Sentinel status: Greenish 🟢
Top items:
Trump invoked the Alien Enemies Act against Venezuelans and the Tren de Aragua gang. He subsequently deported 238 alleged members to El Salvador, ignoring a court order.
Chinese “invasion barges” were deployed in an exercise.
The US resumed military aid to Ukraine, and a ceasefire in the next six months at 50/50
Forecaster Estimates
Forecasters, on aggregate, think that a 30-day ceasefire in Ukraine in the next six months is a coin toss (48%, ranging from 35% to 70%). Polymarket's forecast is higher, at 61%, for a ceasefire of any duration by July.
Forecasters also consider it a coin toss (aggregate of 49%; ranging from 28% to 70%) whether an agreement to expand [...]
---
Outline:
(00:52) Forecaster Estimates
(01:54) Geopolitics
(01:57) United States
(04:27) Europe
(05:52) Middle East
(08:01) Africa
(08:40) Asia
(10:10) Biorisk
(10:24) Tech and AI
(13:25) Climate
---
First published:
Source:
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
---
Images from the article:
Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.
View all episodes
By Sentinel TeamSentinel status: Greenish 🟢
Top items:
Trump invoked the Alien Enemies Act against Venezuelans and the Tren de Aragua gang. He subsequently deported 238 alleged members to El Salvador, ignoring a court order.
Chinese “invasion barges” were deployed in an exercise.
The US resumed military aid to Ukraine, and a ceasefire in the next six months at 50/50
Forecaster Estimates
Forecasters, on aggregate, think that a 30-day ceasefire in Ukraine in the next six months is a coin toss (48%, ranging from 35% to 70%). Polymarket's forecast is higher, at 61%, for a ceasefire of any duration by July.
Forecasters also consider it a coin toss (aggregate of 49%; ranging from 28% to 70%) whether an agreement to expand [...]
---
Outline:
(00:52) Forecaster Estimates
(01:54) Geopolitics
(01:57) United States
(04:27) Europe
(05:52) Middle East
(08:01) Africa
(08:40) Asia
(10:10) Biorisk
(10:24) Tech and AI
(13:25) Climate
---
First published:
Source:
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
---
Images from the article:
Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.