The Real Eisman Playbook

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Steve Eisman reunites with Danny Moses, his former partner from the Big Short days and now host of the On The Tape podcast, for a wide-ranging conversation covering the AI trade, the deficit, private equity’s monetization problem, and why Danny sees uncomfortable parallels between today’s AI debt issuance and the warehouse lines that fueled the subprime mortgage crisis.

00:00 - Intro

02:00 - On The Tape

04:55 - The Fed, Scott Bessent, & the Housing Market

10:38 - The AI Story

22:43 - Private Equity

28:14 - Transitioning to Media

35:13 - The Debt & the Deficit

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Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content.

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On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman examines the growing risks and opportunities surrounding AI, from rising debt at AI data center companies to concerns about the future of the AI boom. He also breaks down the latest bank earnings and the impact of agentic AI on financial institutions.

00:00 - Intro

02:21 - War in Iran Updates

02:50 - The Telepocalypse

04:47 - CoreWeave & Something of a Tech Correction

06:48 - Bad News in France

08:09 - Impact of Agentic AI on Financial Institutions

12:10 - Earnings Season Began with the Banks

Watch my Financial Literacy Masterclass video here: https://youtu.be/u8chA7LC8lU

Watch my Masterclass on the 2008 Financial Crisis here: https://youtu.be/4bSCdJTbR8I

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Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content.

Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service.

Copyright ©2026 Steve Eisman

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On episode 79 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman sits down with AI critic Gary Marcus to unpack the growing fears surrounding artificial intelligence, from rogue AI agents and cybersecurity failures to predictions of human extinction. They examine whether these companies are amplifying doomsday narratives to attract investment and shape regulation in their favor.

00:00 - Intro

01:10 - The AI Doomsday Narrative

17:30 - Anthropic & OpenAI's Motivations

20:48 - Recent Changes

26:32 - Hacking Scandals

34:40 - Are Anthropic & OpenAI Manufacturing Hysteria?

36:11 - Gary's Speech at the UN

43:40 - Closing Thoughts

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→ Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place.

Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content.

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Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/

On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman delivers a comprehensive Q3 2026 market breakdown. He discusses why energy was the best performing sector, why utilities got crushed, and why the SAASpocalypse narrative flipped. Steve also acknowledges that over 65% of the S&P 500 is now a single bet on AI and closes with updates on FICO and Glass House Brands.

00:00 - Intro

01:53 - War in Iran, Interest Rates, & Oil Prices

02:38 - Snapshot of the Economy & Key Weaknesses Emerging

04:27 - An Analysis of the Third Quarter

18:06 - Why I Covered FICO & Sold Glass House Brands

19:02 - Mailbag: Diversifying Away From AI

Watch my Financial Literacy Masterclass video here: https://youtu.be/u8chA7LC8lU

Watch my Masterclass on the 2008 Financial Crisis here: https://youtu.be/4bSCdJTbR8I

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Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content.

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On episode 78 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman sits down with Krishna Guha, Evercore's Fed watcher, to break down why the ten-year yield has marched from 4.5% to over 5%. He explains that it's a perfect storm of AI debt issuance crowding out Treasuries, war-driven oil prices, the massive deficit, and Kevin Warsh's deliberate withdrawal of the forward guidance guardrails that previous Fed chairs used. They also discuss Scott Bessent's bond buyback program and close with a fun ranking of Fed chairs.

00:00 - Intro

00:42 - Why Were Rates Raised?

03:31 - Kevin Warsh’s Changes

11:43 - The 10-Year Yield

15:20 - Forward Guidance

22:41 - Scott Bessent

29:43 - Rates, AI, & Strains on the Economy

34:27 - Rating Fed Chairmen

44:35 - Outro

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Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content.

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On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman covers a dramatic week for FICO, in which its decades-long mortgage monopoly effectively broke. Steve then delivers a deep dive into private equity's overexposure to software buyouts, why the SAASpocalypse has cut valuations by 50% or more, and why the refinancing wall coming in 2027 will likely wipe out equity in many of these deals. He closes with three mailbag questions covering oil-driven inflation, AI regulation, and how the Moody's securitization database gave him the confidence to short subprime paper back in 2006.

00:00 - Intro

01:59 - Iran War Updates

02:28 - More Negative News For FICO

04:20 - Analysis of Private Equity & Private Credit's Exposure to Software

18:14 - Mailbag: Raising Rates

19:48 - Mailbag: AI Regulation

20:43 - Mailbag: MBS

22:51 - Outro

Watch my Financial Literacy Masterclass video here: https://youtu.be/u8chA7LC8lU

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Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content.

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On episode 77 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman sits down with Sam Badri, Head of Investor Relations at Cisco, for an inside look at what the AI boom actually looks like from within a major technology company. Sam explains why he believes we are still very early in AI adoption, with roughly 90% of users stuck at the basic prompt stage and very few having progressed to skills files or AI agents.

00:00 - Intro & Sam’s Background

03:35 - What Cisco Does

05:58 - Cisco Revenue Growth & What’s Changed

12:40 - How AI Factors In

14:18 - Cisco vs Arista

16:04 - The Negativity Surrounding the AI Story

29:16 - Data Center Pushback

34:24 - What Sam Brought to Cisco

36:43 - Last Word on Cisco & the Sector

40:22 - Outro

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Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content.

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Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/

On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman discusses why the off-balance sheet financing techniques that caused Enron's collapse and amplified the GFC are back in full force in the AI world. He also covers the Ten Year yield breaching 5.1%, Paramount being cleared for takeoff with WB, troubling news from Oracle & Blue Owl, Meta's Muse agentic AI agent, and much more.

00:00 - Intro

02:42 - War in Iran, Oil Prices, & Interest Rates

03:43 - Troubling News From Oracle & Blue Owl

04:29 - Paramount Cleared For Take Off

05:40 - Softbank Junk Borrowing

06:23 - AI Circular Financing

20:00 - Meta's Muse

22:46 - Mailbag: Shorting Against the Box

24:30 - Outro

Watch my Financial Literacy Masterclass video here: https://youtu.be/u8chA7LC8lU

Watch my Masterclass on the 2008 Financial Crisis here: https://youtu.be/4bSCdJTbR8I

Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1

Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook:

Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content.

Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service.

Copyright ©2026 Steve Eisman

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/

On episode 76 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman sits down with George Noble, former portfolio manager at Fidelity and now a Substack newsletter writer, for a wide-ranging conversation covering Scott Bessent's attempt to repress interest rates, the yen carry trade, the Tesla/SpaceX struggles, and much more.

00:00 - Intro

01:18 - Scott Bessent & Interest Rates

13:00 - The AI Ecosystem

21:35 - The Dollar Yen Trade

30:57 - The Current Investing Environment

36:33 - Tesla & SpaceX

46:14 - Outro

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Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content.

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On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman explains why the recent extinction warnings from Dario Amodei and Sam Altman are not genuine concerns about superintelligence, but rather a deliberate shell game designed to invite government regulation and create pricing moats. Steve also covers the Fed raising rates 25 basis points to a range of 3.75%-4%, the Senate blocking the Clarity Act, an update on his FICO short, and answers two mailbags on how individual investors can diversify away from AI exposure without abandoning equities.

00:00 - Intro

01:55 - Iran War Updates

02:14 - Fed Raises Rates

04:47 - FICO Short Update

07:08 - Crypto Takes a Hit

07:53 - The AI Extinction Warnings

15:36 - Mailbag: P&C Insurance

19:36 - Mailbag: Growth in Europe

21:03 - Outro

Watch my Financial Literacy Masterclass video here: https://youtu.be/u8chA7LC8lU

Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1

Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook:

🌐 https://linktr.ee/realeismanplaybook

→ Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place.

Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content.

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices