't win. When he owns seven houses he's a capitalist rack renter. When he sells some of them he's exploiting Government policy changes and saving on tax.

Newsroom political editor Laura Walters, senior political reporter Marc Daalder and co-editor Tim Murphy ask if the political risk of the selldown, now, of the Luxon housing portfolio is as bad as the Prime Minister's response to media queries of: "I'm wealthy and I'm sorted".

The panel also discusses if former Green MP Darleen Tana should leave Parliament of her own accord before her ex party is forced to act hypocritically and have her removed as an MP. Either way, the damage to the Greens will be transitory and all but forgotten at the election in two years.

Our reader question asks how Labour MP Damien O'Connor could get away with retweeting an indefensible tweet on Palestinians and Israel. We wonder if the returning Labour leader Chris Hipkins might take another view.

Finally, the panelists recommend something to read, listen to or watch on the weekend ahead:

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This week's recommendations:

Marc: A story from The Press on former E-Can chair Peter Scott’s vehicle caught speeding 678 times this year

Laura: Marc Daalder's Newsroom scoop on the unredacted legal advice regarding the Govt’s oil and gas exploration policy that would breach international trade obligations

Tim: Sam Hayes’ exclusive Stuff/3 News interview with John Key on his preferred winner of the US Presidential race

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Raw Politics will be available every Friday on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and here on YouTube.

Read more on Newsroom - https://newsroom.co.nz

This week on Raw Politics: Are we being governed now by a cadre of middle managers? People who won't stay in their lanes but need to be dipping into the detailed operations of government agencies and making the small decisions, well.

Newsroom senior political reporter Marc Daalder, Newsroom national affairs editor Sam Sachdeva and co-editor Tim Murphy discuss the coalition's forked tongue approach to 'operational matters' in government departments and in relation to the boards of state companies.

When the Prime Minister, no less, devotes his post-Cabinet press conference to whether public servants are working from home or gathering at offices, and shareholding ministers in Crown entities are wanting to be consulted on all manner of small value decisions, there's been a change of approach.

Ministers will, with some justification, argue that an interventionist, hands-on management is needed given they can't trust the deep state to change itself adequately, fast enough.

The panel discusses the sensitivities over New Zealand's foreign affairs stance on the latest UN vote on Israel - and whether in a three-party coalition if such vote-by-vote decision-making could, or should, be consulted on among party leaders before being actioned.

Our reader question asks why the leader of a big bank has waded into the political quicksand of advocating a capital gains tax.

Finally, the panelists recommend something to read, listen to or watch on the weekend ahead:

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This week's recommendations:

Marc: Eloise Gibson's story on RNZ on the gas industry claiming it successfully lobbied to kill the Climate Change Commission's recommended ban on new residential gas connections

Sam: Thomas Manch's great story on The Post about NZ officials "war-gaming" the US election outcome

Tim: Jonathan Milne's story on Newsroom simply setting out a growing list of those arguing in favour of a capital gains tax, and two important voices speaking against.

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Raw Politics will be available every Friday on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and here on YouTube.

Read more on newsroom.co.nz
https://newsroom.co.nz

This week on the Raw Politics podcast: Is the Minister of the Week, Paul Goldsmith, an ideologue? Plus, awkward business closures for the coalition and Chris Hipkins' leadership.

Newsroom senior political reporter Marc Daalder, Newsroom Pro managing editor Jonathan Milne and co-editor Tim Murphy discuss the minister's harder line push this week on laws cracking down on gangs, changing his mind to allow police to search private homes for evidence of patches.

We ask if he is a natural anti-crime hardman or if he's being egged on by the fringe parties in the coalition and is enjoying their approval.

The Waitangi Tribunal report on the Government's planned amendments to the Marine and Coastal Areas (Takutai Moana) Act would have shamed any other minister at any other time, but its criticisms of Goldsmith for his motivation, facts, process, consultation and evidence have been ignored by the Government.

The panel discusses the latest industrial closure, of the Oji mill at Penrose, and how these kinds of events can unfairly, or fairly, lie at the feet of an incumbent government.  Could the coalition have done more to save jobs here and in earlier regional closures, and would a Labour government have done anything differently?

Our reader question asks if Chris Hipkins is taking a risk heading to the UK for that country's Labour Party conference when a poll shows his personal rating plummeting for preferred Prime Minister.  The panel is unmoved, despite Government MPs delighting in teasing Labour's caucus this week about a coup.

Finally, the panelists recommend something to read, listen to or watch on the weekend ahead.

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This week's recommendations:

Marc: Our own Jonathan Milne’s piece at Newsroom delving into a major fisheries Treaty case brewing in the background

Tim: Audrey Young’s timely explainer on all the Government’s law changes targeted at things Māori

Jonathan: The Economist reports on a British Medical Journal study on why Australians live so long.

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Raw Politics will be available every Friday, and you can watch it on YouTube too.

Read more on newsroom.co.nz.

In this week's episode of Raw Politics, Christopher Luxon must wake up some days with the Sound of Music song of exasperation playing in his head. How does he deal with the problem of ACT leader David Seymour and his will-o-the-wisp coalition contrarianism?

Newsroom political editor Laura Walters, senior political reporter Marc Daalder and co-editor Tim Murphy discuss Seymour's carefully calibrated political agitation, externally on the Treaty Principles Bill and internally in the coalition, sticking his ACT Party's view into other minister's portfolios, other parties' business.

Politics doesn't come any bigger globally than Wednesday's presidential debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, and the Raw Politics panel assess the fallout, and the media and social media verdicts on an historic face-off.

Our reader question asks where and why public servants have been made to sign additional Non-Disclosure Agreements under this Government. The panel has fears for growing secrecy in the machinery of state.

Finally, the panelists recommend something to read, listen to or watch on the weekend ahead.

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This week's recommendations:

Laura: Andrea Vance’s latest piece in The Post on the $410k spend on contractors and consultants at the Ministry for Regulation;

Tim: RNZ’s Eloise Gibson’s report on Climate minister Simon Watts distinguishing between ‘coal and coal’ to defend opening up to mining;

Marc: A piece by the second-best writer with the surname Daalder, in The Atlantic on the US election.

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Raw Politics will be available every Friday, and you can watch it on YouTube too.

Read more on newsroom.co.nz

In this week's episode of Raw Politics, we discuss the response of our political leaders to the demands of the week-long tangihanga for Kiingi Tuheitia.

Newsroom political editor Laura Walters, senior political reporter Marc Daalder and co-editor Tim Murphy discuss how coalition leaders faced the Kiingitanga movement and wider Māoridom at a time of acute political sensitivities.

Then, the panel pulls a handbrake turn on Transport Minister Simeon Brown's spin about raising road speeds, cutting out speed bumps and funding future roading promises.  Can the economy really be saved by drivers speeding up around town and on the highways?

Our reader question asks if the Wellington Hospital proposal to cut out free toast and Milo for mothers who have just given birth was a serious plan or if it was bureaucrats employing the famous "Washington Monument" tactic to shame politicians.

Finally, the panelists recommend something to read, listen to or watch on the weekend ahead.

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This week's recommendations:

Laura: the deleted Working Group podcast episode, in which Matthew Hooton unleashes on Don Brash and Hobson’s Pledge

Tim: RNZ digital journalist Russell Palmer’s story revealing that the Govt’s formal communications with Korea before cancelling the Cook Strait ferries deal amounted to two late text messages

Marc: Newsroom political journalist Fox Meyer’s scoop on the origins within NZ First of the fast-track legislation

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Raw Politics will be available every Friday, and you can watch it on YouTube too.

Read more on newsroom.co.nz