Dan and Guy bring you a Friday morning update on what's been a particularly volatile week in markets as investors digest the Trump administration's economic policy implementation.

After the break, Dan & Guy sit down with Brian Hartigan, Global Head of ETFs and Index Investments at Invesco. They discuss the history and performance of the QQQ and RSP ETFs, highlighting their construction, concentration, and the benefits they offer investors. The conversation explores how these ETFs have evolved over time, their role in hedging, and their appeal to both retail and institutional investors. Brian provides insights into the passive and active strategies involved, how market corrections can be opportunities, and the tactical use of these ETFs in various market conditions.

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Checkout On The Tape with Danny Moses

YouTube: https://youtu.be/rPtWBYl5F1A

Apple: https://apple.co/3Dkf9ZE

Spotify: https://tinyurl.com/nppjuuhe

Guy Adami and Dan Nathan welcome back Danny Moses from the On The Tape podcast to discuss his return and the restructuring of RiskReversal Media. The conversation covers a variety of topics, including the importance of actionable market analysis and longer-form discussions on prevailing themes. Danny shares insights from his recent interview with famed author Michael Lewis on civil services and the economic implications of AI technology, using the example of Nvidia and Microsoft. The trio also dive into current market conditions, volatility, tariffs, federal jobs, and the implications of credit spreads on the economy. A highlight is the analysis of the upcoming Core Weave IPO and its impact on the AI and data center markets. The episode concludes with an in-depth look at the psychology of market cycles and the potential for ongoing volatility in equity, fixed income, and crypto markets.

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Dan Nathan and Guy Adami address President Trump's address to congress and its impact on markets.

After The Break: Dan Nathan and Ann Bordetsky discuss the latest trends in generative AI investments and the emerging importance of vertical AI applications in various industries such as healthcare, construction, and defense. They delve into the potential for AI to transform labor into AI-native software, pointing out that the market has shifted towards building industry-specific AI solutions. Anne highlights the key factors for successful AI startups and discusses how developments in public markets and big tech investments influence her early-stage investment strategies. They also cover the competitive landscape among big tech companies like Meta, Amazon, and Apple in the AI assistant market, and the evolving consumer habits in search engines and platforms. The conversation concludes with interesting takes on the value of AI domains and potential disruptions in both the private and public AI markets.

Read Ann's Note: https://www.nea.com/blog/tomorrows-titans-vertical-ai

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Dan and Guy start the pod with a quick update on the stock market after Monday's massive sell-off sparked by recent tariff announcements.

After the break: Dan Nathan and Jesse Chasse, the Head of Tech Equity Capital Markets & Venture Coverage at RBC Capital Markets, discuss the current state of the market on the Risk Reversal Podcast. They delve into macroeconomic trends, the IPO pipeline, and market conditions influencing both small and mid-cap companies. The conversation covers topics such as the political landscape, economic resilience, and the impact of tariffs and regulatory scrutiny on strategic M&A activities. Jesse emphasizes the importance of liquidity and secondary markets for private tech companies, while debating the potential reopening of IPO markets by the end of the year. They also touch on the AI sector's influence on the market and the implications of large-cap IPOs on market health.

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Guy Adami, Liz Thomas, and Dan Nathan discuss recent market trends and geopolitical events. The conversation covers Friday's significant market movements, the impact of Zelenskyy's Oval Office meeting on market sell-offs, and volatility driven by geopolitical tensions, particularly between Russia and Ukraine. The discussion also addresses the role of tech stocks like Nvidia in market fluctuations, the outlook for semiconductor companies including Broadcom and Taiwan Semiconductor, and potential implications of trade and tariffs. The hosts analyze the likelihood of a U.S. debt crisis, inflation trends, and the Federal Reserve's stance. The upcoming jobs report and its potential market impact are also highlighted, along with the performance of major retailers like Costco and Target. The episode underscores the importance of staying informed in a volatile market landscape.

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Tom Lee, Head of Research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, joins the RiskReversal Podcast to discuss his market outlook. The episode covers topics such as the impact of interest rates, inflation, and the Federal Reserve's policies on market performance. Tom provides insights into bullish and bearish market sentiments, employment trends, and the role of AI and technology in driving economic growth. The conversation also explores geopolitical risks, the potential effects of deregulation and tax cuts, and the importance of consumer confidence. Additionally, Tom shares his perspectives on the future of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and the implications of generative AI on industries and employment.

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Dan Nathan and Gene Munster delve into the disappointing near-term guidance for Nvidia, Apple's shareholder meeting and the impact of geopolitical factors on its stock, and Tesla's challenges amidst a three-year price war and competition in the EV market. The conversation also touches on Microsoft's underperformance and its AI strategy. Gene shares his insights on the long-term potential and current market expectations for these tech giants.

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Dan Nathan and Guy Adami discuss NVIDIA's anticipated earnings report, including potential market reactions and investor expectations. They also explore broader market movements, examining why yields have fallen and speculating on the influence of recession fears. The hosts touch on diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) policies in major U.S. companies, highlighting Bank of America's pullback and Apple's commitment amidst external pressures. The show ends with a discussion on major meme stocks like Tesla and AppLovin, detailing recent stock movements and short reports predicting their future performance.

Articles Referenced

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 Dan Nathan is joined by Gene Munster, managing partner at Deepwater Asset Management, to discuss various major tech headlines and their potential market impact. The conversation starts with Apple's investment of $500 billion in AI infrastructure and its implications. They also touch on a recent analyst report about Microsoft canceling some AI data center leases and the broader AI adoption theme in the market. The episode delves deeply into Nvidia, anticipating their upcoming earnings report and evaluating expectations for their guidance. They also discuss the challenge for Nvidia investors in assessing long-term growth amidst rapid technological advancements and market volatility.

Articles Mentioned

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Dan Nathan, Guy Adami, and Liz Thomas discuss the significant market sell-off last week, upcoming economic data such as the Fed's preferred inflation reading (PCE), and crucial earnings reports including NVIDIA. They touch on market dynamics influenced by geopolitical events, potential tariffs, and recent announcements from tech giants like Apple and Microsoft. The hosts analyze sector-specific trends, like the contrasting performances of consumer staples and pharma stocks, and debate overvalued sectors amidst persistent inflation concerns. Additionally, the podcast addresses movements in the bond market, implications of Nvidia's results on the tech sector, and the broader economic outlook under the current administration.

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