In a Wall Street Journal interview a few days ago, President Donald Trump was circumspect regarding his party’s prospects in the 2026 congressional elections. Although no one doubts the president’s supreme confidence that he is doing the right things for the country (“I’ve created the greatest economy in history”), he acknowledged, “that he couldn’t predict if that would translate into political gains for Republicans next fall.” The party of the sitting president has picked up congressional seats in midterm elections only twice since World War II: Bill Clinton in 1998 and George W. Bush in 2002. And the case of...

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