Dan Nathan and Guy Adami discuss recent market trends, economic indicators and touch on the today’s positive market movements such as rising stocks, yields, and gold prices, alongside a decrease in the VIX. The discussion covers nuances around tariffs and their market impact, recent earnings reports, and analysts' upgrades and downgrades. Key highlights include insights from Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson on a potentially tradable rally and sector performance analysis, particularly in tech and financials. The conversation also explores the competitive landscape in retail with stocks like Nike, FedEx, Micron, and Boeing, and assesses the effects of recent updates in Chinese equities and other industry sectors.

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Guy Adami and Dan Nathan are joined by David Rosenberg, founder of Rosenberg Research, to discuss notable economic developments and their implications. The episode covers the Federal Reserve's recent stance on monetary policy, adjustments in GDP and inflation forecasts, and the potential onset of stagflation. Rosenberg elaborates on the impact of tariffs, fiscal policies, and the prolonged economic uncertainty on consumer behavior and corporate CapEx. He also highlights historical parallels and the prospects of a recession, while offering his perspective on inflation trends and the equity market's current outlook.

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Dan Nathan and Guy Adami welcome back Jeff Richards, Managing Partner at Notable Capital. The discussion covers a wide range of topics, including the shift from investing in tech giants like the 'Mag 7' to gold and European banks. Jeff shares insights on market concentration and the importance of discovering new tech opportunities. The conversation also delves into the AI revolution, its impact on private markets, and the evolving pricing models in the software industry. Jeff highlights the significant potential of AI in healthcare and stresses the value of taking a long-term investment approach amidst market volatility. The podcast concludes with some discussion on the NCAA tournament and Jeff's picks to make a run.

Further Reading

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Guy Adami and Dan Nathan discuss the anticipation surrounding Federal Reserve decisions on March 19th, examining their potential impact on the market. They delve into the recent volatility in the S&P 500, noting significant sell-offs and the broader economic implications. The episode also covers geopolitical tensions, their influence on oil prices, and the mixed signals from economic data. They address the ongoing narrative around Federal Reserve policies, including discussions on interest rates, inflation, and the potential for a 'grand deal' involving Treasury Secretary and the Fed. The conversation transitions to sector-specific performances, particularly focusing on Nvidia's developers conference and Tesla's stock movements amid global and market pressures. The episode concludes with a forward-looking perspective on market reactions to upcoming Fed commentary and data releases.

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Dan Nathan and Marko Kolanovic, Former Chief Market Strategist at JP Morgan, discuss recent market trends on the Risk Reversal Podcast. They explore the state of the S&P and its rapid declines, the geopolitical and policy influences affecting the market, and the implications of US tariffs and trade conflicts. Marko provides insights into the technical dynamics of recent sell-offs, potential recession indicators, and the impact of global fiscal policies. The conversation also touches on corporate CapEx, interest rates, and the outlook for major sectors like tech equities and consumer spending. Marko emphasizes the heightened uncertainty in the current economic environment and the challenges in forecasting market movements.

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Dan Nathan and Guy Adami discuss a variety of topics including insights from the Treasury Secretary on 'Meet the Press', the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, Nvidia's GTC conference with CEO Jensen Wong, and recent China economic data. Dan and Guy analyze last week's market performance, focusing on the VIX and S&P 500 movements, and debate whether the recent market bounce is temporary or a sign of a longer-term trend. They also discuss the potential impacts of Nvidia's keynote on tech stocks, China's stimulus efforts, and the market performance of semiconductor companies like Intel and AMD. Additionally, they touch on comments from notable market strategists and Fed expectations. Towards the end, they preview key earnings reports from FedEx, Micron, and Nike, and discuss their implications for the economy and various sectors.

Timecodes

0:00 - Bounce Back

3:45 - Nvidia

6:00 - China

9:15 - Market Sentiment

17:00 - Fed Preview

19:50 - Earnings (FDX, MU, NKE)

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Guy Adami and Dan Nathan host Vincent Daniel of Seawolf Capital on the RiskReversal podcast. They discuss market dynamics, focusing on volatility, the impact of the Trump administration's economic policy changes, and key financial indicators. Vincent shares his views on the current state of the market, comparing it to historical trends, and provides insights into credit spreads, regional banks, and gold investments. The episode covers the complexities of navigating market uncertainty and the importance of strategic investment approaches. The conversation touches on geopolitical factors, the potential for a recession, and the nuances of investing in emerging markets.

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Guy Adami is joined by Peter Boockvar, Chief Investment Officer at Bleakly Financial Group. They discuss the recent CPI report, inflation trends, and the implications for the Federal Reserve. Peter also examines how higher interest rates affect different sectors, the impact of tariffs, and the challenges faced by the AI and tech sectors. The conversation extends to global markets, including notable changes in Japan and Europe, and their potential influence on U.S. bond yields. Additionally, they explore the resilience of the gold market in a volatile economic landscape.

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Dan Nathan and Guy Adami dive into the implications of the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which came in softer than expected. They discuss how the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation metrics, tariffs, and the looming trade war with China affect market sentiment. The conversation touches on the recent fluctuations in the stock market, particularly the performance of tech stocks like Nvidia ahead of their user conference, the impact of the trade war on inflation, and the potential for a slowdown in the job market. The discussion also highlights the recent performance of banking stocks, consumer spending trends, and the importance of bipartisan support for economic reforms. The episode explores the forecasting challenges faced by market strategists and the potential for significant market moves in the near future.

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Dan Nathan welcomes Mark Mahaney, Senior Managing Director and Head of Internet Research at Evercore ISI, back to the RiskReversal Podcast. They discuss major shifts in the stock market, comparing today’s landscape with the dot-com bubble of 2000. Key topics include recent significant corrections in major tech stocks like Meta, Netflix, and Google, and the long-term investment opportunities these dislocations might present. Mark shares his investment strategy focusing on high-quality companies, the evolving internet landscape, and regulatory impacts on tech giants. The conversation also touches on the future of tech investments, the role of capital expenditures, and Uber's potential in the autonomous vehicle market.

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