Dan Nathan and Guy Adami dive into recent market dynamics, focusing on the fluctuating US Treasury yields, the impact of the US-China trade war on the stock and bond markets, and corporate earnings reports. They discuss Walmart's and Delta's recent announcements, the economic implications of increasing tariffs, and the role of confidence in financial markets. The conversation highlights the bond market's significance over the stock market and touches on the future of US debt management. Additionally, they explore the influence of political decisions on economic policy and market performance.

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Dan Nathan welcomes Gene Munster of Deepwater Asset Management to the RiskReversal Podcast. They discuss the recent significant market drops in the S&P and Nasdaq, considering if these drops could be termed a 'market crash'. Gene shares his views on the volatile market, especially in light of increasing tariffs between the U.S. and China. They analyze the performance and future of several major stocks, including Apple, Microsoft, Meta, Google, Tesla, and Nvidia, touching on AI's influence and the broader economic impacts of the trade war. Gene offers insights into stock valuations and the potential for further declines, highlighting the importance of investor psychology and market reactions to ongoing geopolitical developments.

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Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are live for a special RiskReversal Podcast as U.S. markets open on Monday, April 7th.

Articles Referenced

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Dan Nathan, Danny Moses, Vincent Daniel, and Porter Collins discuss the current state of the stock market in this special edition of the Risk Reversal Podcast. The episode focuses on Thursday's market downturn, with the S&P 500 down 4.8%, the NASDAQ down 5.4%, and a significant increase in the VIX. The panel delves into the implications of unexpected tariff announcements, the uncertainty facing companies like Nike, and the broader economic impact. They also touch on potential sectors to invest in, the effects on consumer behavior, and the future of major tech companies amid these turbulent times. Through a mix of analysis and spirited debate, the hosts provide insights into navigating the current economic landscape.

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Dan Nathan is joined by Josh Brown, CEO of Ritholtz Wealth Management, to examine the impact of recent market movements, institutional money, and the evolving economic landscape under the current administration. They delve into the specifics of the stock market downturn, the implications of recent tariffs, and the potential for recession. Josh shares his approach to tactical shifts, the importance of a rules-based strategy, and how his firm is managing client portfolios through volatility. The conversation also touches on the resilience of various market sectors, the challenges of globalization, and the long-term outlook for investors.

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Dan Nathan and Deirdre Bosa, the CNBC host of Tech Check, discuss the evolution of the AI sector on the Risk Reversal Podcast. They examine the transition from AI foundation models to 'rappers' and now to AI native applications. Deirdre elaborates on the booming private market for AI app companies in contrast to the stalling public markets. The conversation highlights companies like Any Sphere’s Cursor and examines the differing cost structures and monetization strategies between AI infrastructure firms and app-based companies. They also touch on the dynamics of AI in the Chinese market, the potential for strategic mergers and acquisitions, and the missed opportunities by tech giants like Apple. The episode concludes with a focus on the emerging concept of 'vibe coding,' where AI handles the technical coding while developers focus on higher-level design and functionality.

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Guy Adami and special guest Danny Moses discuss the significant market volatility of the first quarter of 2025 and its implications. They delve into topics such as deregulation, tariffs, and their impact on the U.S. and European stock markets. The conversation also covers the potential for stagflation, the importance of upcoming job reports, and the rising delinquency rates in various credit sectors. They touch upon the political dynamics between the private sector and government, including Mark Zuckerberg's attempts to influence U.S. policies. Additionally, they examine the semiconductor industry's performance and the strategic moves by companies like Nvidia and SoftBank. The episode wraps up with a look at Tesla's volatile stock performance and its polarizing influence on investors.

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Dan Nathan and Guy Adami discuss the current state of the stock market, including significant movements in the VIX, treasury yields, and the recent CoreWeave IPO. The conversation covers the impact of tariffs, the upcoming jobs report, and the broader economic implications. They delve into detailed analysis of market trends, the performance of leading stocks like Nvidia, and the influence of geopolitical actions on financial markets. The pod also previews upcoming earnings reports, investor sentiment, and critical guidance expected from major companies like JP Morgan. Additionally, they discuss Elon Musk's financial comments and their potential repercussions on Tesla's stock. The episode provides a comprehensive look at the factors influencing market volatility and economic stability.

Further Reading

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Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are joined by Brian Belski, Chief Investment Strategist at BMO Capital Markets. The discussion covers a wide range of topics, including Belski's bullish outlook on the S&P 500, with a price target of 6,700. They delve into the dynamics of the secular bull market, cyclical trends, and the path to normalcy in market returns. Belski shares his views on the impact of geopolitical events, trade tariffs, and sector-specific performances, particularly in technology and financials. The conversation also touches on consumer sentiment, the role of AI, and the implications of monetary policy on market behavior. Belski emphasizes the importance of a diversified investment strategy and the potential opportunities in small and mid-cap banks. The episode provides a comprehensive overview of current market conditions, offering valuable insights for investors navigating these uncertain times.

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Dan Nathan is joined by Parshv Shah, Portfolio Manager at Kingdon Capital Management, on the RiskReversal podcast. They discuss the impact of generative AI on the stock market, particularly focusing on tech stocks and hyperscalers like Google, Amazon, and Microsoft. The conversation covers the shifts in market sentiment, the performance and future outlook for companies like Nvidia, Dell, and Adobe, and the role of AI in cybersecurity. They also explore the implications of custom silicon and agent technology on consumer internet companies, featuring insights into the challenges and opportunities these innovations present for various tech sectors.

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