F1 took a break, but we didn’t this week. Nate and John speculate wildly on the silly season futures of Alonso, Verstappen, and Piastri (and more). They then break down how the model did during the first half of the season. And you can see a graph of that performance at overtakemode.net! Thanks again to Edward for encouraging us to graph our performance versuses the bookmakers. Recorded on 8/6/26.

Overtake Mode's Recharge signs off before the F1 summer break with a review of the 2026 Hungarian Grand Prix, where Lando Norris won from pole and Nate's model had its best weekend of the season. He beat the bookmakers both before and after qualifying. John and Nate dig into Aston Martin's genuine resurgence (Newey still has the magic), Ferrari's baffling strategy and Hamilton's latest penalty, and decode exactly why Toto Wolff calling those race engineers "Teletubby engineers" is a filthier insult than it sounds.

Listen to our real-time reactions to the action on track, a breakdown of Nate’s live model, and get our thoughts on the Hungary 2025 GP.

After nailing our predictions in Austria, our model had a much rougher time at Silverstone — and so did the bookmakers. But there's a receipt worth reading: once you strip out the three DNFs and Antonelli's broken-car heartbreak, our post-qualifying model actually called the finishing order more accurately than the market did. The chaos hurt everyone; the underlying read held up. We get into the ongoing challenges this new regulation era poses — to our model and to the F1 teams themselves — and look ahead to what Spa might have in store.

We discuss the model's performance this past weekend against the bookmakers' odds — and we start entertaining ways to improve it further. We also get into all the on-track action, from Russell's victory to Verstappen's "Karen" moment when Hamilton blocked one of his passes. And then there's Cadillac…

This week on Recharge, we break down Lewis Hamilton's win, John and Lando Norris' shared takes on George Russell, and how the race's DNFs shook our model at the 2026 Spanish Grand Prix. We also get into the underrated role team managers play in their drivers' success.

After a chaotic and penalty-ridden Grand Prix in the principality, Nate and John break down how the Overtake Mode model did in the face of an onslaught of penalties, safety cars, and mega upsets. Hint: we actually didn’t do so badly!

Following the 2026 Canadian Grand Prix in Montreal, we break down the madness on track, all the DNFs, and McLaren's epic misfire. This race weekend battered our model, but the bookmakers didn't fare much better. Nate also teases our model’s Monaco predictions as we brace for another weekend without F1.

Following the 2026 Miami Grand Prix, we break down Antonelli's win, McLaren's resurgence, our model’s performance, and Toto’s neglect of George in favor of Kimi. We also dig into the Red Bull second seat curse, Williams' mysteriously slimmed-down chassis, and John finally — finally — understands super clipping.

After Suzuka, we discuss why the model reached its greatest accuracy yet for both our pre- and post-qualifying predictions. After John gushes over Piastri’s return to form, "Toto Wolff" even calls in to congratulate Kimi Nate on his first F1 victory. We then discuss why Verstappen continues to rank highly in our predicted finishes despite Red Bull's poor form this season, and why we expect McLaren to outperform our model's current predictions. Depending on how strong both constructors look after the 2026 Miami Grand Prix, we explain how the model should begin accounting for the new regulation realities of 2026.