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Jobs have been shoring up the economy until now — but last week’s jobs report shows the labor market may be on shaky ground. Still, the Dow and S&P 500 pushed higher last week amid renewed promises of Iran talks and lower oil. 

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Markets finally reacted to all commotion last week — and not in a good way. Renewed tensions in the Middle East pushed oil and bond yields up, fanning new inflation concerns right before the Fed’s next meeting. 

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Consumer and producer prices both dipped in June, largely due to falling oil prices amid the Iran ceasefire. But with oil back up and tensions flaring again, this may be a head fake rather than a trend. Higher oil prices may mean next month’s numbers will reverse. 

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Renewed tensions with Iran briefly unsettled markets, lifting oil prices and bond yields while reducing expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. Although stocks have largely recovered, ongoing geopolitical uncertainty could keep inflation elevated, interest rates higher, and market volatility in focus. 

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Q2 delivered a sharp turnaround for markets, with the S&P 500 posting its best quarter in six years despite a rocky start. But the June jobs numbers offered a reality check and tempered some of the optimism. The picture heading into Q3 is more complicated than headlines might suggest. 

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Last week’s market volatility had several drivers: a tech sell-off fueled by AI infrastructure cost concerns, an inflation reading that signals the Fed may be back on a rate-tightening path and ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions. Meanwhile, Q1 GDP was revised upward — a reminder that the underlying economy is holding up even when markets aren’t. 

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Last week included two major market-moving developments: a U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding and new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s first press conference. Both stories shaped the markets, with the Dow topping 52,000. Still, uncertainty around inflation, possible future rate hikes and the Iran deal’s durability has everyone watching closely. 

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Markets were on the move last week due to several factors: renewed U.S. military strikes on Iran and a sudden ceasefire; hot CPI and PPI readings; and a wobbling tech sector. And, oh yeah — the biggest IPO in history. 

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Iran tensions and a new Fed chair could have dragged markets down last week, but they moved up instead on news of better-than-expected Nvidia earnings. How long can markets continue to shrug off the noise? Our latest weekly market update covers what’s happening with political and geopolitical tensions and why markets continue to move upward despite everything going on. 

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New market records, potential progress on the Iran conflict and a jobs report that nearly doubled estimates — a lot happened last week!

Detailed Write-up: https://financeinsights.net/N32NhAnxwsvPaPDFbkKkQs0WEWm

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