On problems of trust: ‘contrived leaks’ and betrayals. 

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Details: Dunlap; main points—unintended problems and problems of trust; Sey Hersh on the CIA's `family jewels'; problems of trust—`contrived leaks' and betrayals; `contrived leaks'—when the motivation is sub-group hostility; betrayals—when the motivation is (in cause or in effect) hostile to the whole group; MICE; the havoc; moles; recap; next. Complete notes and video at: https://www.retraice.com/segments/re4

Series: Dulles - Craft of Intelligence, Chpt. 15, ‘Security in a Free Society’, Part 3.

Air date: Thursday, 10th Sep. 2020, 10 AM Pacific/US.

Chapters:  

00:00 Dunlap;

01:47 main points—unintended problems and problems of trust;

03:26 Sey Hersh on the CIA's 'family jewels';

06:03 problems of trust—`contrived leaks' and betrayals;

06:40 `contrived leaks'—when the motivation is sub-group hostility;

18:11 betrayals—when the motivation is (in cause or in effect) hostile to the whole group;

20:08 MICE;

22:22 the havoc;

30:57 moles;

33:30 recap;

34:47 next.

References: 

   Charney, D. L., & Irvin, J. A. (2016). A guide to the psychology of espionage. In Oleson (2016).

   Dulles, A. (2016). The Craft of Intelligence. Lyons Press / Rowman & Littlefield. First published 1963. This edition copyright Joan Buresch Talley, daughter of Dulles. ISBN: 978-1493018796. Searches: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=978-1493018796 https://www.google.com/search?q=isbn+978-1493018796 https://lccn.loc.gov/2016017105 Different editions available at: https://archive.org/search.php?query=The%20Craft%20of%20Intelligence

   Grose, P. (1994). Gentleman Spy: The Life of Allen Dulles. Houghton Mifflin. ISBN: 0395516072. Also available at: https://archive.org/details/gentlemanspylife00gros

   Hersh, S. M. (2018). Reporter: A Memoir. Vintage / Penguin Random House. ISBN: 978-0307276612. Searches: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=978-0307276612 https://www.google.com/search?q=isbn+978-0307276612 https://lccn.loc.gov/2017051856

   Lowenthal, M. M. (2020). Intelligence: From Secrets to Policy. CQ Press / SAGE Publications, 8th ed. ISBN: 978-1544358345. Searches: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=978-1544358345 https://www.google.com/search?q=isbn+978-1544358345 https://lccn.loc.gov/2019027254 Other editions available at: https://archive.org/search.php?query=Intelligence%3A%20From%20Secrets%20to%20Policy

   Oleson, P. C. (Ed.) (2016). AFIO’s Guide to the Study of Intelligence. Association of Former Intelligence Officers, 1st ed. Citations are of the pbk edition, ISBN: 978-0997527308. PDF edition available at: https://www.afio.com/40_guide.htm Retrieved 10th Sep. 2020.

   Retraice (2020/09/11). Re5: Hints From Inside. retraice.com. https://www.retraice.com/segments/re5 Retrieved 22nd Sep. 2020.

   Schneier, B. (2003). Beyond Fear: Thinking Sensibly About Security in an Uncertain World. Copernicus Books. ISBN: 0387026207. Searches: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=0387026207 https://www.google.com/search?q=isbn+0387026207 https://lccn.loc.gov/2003051488 Similar edition available at: https://archive.org/details/beyondfearthinki00schn_0

Copyright: 2020 Retraice, Inc.  https://retraice.com

On problems of information: ‘careless leaks’ and ‘giveaways’.

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Details: main points; problems of information; problems of trust; problems of survival; problems of information—'careless leaks' and 'giveaways'; 'careless leaks'; 'giveaways'; recap; next. Complete notes and video at: https://www.retraice.com/segments/re3

Dulles - Craft of Intelligence, Chpt. 15, ‘Security in a Free Society’, Part 2.

Air date: Wednesday, 9th Sep. 2020, 7pm Pacific/US.

01:00 main points;

02:25 problems of information;

05:06 problems of trust;

05:36 problems of survival;

07:38 problems of information—'careless leaks' and 'giveaways';

15:11 'careless leaks';

24:50 'giveaways';

49:33 recap;

52:30 next.

References:

Bostrom, N. (2011). Information Hazards: A Typology of Potential Harms from Knowledge. Review of Contemporary Philosophy, 10, 44–79. Citations are from Bostrom’s website copy: https://www.nickbostrom.com/information-hazards.pdf Retrieved 9th Sep. 2020.

Dulles, A. (2016). The Craft of Intelligence. Lyons Press / Rowman & Littlefield. First published 1963. This edition copyright Joan Buresch Talley, daughter of Dulles. ISBN: 978-1493018796. Different editions available at: https://archive.org/search.php?query=The%20Craft%20of%20Intelligence

Rosenthal, A. M. (1959). Polish spy chief defects to west. New York Times. 22nd Nov. 1959 https://nyti.ms/1GZQ0Ku Retrieved 9th Sep. 2020.

Vallee, J. (1979). Messengers of Deception: UFO Contacts and Cults. And/Or Press. ISBN: 0915904381. A different edition available at: https://archive.org/details/MessengersOfDeceptionUFOContactsAndCultsJacquesValle1979/mode/2up

Copyright: 2020 Retraice, Inc. https://retraice.com

On Dulles, evidence, trust, ‘is’ and ‘ought’, and capacities.

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Details: Allen Dulles; The Craft of Intelligence; the gist of chpt. 15—‘Security in a Free Society’; four kinds of problems; problems of evidence; text; context; 'we'; evidence of thoughts; evidence of events; events and ideas; beliefs; problems of trust; deception and error; reputations; power (control) and incentives; control; incentives; problems of ‘is’ and ‘ought’; good guys and bad guys; openness; errors; need for ‘the bloodthirsty’; violence; kinds of war; psychological warfare—rumors; cyberwarfare—probing defenses; problems of our capacities; recap; next. Complete notes and video at: https://www.retraice.com/segments/re2

Dulles - Craft of Intelligence chpt. 15, ‘Security in a Free Society’, Part 1.

Air date: Tuesday, 8th Sep. 2020, 5pm Pacific/US.

0:00:00 Allen Dulles;

0:14:35 The Craft of Intelligence;

0:21:43 the gist of chpt. 15—‘Security in a Free Society’;

0:25:23 four kinds of problems;

0:25:54 problems of evidence;

0:25:59 text;

0:28:34 context;

0:31:35 'we';

0:33:13 evidence of thoughts;

0:37:15 evidence of events;

0:40:05 events and ideas;

0:41:32 beliefs;

0:43:16 problems of trust;

0:43:55 deception and error;

0:44:45 reputations;

0:51:22 power (control) and incentives;

0:55:29 control;

1:02:37 incentives;

1:08:23 problems of ‘is’ and ‘ought’;

1:09:12 good guys and bad guys;

1:11:14 openness;

1:13:31 errors;

1:13:56 need for ‘the bloodthirsty’;

1:19:46 violence;

1:22:09 kinds of war;

1:22:24 psychological warfare—rumors;

1:24:18 cyberwarfare—probing defenses;

1:26:54 problems of our capacities;

1:29:44 recap;

1:31:05 next.

References: 

Duflo, E., & Banerjee, A. (2019). Economic incentives don’t always do what we want them to. New York Times. 26th Oct. 2019 https://www.nytimes.com/2019/10/26/opinion/sunday/duflo-banerjee-economic-incentives.html Retrieved 8th Sep. 2020.

Dulles, A. (1960). Letter to Mr. Charles JV Murphy from Allen W. Dulles. cia.gov. 9th Jun. 1960 https://www.cia.gov/library/readingroom/docs/CIA-RDP80B01676R003600130033-5.pdf Retrieved 8th Sep. 2020.

Dulles, A. (2016). The Craft of Intelligence. Lyons Press / Rowman & Littlefield. First published 1963. This edition copyright Joan Buresch Talley, daughter of Dulles. ISBN: 978-1493018796. Different editions available at: https://archive.org/search.php?query=The%20Craft%20of%20Intelligence

Fischer, D. H. (1970). Historians Fallacies: Toward A Logic Of Historical Thought. Harper & Row. ISBN: 0061315451. Searches: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=0061315451 https://www.google.com/search?q=isbn+0061315451 https://lccn.loc.gov/69015583 Similar edition available at: https://archive.org/details/HistoriansFallaciesTowardALogicOfHistoricalThought/

Fitzgerald, F. S. (1936). The crack-up: A desolately frank document from one for whom the salt of life has lost its savor. Esquire. 1st Feb. 1936 https://classic.esquire.com/article/1936/2/1/the-crack-up Retrieved 8th Sep. 2020.

Gregory, R. L. (Ed.) (2004). The Oxford Companion to the Mind. Oxford University Press, 2nd ed. ISBN: 0198662246. Searches: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=0198662246 https://www.google.com/search?q=isbn+0198662246 https://lccn.loc.gov/2004275127

Grose, P. (1994). Gentleman Spy: The Life of Allen Dulles. Houghton Mifflin. ISBN: 0395516072. Also available at: https://archive.org/details/gentlemanspylife00gros

Hamblin, C. L. (1970). Fallacies. Vale. First published 1970. This Vale Press edition 2004. ISBN: 0916475247. Different edition available at: https://archive.org/details/fallacies0000hamb/page/12/mode/2up.

Horwich, P. (1982). Probability and Evidence. Cambridge. First published 1982; first paperback 2011; this Cambridge Philosophy Classics edition 2016. ISBN: 978-1316507018. Searches: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=978-1316507018 https://www.google.com/search?q=isbn+978-1316507018 https://lccn.loc.gov/2015049717

Kennedy, J. F. (1961). Remarks Upon Presenting The National Security Medal To Allen W. Dulles. jfklibrary.org. 28th Nov. 1961 https://www.jfklibrary.org/asset-viewer/archives/JFKWHA/1961/JFKWHA-058-003/JFKWHA-058-003 Retrieved 1st Sep. 2020.

Nell, V. (2004). Cruelty. Article in Gregory (2004).

O’Donnell, P. K. (2004). Operatives, Spies, and Saboteurs: The Unknown Story of the Men and Women of World War II’s OSS. Free Press / Simon & Schuster. ISBN: 074323572X. Also available at: https://archive.org/details/operativesspiess00odon

Retraice (2020/xx/xx). Re6: Interface. retraice.com. Pending publication.

Schneier, B. (2016). Someone is learning how to take down the internet. schneier.com. 13th Sep. 2016 https://www.schneier.com/essays/archives/2016/09/someone\_is\_learning\_.html Retrieved 8th Sep. 2020. Also published at https://www.lawfareblog.com/someone-learning-how-take-down-internet

Talbot, D. (2015). The Devil’s Chessboard: Allen Dulles, the CIA, and the Rise of America’s Secret Government. Harper Perennial. ISBN: 978-0062276179. Searches: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=978-0062276179 https://www.google.com/search?q=isbn+978-0062276179 https://lccn.loc.gov/2015487367

Trento, J. J. (2001). The Secret History of the CIA. Forum / Prima. ISBN:0761525629 https://archive.org/details/secrethistoryofc0000tren/mode/2up Retrieved 8th Sep. 2020.

Weizenbaum, J. (1976). Computer Power and Human Reason: From Judgment to Calculation. W. H. Freeman and Company. ISBN: 0716704633. Also available at: https://archive.org/details/computerpowerhum0000weiz

Copyright: 2020 Retraice, Inc. https://retraice.com

On natural, artificial and strategic intelligence; intellectual hazards; secrets. 

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Details: Russell on knowledge; Retraice; three kinds of intelligence; natural intelligence; artificial intelligence; strategic intelligence; hazards—secrets, minefields, blind spots; tests and reminders; knowledge; evidence; fallacies; secrets—likely and unlikely; the price of information; deception; intelligence in warfare; next. Complete notes and video at: https://www.retraice.com/segments/re1

Air date: Monday, 7th Sep. 2020, 3pm Pacific/US.

00:00 Russell on knowledge;

01:26 Retraice;

02:23 three kinds of intelligence;

04:45 natural intelligence;

07:09 artificial intelligence;

09:49 strategic intelligence;

15:00 hazards—secrets, minefields, blind spots;

17:03 tests and reminders;

17:29 knowledge;

18:09 evidence;

20:15 fallacies;

23:36 secrets—likely and unlikely;

24:09 the price of information;

30:11 deception;

31:49 intelligence in warfare;

32:47 next.

References:

Ames, R. T. (1993). Sun Tzu: The Art of Warfare. Random House. ISBN: 034536239X. Searches: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=034536239X https://www.google.com/search?q=isbn+034536239X https://lccn.loc.gov/92052662

Churchland, P., & Churchland, P. (2000). Foreward to the Second Edition of Von Neumann’s ‘The Computer and the Brain’. In von Neumann (1958).

Ferguson, N. (2017). The Square and the Tower: Networks and Power, from the Freemasons to Facebook. Penguin. ISBN: 978-0735222915. Searches: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=978-0735222915 https://www.google.com/search?q=isbn+978-0735222915 https://lccn.loc.gov/2018418429

Grabo, C. M. (2002). Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning. Center for Strategic Intelligence Research. ISBN: 0965619567 https://www.ni-u.edu/ni_press/pdf/Anticipating_Surprise_Analysis.pdf Retrieved 7th Sep. 2020.

Hamblin, C. L. (1970). Fallacies. Vale. First published 1970. This Vale Press edition 2004. ISBN: 0916475247. Different edition available at: https://archive.org/details/fallacies0000hamb/page/12/mode/2up.

Horwich, P. (1982). Probability and Evidence. Cambridge. First published 1982; first paperback 2011; this Cambridge Philosophy Classics edition 2016. ISBN: 978-1316507018. Searches: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=978-1316507018 https://www.google.com/search?q=isbn+978-1316507018 https://lccn.loc.gov/2015049717

Lowenthal, M. M. (2020). Intelligence: From Secrets to Policy. CQ Press / SAGE Publications, 8th ed. ISBN: 978-1544358345. Searches: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=978-1544358345 https://www.google.com/search?q=isbn+978-1544358345 https://lccn.loc.gov/2019027254 Other editions available at: https://archive.org/search.php?query=Intelligence%3A%20From%20Secrets%20to%20Policy

O’Shea, M. (2005). The Brain: A Very Short Introduction. Oxford. ISBN: 978-0192853929. Searches: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=978-0192853929 https://www.google.com/search?q=isbn+978-0192853929 https://lccn.loc.gov/2005027741

Russell, B. (1921). The Analysis of Mind. Macmillan. No ISBN. https://books.google.com/books?id=4dYLAAAAIAAJ Retrieved 6th May. 2019.

Russell, B. (1992). Human Knowledge: Its Scope and Limits. Routledge. First published in 1948. This edition 1992. ISBN: 0415083028. Different editions available at: https://archive.org/search.php?query=Human%20Knowledge%3A%20Its%20Scope%20and%20Limits

Vallee, J. (1979). Messengers of Deception: UFO Contacts and Cults. And/Or Press. ISBN: 0915904381. A different edition available at: https://archive.org/details/MessengersOfDeceptionUFOContactsAndCultsJacquesValle1979/mode/2up

von Neumann, J. (1958). The Computer and the Brain. Yale, 3rd ed. First published 1958. Third edition 2012. ISBN: 978-0300181111. Searches for this edition: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=978-0300181111 https://www.google.com/search?q=isbn+978-0300181111 https://lccn.loc.gov/2011943281 Different editions available at: https://archive.org/search.php?query=The%20Computer%20and%20the%20Brain

Weston, A. (2000). A Rulebook for Arguments. Hackett, 3rd ed. ISBN: 0872205525. Also available at: https://archive.org/details/rulebookforargum00west_3

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