UBS’s new “Bear Market Damage Index” puts hard numbers onto a very real problem — sequence of returns in retirement. UBS postulated a bear market that took 74 months to return to its former high. This podcast (5:45) reports UBS’s calculation that a liquidity strategy keyed to this worst of worst case scenarios did far better than a 100% equity strategy. These numbers should be of interest to anyone who thinks the next bear market might be a big one, and may also suggest a longer liquidity window than most advisors budget for.
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