Rigatoni Capital Podcast

Rigatoni Capital is a daily morning podcast for long term, buy and hold investors. This is not a show for short term traders or people looking for quick wins. Every morning I go through the most important headlines in finance, markets, and macro, and call out fake narratives in the financial media so you know what actually deserves your attention and what to ignore.

The goal is to own a portfolio of great assets, stocks and Bitcoin, and hold them long enough to let compounding work. Wealth is not built by trading in and out of positions. It is built by buying quality and staying patient.

This week is a big one. Nvidia GTC kicks off today in San Jose, with CEO Jensen Huang delivering his keynote this morning in front of 30,000 attendees from 190 countries. The AI infrastructure world is watching closely for updates on Vera Rubin, new chip generations, and where the agentic AI buildout goes next. I also cover my new Substack post on the Next Defense Industrial Revolution and what the US Army's $20 billion contract with Anduril means for the broader defense tech thesis. The modern battlefield is being redefined by software and AI and this contract is one of the clearest signals yet that the government knows it.

Subscribe to Rigatoni Capital on Substack: https://rigatonicapital.substack.com

Disclaimer: This blog is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All opinions are my own, and I am not a financial advisor. The information provided reflects my personal views and is intended to encourage discussion and thought among readers. Investments involve risk, including the loss of principal, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

#investing #stocks #finance #wallstreet #stockmarket #investor #investing101 #personalfinance #wealthbuilding #financialfreedom #passiveincome #dividends #compounding #longterminvesting #buyandhold #valueinvesting #portfoliomanagement #bitcoin #crypto #macro #NvidiaGTC #GTC2026 #JensenHuang #AI #DefenseTech #Anduril #DefenseStocks #ArtificialIntelligence #defenseindustrialrevolution #semiconductors #RigatoniCapital

$NVDA $LMT $RTX $PLTR $ITA $QQQ

Rigatoni Capital is a daily morning podcast for long term, buy and hold investors. This is not a show for short term traders or people looking for quick wins. Every morning I go through the most important headlines in finance, markets, and macro, and call out fake narratives in the financial media so you know what actually deserves your attention and what to ignore.

The goal is to own a portfolio of great assets, stocks and Bitcoin, and hold them long enough to let compounding work. Wealth is not built by trading in and out of positions. It is built by buying quality and staying patient.

Subscribe to Rigatoni Capital on Substack: https://rigatonicapital.substack.com

Disclaimer: This blog is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All opinions are my own, and I am not a financial advisor. The information provided reflects my personal views and is intended to encourage discussion and thought among readers. Investments involve risk, including the loss of principal, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

#investing #stocks #finance #wallstreet #stockmarket #investor #investing101 #personalfinance #wealthbuilding #financialfreedom #passiveincome #dividends #compounding #longterminvesting #buyandhold #valueinvesting #portfoliomanagement #bitcoin #crypto #macro #consumer #earningsseason #retail #techstocks #AIstocks #marketanalysis #recession #consumersentiment #inflation #RigatoniCapital

$ADBE $ULTA $LEN $QQQ $LIN $ITA

Rigatoni Capital is a daily morning podcast for long term, buy and hold investors. This is not a show for short term traders or people looking for quick wins. Every morning I go through the most important headlines in finance, markets, and macro, and call out fake narratives in the financial media so you know what actually deserves your attention and what to ignore.

The goal is to own a portfolio of great assets, stocks and Bitcoin, and hold them long enough to let compounding work. Wealth is not built by trading in and out of positions. It is built by buying quality and staying patient.

Today I dig deeper into American Express and what the charts and fundamentals are telling me right now. I also walk through the ugly data that is going to start flowing out of the Strait of Hormuz disruption. And I take a look at Vail Resorts as an interesting long term investment idea worth putting on your radar.

Subscribe to Rigatoni Capital on Substack: https://rigatonicapital.substack.com

Disclaimer: This blog is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All opinions are my own, and I am not a financial advisor. The information provided reflects my personal views and is intended to encourage discussion and thought among readers. Investments involve risk, including the loss of principal, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

#investing #stocks #finance #wallstreet #stockmarket #investor #investing101 #personalfinance #wealthbuilding #financialfreedom #passiveincome #dividends #compounding #longterminvesting #buyandhold #valueinvesting #portfoliomanagement #bitcoin #crypto #macro #geopolitics #oilprices #Iran #MiddleEast #marketnews #earningsseason #inflation #hedging #retirementplanning #RigatoniCapital

$AXP $NVDA $TEAM $MTN $SLV

Oracle reported last night and the stock is jumping, CPI came in at 2.4% in line with expectations, and I walk through what both of those mean for the market and for long term investors.

On Oracle, the numbers were strong across the board. Total revenue came in at $17.2 billion, up 22% year over year. Cloud revenue surged 44% and infrastructure revenue jumped 84%. The company also raised its fiscal year 2027 revenue guidance to $90 billion. For a stock that had been beaten down over 20% year to date, this was the print the bulls needed.

CPI for February came in at 2.4% year over year, matching expectations, with core CPI at 2.5%. The important caveat here is that this data was collected before the Iran war broke out, meaning the oil shock has not shown up in the official numbers yet. That is a March and April problem. For now, the number is what it is and the market is taking it as a mild positive.

I also talk about the fake headlines circulating around Bitcoin miners dumping their holdings. I break down why that narrative is misleading and what is actually happening on the ground.

Casey's General Store is a stock with an absolutely remarkable chart but I am not buying it. I explain why, and what it would take to change my mind. And we look at a recent piece calling Nvidia a five layer cake, which is a framework worth understanding if you hold the stock.

Subscribe to Rigatoni Capital on Substack: https://rigatonicapital.substack.com

Disclaimer: This blog is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All opinions are my own, and I am not a financial advisor. The information provided reflects my personal views and is intended to encourage discussion and thought among readers. Investments involve risk, including the loss of principal, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

#investing #stocks #finance #wallstreet #Oracle #ORCL #CPI #Inflation #Bitcoin #BTC #BitcoinMiners #Nvidia #NVDA #CaseysGeneralStore #CASY #CloudComputing #AI #EarningsSeason #Macro #LongTermInvesting #RigatoniCapital

Tickers:

$ORCL $BTC $NVDA $CASY

Today feels like a brief pause before the next wave hits. CPI data is coming and the market knows it, which means the volatility we have been living through is far from over. I go through what I am watching this morning and why I think the calm will be short lived.

We cover oil prices, which remain elevated as the Iran war continues to grind on with no clear off ramp. I also break down the VIX. I talk about Goldman Sachs and American Express. If you bought either of those on the selloff, congratulations. I did not pull the trigger and I am honest about that.

I also get into something that does not get enough attention in the financial media: the US government may need to print more money, and we are still sitting at a debt to GDP ratio of 122%.

And I take a step back and talk about who this show is really for. Rigatoni Capital is built for the passive, long term, buy and hold investor. Someone who is not making a dozen moves a month, not glued to a trading terminal, but wants to think seriously about their portfolio and understand what is happening in the world around it. If that is you, you are in the right place.

Subscribe to Rigatoni Capital on Substack: https://rigatonicapital.substack.comDisclaimer:

This blog is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All opinions are my own, and I am not a financial advisor. The information provided reflects my personal views and is intended to encourage discussion and thought among readers. Investments involve risk, including the loss of principal, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

#investing #stocks #finance #wallstreet #CPI #Inflation #VIX #OilPrices #Iran #DebtToGDP #GoldmanSachs #AmericanExpress #LongTermInvesting #BuyAndHold #PassiveInvesting #Macro #FederalReserve #RigatoniCapital #MarketVolatility

Tickers:$GS $AXP $VIX $BTC

Markets are under serious pressure this morning and I walk through exactly what I am watching and what I am doing as a long term investor. Panic is not a strategy. I go through the macro picture, the charts, and the key events ahead this week.

Overnight, Iran named Mojtaba Khamenei, the 56-year-old son of the assassinated Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, as the country's new supreme leader. The Assembly of Experts named him following a decisive vote, with key political leaders and the IRGC quickly pledging their backing. His selection cements hardline theocratic rule and sends a clear message of defiance as Iran remains locked in conflict with the US and Israel. I break down what this means for the war, for oil, and for the market going forward.

On the earnings front, two big names report this week that every investor should be watching. Oracle reports Tuesday March 10th and Adobe reports Thursday March 12th, among the early reports of the 2026 Q1 earnings season.

I also go through the charts: financials, IGV, Bitcoin, and SMH. The tape is telling a story and I walk through what I see on each one and how it shapes my thinking as someone who does not trade but does pay attention.

Subscribe to Rigatoni Capital on Substack: https://rigatonicapital.substack.com

Disclaimer: This blog is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All opinions are my own, and I am not a financial advisor. The information provided reflects my personal views and is intended to encourage discussion and thought among readers. Investments involve risk, including the loss of principal, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

#investing #stocks #finance #wallstreet #Iran #MiddleEast #OperationEpicFury #Oracle #Adobe #Bitcoin #Semiconductors #SMH #IGV #LongTermInvesting #MarketCrash #BuyTheDip #Macro #EarningsSeason #Financials #RigatoniCapital #valueinvesting #valuestocks

The February jobs report showed 92,000 jobs lost. Oil is now trading above $90 a barrel, WTI crude surging roughly 37% in a single week as the Iran war chokes off the Strait of Hormuz. Gas prices at the pump just hit $3.32 a gallon nationally, their highest level of the year, and analysts are warning of $100 Brent crude if the disruption holds. I walk through exactly what is happening in energy markets and what it means for investors right now.

That sets up the Fed's so-called dilemma. The jobs market is cracking and oil is spiking at the same time. Everyone in financial media is treating this like the Fed faces some impossible choice. I do not buy it. Cut rates. The labor market is telling you everything you need to know and I am not losing sleep over the Fed's feelings on this one.

On the portfolio side, I have been watching Goldman Sachs closely on this selloff and getting increasingly interested in the stock. I walk through why financials have been under pressure and what the setup looks like from a long term investing perspective.

I also get into the defense manufacturing picture and what people are not talking about enough: restocking takes years, not months. Missiles and weapons systems do not get replaced overnight, and gallium, a critical rare earth mineral used in defense and semiconductor applications, is an area of real strategic vulnerability that deserves more attention from investors.

Subscribe to Rigatoni Capital on Substack: https://rigatonicapital.substack.com

#investing #stocks #finance #wallstreet #GoldmanSachs #OilPrices #Iran #StraitofHormuz #FederalReserve #Stagflation #JobsReport #DefenseStocks #RareEarths #Gallium #Macro #EnergyStocks #InterestRates #Inflation #LongTermInvesting #RigatoniCapital #WTI #CrudeOil

The February jobs report just dropped and it is ugly. The US shed 92,000 jobs last month, a massive miss versus expectations of a gain of 60,000, and the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.4%. It is the third time in five months the economy has lost jobs, and the revisions made it worse. December was revised from a gain of 48,000 to a loss of 17,000. I break down what this means for the Fed, for inflation already under pressure from rising oil prices, and for your portfolio.

From there I get into the big question hanging over this market: we are not even in a correction yet on major indexes, but cracks are showing everywhere. Financials are selling off hard, American Express and Goldman Sachs among them, and I ask whether that is a buying opportunity or a warning sign of something deeper.

I also revisit the KOSPI conversation. Was the Korean market a bubble, or was it a legitimate AI and semiconductor driven rally that got caught in a geopolitical storm? Rob Arnott appeared on the Excess Returns podcast back in January and called Palantir a bubble. I dig into that take and where it stands today. I also look at John Erlichman's 75 to 1 stock gainers list circulating on X, and what it tells us about long term investing and position sizing.

On the portfolio side, I talk about Costco as a retail investment worth watching in a slowing economy, and I make the case for HALO style stocks like Comfort Systems and TransDigm. These are the kind of compounders built to hold their ground when everything else is getting hit.

Subscribe to Rigatoni Capital on Substack: https://rigatonicapital.substack.com

#investing #stocks #finance #wallstreet #JobsReport #MacroInvesting #SP500 #KOSPI #Palantir #PLTR #RobArnott #HALOStocks #TransDigm #ComfortSystems #Costco #AmericanExpress #GoldmanSachs #Recession #FederalReserve #StockMarket #BuyTheDip #LongTermInvesting #RigatoniCapital

Three stories every long-term investor should be paying attention to today.

First, Broadcom. Most people who own index funds like QQQ or the S&P 500 have meaningful exposure to AVGO without ever realizing it. We walk through why Broadcom matters, what the company actually does, and why understanding your largest index holdings is a core part of being an informed investor. AVGO just reported record Q1 fiscal 2026 results with revenue of $19.3 billion, up 29% year over year, and AI semiconductor revenue growing 106% — so if you own an index fund, this earnings report affects you whether you know it or not.

Then we get into the US-Iran conflict. Operation Epic Fury is now in day five, and the central question for investors is how long this goes. Trump initially projected a four to five week operation, but analysts are already flagging that Iran is a large country with an extensive security apparatus, and a swift resolution is far from guaranteed. We look at what different duration scenarios mean for markets, energy prices, and how investors should be thinking about positioning.

Finally, Berkshire Hathaway. After four straight quarters of zero buyback activity, Berkshire disclosed on March 4th that it has resumed repurchasing Class A and Class B shares under new CEO Greg Abel, citing a view that shares are trading below intrinsic value. We discuss what that signal means and why it matters for long-term shareholders.

Subscribe to the Rigatoni Capital newsletter on Substack for written analysis, market briefings, and deep dives: https://rigatonicapital.substack.com

#Broadcom #AVGO #BerkshireHathaway #BRKB #Iran #OperationEpicFury #MiddleEast #Israel #Investing #Stocks #Finance #WallStreet #IndexFunds #Semiconductors #WarrenBuffett #StockBuybacks #EarningsSeason #LongTermInvesting #RigatoniCapital

Korea's KOSPI just had its worst day since 2024, down 7.2% in a single session. Samsung and SK Hynix got crushed, circuit breakers were triggered, and foreign investors dumped over $3 billion in Korean equities. We break down exactly why it happened and who is winning right now.

To understand today's selloff, you have to trace the full chain. US tariffs on China led to Beijing retaliating with refined rare earth export restrictions. The US captured Maduro in Venezuela. And now a full-scale war with Iran is threatening the Strait of Hormuz and spiking energy costs for the most energy-dependent semiconductor fabs on the planet. These are not separate headlines. They are one connected geopolitical realignment playing out in real time, and the FRDM ETF is quietly positioned perfectly for this moment.

We also cover CrowdStrike's latest earnings, what China's rare earth restrictions mean for defense and semiconductor supply chains, and why waste management companies deserve a serious look in this environment.

This is the macro-to-portfolio analysis you won't find on CNBC.

Subscribe to Rigatoni Capital on Substack: https://rigatonicapital.substack.com

#investing #stocks #finance #wallstreet #KOSPI #SouthKorea #Iran #OperationEpicFury #DefenseStocks #FRDM #RareEarths #China #CrowdStrike #StraitofHormuz #MacroInvesting #Geopolitics #MiddleEast #ETF #PortfolioStrategy #WasteManagement