Canada was built on Entrepreneurship.
But last April the Montreal Economic Institute issued a warning:
The number of self-employed Canadians with paid help—the businesses most likely to scale, hire, challenge incumbents, and help grow GDP— peaked some time ago at approximately 867,000 in 2005.
By 2025, that number had fallen to 716,000, a drop of nearly 18 percent—despite population growth of over 9 million over that same time period.
Self-employment accounted for roughly 16 per cent of total employment in Canada at the start of the 2000s but this fell to 11 per cent by 2025.
In per capita terms, about one in 37 Canadians was an entrepreneur back in 2005, compared to only one in 58 Canadians by last year.
The Hub, another think tank, mirrored the concerns. They point to research that says between 2015 and 2024, annual business formation in Canada was essentially flat.
Worse Federal industrial regulatory requirements grew 37 percent between 2006 and 2021, before counting in the effect of provincial and municipal rules.
And against that backdrop is the demographic reality, that succession is in full swing in Canada – just when we need new entrepreneurs to take over small businesses, there is a real dearth of them.
In fact, the Canadian Federation of Independent Business (CFIB) says that Canada is experiencing a historic "entrepreneurial drought" where business closures outpace new entries. At the exact same time, a "succession tsunami" is hitting the economy as an aging generation of owners prepares to exit.
So to help us embellish on this topic today is our friend Dan Kelly.
Dan Kelly is CFIB’s President and CEO and, in this role, is the lead spokesperson and advocate for the views of the organization’s 103,000 members. In 2015, Dan was named one of the “Top 100 most powerful and influential people in government and politics” by Power & Influence Magazine, and he is regularly featured on lists of Canada’s top lobbyists. Dan is a regular speaker in Canada and around the world on topics such as international trade, the payments industry, and skills and labour shortages. Dan started his CFIB career in 1994 as a Policy Analyst in his hometown of Winnipeg. Before becoming President of the CFIB and relocating to Toronto in 2012, Dan served as CFIB’s Senior Vice-President of Legislative Affairs based in Ottawa. While in Ottawa, Dan focused on the need for major changes in the payments industry and drafted the first version of Canada’s Code of Conduct for the Credit and Debit Card Industry. Over the course of 2020 and 2021, Dan led CFIB’s 400 staff in supporting small businesses through endless lockdowns and COVID restrictions. The CFIB took 150,000 calls from small business owners at that time and Dan personally did over 3000 media interviews.
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