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Right, so two Saudi oil tankers, carrying 2.7 million barrels of crude and all the optimism of a doomed road trip, were steaming towards China and India until they suddenly pulled a U-turn in the Red Sea as if they’d just remembered they left the iron on. Why? Because the Houthis spoke up and warned that Saudi-linked shipping was now fair game if it tried to head south through the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait, and the people in charge of these floating oil piñatas decided that tempting fate with millions of barrels was a spectacularly bad way to find out if Yemen was bluffing. Well we all know the Houthis don’t bluff don’t we? No missiles, no drama, just a warning, and suddenly it’s full speed north to Suez. Not slowed down. Not hovering nervously. Turned around. One of them was supposedly headed for China, except now China is in the rearview mirror, which, amusingly enough, is not how you win Employee of the Month in the world of oil delivery. Then the second tanker did the same thing. The oil hasn’t been sunk. It hasn’t been seized. But Saudi Arabia has lost those barrels from the trip they actually wanted. The ships were loaded at Yanbu, supposed to head south past Yemen and on to Asia, but now they’re sailing north toward Suez like someone just announced the apocalypse and told everyone to grab their coats and run for the exit. Saudi Arabia thought it had found a way around Iran. It hadn’t reckoned on what was waiting at the other end. And Donald Trump’s response to all this? Nothing has happened. Apparently. This is how the tanker reversals were reported. There it is. Loaded Saudi crude. Ships bound for China and India. Both now going the wrong way. The Xin Long Yang had around two million barrels aboard. The Rodos carried roughly another 700,000. They had loaded at Yanbu, pointed themselves south and set off toward Asia. Then Yemen announced a maritime embargo on Saudi-linked shipping, warning that vessels tied to the kingdom could be targeted in retaliation for the blockade and escalation against Yemen. Someone responsible for a lot of ship, crew, cargo and insurance paperwork decided that continuing south past Yemen was no longer worth the gamble. That’s what the Saudis have lost here. Not ownership of the oil. Not the barrels themselves. They’ve lost the journey they planned, the route they needed, the delivery timing they sold to customers who are now watching their oil head toward Europe instead. And Saudi Arabia can call that whatever it likes. Commercial caution. Temporary rerouting. Operational adjustment. Probably something with the word “resilience” once a consultant has got involved, but regardless of all of that, the ship is still pointing north.
By Damien WilleyRight, so two Saudi oil tankers, carrying 2.7 million barrels of crude and all the optimism of a doomed road trip, were steaming towards China and India until they suddenly pulled a U-turn in the Red Sea as if they’d just remembered they left the iron on. Why? Because the Houthis spoke up and warned that Saudi-linked shipping was now fair game if it tried to head south through the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait, and the people in charge of these floating oil piñatas decided that tempting fate with millions of barrels was a spectacularly bad way to find out if Yemen was bluffing. Well we all know the Houthis don’t bluff don’t we? No missiles, no drama, just a warning, and suddenly it’s full speed north to Suez. Not slowed down. Not hovering nervously. Turned around. One of them was supposedly headed for China, except now China is in the rearview mirror, which, amusingly enough, is not how you win Employee of the Month in the world of oil delivery. Then the second tanker did the same thing. The oil hasn’t been sunk. It hasn’t been seized. But Saudi Arabia has lost those barrels from the trip they actually wanted. The ships were loaded at Yanbu, supposed to head south past Yemen and on to Asia, but now they’re sailing north toward Suez like someone just announced the apocalypse and told everyone to grab their coats and run for the exit. Saudi Arabia thought it had found a way around Iran. It hadn’t reckoned on what was waiting at the other end. And Donald Trump’s response to all this? Nothing has happened. Apparently. This is how the tanker reversals were reported. There it is. Loaded Saudi crude. Ships bound for China and India. Both now going the wrong way. The Xin Long Yang had around two million barrels aboard. The Rodos carried roughly another 700,000. They had loaded at Yanbu, pointed themselves south and set off toward Asia. Then Yemen announced a maritime embargo on Saudi-linked shipping, warning that vessels tied to the kingdom could be targeted in retaliation for the blockade and escalation against Yemen. Someone responsible for a lot of ship, crew, cargo and insurance paperwork decided that continuing south past Yemen was no longer worth the gamble. That’s what the Saudis have lost here. Not ownership of the oil. Not the barrels themselves. They’ve lost the journey they planned, the route they needed, the delivery timing they sold to customers who are now watching their oil head toward Europe instead. And Saudi Arabia can call that whatever it likes. Commercial caution. Temporary rerouting. Operational adjustment. Probably something with the word “resilience” once a consultant has got involved, but regardless of all of that, the ship is still pointing north.