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This week on Overtake Mode, we crossed the finish line at Singapore ahead of COTA in Austin. We break down how the model did, and Nate releases the hounds on John for taking so long to produce this pod.
Ill with a virus and Russell melancholy, Nate laments the current state of the World Drivers championship. John tries to keep things short, and they both are happy to see Alonso menacing the grid once again. Don’t miss this late-breaking pod!
John forgets how to operate a microphone while Nate showers compliments on Colapinto's amazing race. Seeking to avoid a Sopranos ending to their pod, they stay focused on the model outperforming the bookmakers all weekend. For more content and visuals, visit us at Overtakemode.net.
Nate and John continue to evaluate Overtake Mode’s model after the 2026 Spanish Grand Prix, Nate praises Verstappen (don’t tell Russell or Tad), John defends Hamilton’s legacy (Nate doesn’t write the episode copy), and both look forward to the rest of the F1 season. Graphics for this post available at overtakemode.net.
Nate and John discuss Ferrari and Merecedes favoritism, how our model outperformed the bookmakers after qualifying, and Nate confesses something “special” about his love for George Russell. Then we look forward to the next race in Madrid: can Alpine continue to surprise and will Aston Martin ever have a fast car?
Can Norris challenge Kimi Antonelli for the title? Can Albon and Sainz race for points rather than into each other? After the summer break, Zandvoort got us excited about F1 again despite what the reg-haters say. McLaren banked another win by doing something we thought they had forgotten how to do: make a brilliant strategy call. Nate talks us through the "bottom feeders" (his word, not John’s) from Aston Martin to Haas to Williams. Speaking of Williams, Vowles makes a new "appearance" in our latest recurring Recharge feature. You won't want to miss this week's pod.
F1 took a break, but we didn’t this week. Nate and John speculate wildly on the silly season futures of Alonso, Verstappen, and Piastri (and more). They then break down how the model did during the first half of the season. And you can see a graph of that performance at overtakemode.net! Thanks again to Edward for encouraging us to graph our performance versuses the bookmakers. Recorded on 8/6/26.
Overtake Mode's Recharge signs off before the F1 summer break with a review of the 2026 Hungarian Grand Prix, where Lando Norris won from pole and Nate's model had its best weekend of the season. He beat the bookmakers both before and after qualifying. John and Nate dig into Aston Martin's genuine resurgence (Newey still has the magic), Ferrari's baffling strategy and Hamilton's latest penalty, and decode exactly why Toto Wolff calling those race engineers "Teletubby engineers" is a filthier insult than it sounds.
Listen to our real-time reactions to the action on track, a breakdown of Nate’s live model, and get our thoughts on the Hungary 2025 GP.
After nailing our predictions in Austria, our model had a much rougher time at Silverstone — and so did the bookmakers. But there's a receipt worth reading: once you strip out the three DNFs and Antonelli's broken-car heartbreak, our post-qualifying model actually called the finishing order more accurately than the market did. The chaos hurt everyone; the underlying read held up. We get into the ongoing challenges this new regulation era poses — to our model and to the F1 teams themselves — and look ahead to what Spa might have in store.
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