We have looked at lots of interesting data this week. Some good, some not so good. Is the optimism and good vibes that are implied by the latest employment numbers misplaced? We take a look at some concerning parallels between today and to the times just before two major economic downturns - the great depression and housing collapse. It is kind of creepy but at least it leaves us with somethings to keep an eye on so that we might just be able to more easily see it coming.

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It has been a long time since the employment numbers looked this good

For years now we have been talking about the employment numbers. Plenty of games have been played over the years with how they are calculated. Plus, we have been finding that the kind of jobs being created are not what we would hope for. Well, the most recent job numbers are actually telling an encouraging story - and I could not be happier to be able to finally share a happy opinion when it comes to employment! After all, if you want a healthy real estate market, one of the things you need to start with is a good employment market.

We will also talk about the odds of the Fed doing a rate hike in March.  Not all the news is entirely good. We have some numbers on the average size of debt being taken on and some other lending trends that are also likely to make things worse before they make it better.

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#realestate #2017 #unemployment #thefed #millennials #interestrates #investing #buying #selling #debt

More stories today that all seem to relate to one another. They fit together with past topics we have covered that leave me wondering what is going on with how much debt is being willingly and even happily taken on by consumers. As I have said before, it feels just a little bit too familiar. So are we resurrecting the housing bubble that kicked us around so horribly in 2007? Sadly, it looks like we might. Lets look at the latest numbers and see where we are.

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#realestate #2017 #debtbubble #consumerconfidence #millennials #ficoscores #investing #buying #selling #gallup

Welcome to it folks. Today we take a look at the ranking of states in terms of folks moving in and out. We will review the most moved to states and the least moved to - meaning they are seeing more people leaving than coming. Plus, we will spend some time discussing the states that had the biggest changes in their ranking on this list, since that might just suggest a change in the market in that state.

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#realestate #2017 #migration #stateranking #populationloss #magnetstates #investing #buying #selling #freemoney

Welcome to the end of the week folks! I have made some decisions on the cost effective home remodel of my property that I am preparing for sale. My goal is to invest X in the remodel and have the payoff in terms of sales price equal X plus as much as possible. Today I am going to run down some of my latest decisions that are intended to maximize the quality of the remodel while reduce the miscellaneous costs and headaches.

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#realestate #2017 #remodel #refacing #kitchenremodel #kitchencabinets #investing #buying #selling #freemoney

A very interesting look at stats relating to consumer confidence and real wage growth. It could be a sign that the public in general is really more confident than they should be. The big question is, could this lead to a debt bubble that threatens the overall economy and real estate?

There is also some interesting news on what graduates and students think is going to happen with their student loans. 

The latest numbers on the GDP are disappointing.

Luxury real estate is taking a big hit - we called it.

Home prices have reached new heights in many areas.

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#realestate #2017 #gdp #realwages #consumerconfidence #luxuryrealestate #investing #buying #selling #studentloans

Some of the old favorites made this years list of the top items to delay or kill an escrow in 2016. You can still take steps to protect yourself with most of these, so lets check them out and come up with a plan to minimize the effect. Don't let your transaction become one of the failing escrows.

We also chat a bit about interest rates and how they are NOT the boogey man folks are blaming right now. Pending sales took a big dip, we will discuss it and try to put it into perspective.

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#realestate #2017 #escrow #appraisals #investing #buying #selling #lending

Existing home sales took a big jump in January, but I am going to offer an alternate explanation than what the press seems convinced of. Plus, we can also talk about mortgage applications - since that is one way to tell the future a little bit in terms of sales over the next month or so.

All cash deals have increased. We will discuss that a bit. We will also review some investment advice I gave out back when all the talk was about the Olympics and the opportunities presented by that. 

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#realestate #2017 #existinghomesales #mortgage #mortgageapplications #investing #buying #selling #homesales

An interesting series of articles caught my eye over the last week. They all seem to feed into one another and they could spell some big challenges for the real estate market.

We will be chatting about mortgage delinquencies, inflation, price indexes and over all debt. The worry is that we are creating a very challenging environment for people that kind of reminds me of the situation we created last time things went nuts. 

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#realestate #2017 #rmortgagedelinquencies #costofliving #ROI #inflation #consumerprices #householddebt #investing #buying #selling

The city of San Francisco has created a new transfer tax that will be used (very partially) to pay for junior college tuition - for anyone - well, anyone that has lived in the city for at least 1 year.

While we can debate whether or not the government taking money from one group and giving it to another to provide a free college education on some other occasion, what we are most interested today is what this will likely do to the real estate market in San Francisco. 

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Also, check out links to the articles discussed in todays show, check out the show notes at http://www.therebelbroker.com

#realestate #2017 #realestatetaxes #propertytaxes #ROI #transfertaxes #investing #buying #selling