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"Known exploited" is treated as a permanent state. The data says it isn't. If a vulnerability was exploited today, there's a 99.9% chance it's exploited again in the next 30 days. Go a year without observed activity and it's back at the base rate, as if it had never been exploited at all. CISA's KEV catalog has no last-observed field, and it only ever grows.
Ed Bellis (CEO), Jay Jacobs (Chief Data Scientist) and Michael Roytman (CTO) of Empirical Security, the team behind Kenna Security and co-creators of EPSS, are back after a $25M Series A to talk about what Kenna couldn't finish: prioritization models trained per organization instead of one global score. Along the way: the 15,000-plus exploited CVEs that never make KEV and the 400-plus KEV entries their telemetry never sees; whether NVD gating enrichment on KEV hard-codes a stale signal into everyone's pipeline; the "dead vulnerability theory" of metadata bias; why their models are deterministic statistics rather than LLMs ("LLMs summarize the past really well; they don't predict"); a live on-air bet that 2026 ends with 120,000 CVEs; whether six years of exploitation data show any AI-acceleration signature yet (more discovery, flat actionable exploitation, a denominator growing faster than the numerator); what building EPSS as a public good taught them about probability and thresholds; and whether gated frontier models create a two-tier research world (Ed: "I don't think it matters at all").
Chapters:
00:00 – Known exploited isn't permanent: the premise, and a disclosure
01:26 – What Kenna proved, and what it couldn't solve
05:50 – The $25M Series A, and why the models aren't LLMs
09:11 – The KEV decay curve: 99.9% today, base rate in a year
13:25 – The third circle: exploited CVEs that KEV never lists
15:30 – NVD gates on KEV: stale signal, metadata bias, a data problem
24:17 – A last-observed field for KEV, and whether it tips off attackers
27:28 – Is AI accelerating exploitation? The 120,000-CVE bet
34:33 – LLMs summarize the past; forecasting models predict
40:59 – Lessons from building EPSS: probability, thresholds, donated data
50:23 – Gated frontier models and the two-tier research question
54:47 – Foundation vs. Radiant: targets of opportunity vs. targeted
Links
Empirical Security research: https://research.empiricalsecurity.com
The KEV Paradox (Empirical Security, Jan 2026): https://research.empiricalsecurity.com/research/the-kev-paradox
Looking for the AI vulnerability flood (Ben Edwards): https://research.empiricalsecurity.com/research/looking-for-the-ai-vulnerability-floodEPSS: https://www.first.org/epss/
CISA KEV catalog: https://www.cisa.gov/known-exploited-vulnerabilities-catalogListen on
More episodes: https://www.youtube.com/@symantec/podcasts
More research and expert perspectives: https://www.security.com
Guests: Ed Bellis, CEO; Jay Jacobs, Chief Data Scientist; Michael Roytman, CTO — Empirical Security.
Host: Dan Mellinger.SECURITY.COM The Podcast — In-depth intel. Real talk. Human factor.
Every endpoint product on the market claims 99%-plus protection, and they're all telling the truth. That is exactly why independent testing exists. Thomas Uhlemann of AV-Comparatives, the Innsbruck lab that has spent two decades trying to make "does it work?" a question with a defensible answer, walks through what each test actually does, what it deliberately doesn't measure, and how to read a report without being led by a vendor's cherry-picked chart.Disclosure: Broadcom participates in AV-Comparatives testing. Thomas runs communications, not testing, and this conversation is about methodology. No results or placements are discussed.What's inside: why the Real-World Protection Test runs products at default settings, online and offline, with USB and web-borne attack paths; why certification demands zero false positives on common business software ("malware might break your productivity, false positives will"); how vendors try to buy detection rates with false positives and why bi-monthly testing exposes it; why the EDR Detection Validation test disables blocking to measure signal-to-noise, and why failing vendors are anonymized; how the EPR test folds downtime and man-hours into total cost of ownership and refuses to name a winner; and a defender's checklist for reading any test report, starting with the methodology, not the chart.Chapters00:00 – Why independent testing exists, and who AV-Comparatives is06:24 – Real-World Protection: default settings, online, offline, USB09:40 – Malware Protection and the zero-false-positive rule14:53 – How vendors try to game tests, and why bi-monthly runs matter18:24 – EDR Detection Validation: signal-to-noise and anonymized vendors24:12 – EPR test: TCO, the quadrant, and why no winner is declared28:40 – How to read a report, and what tests can't measure34:21 – A defender checklist and healthy paranoia36:57 – AI in testing: faster, not newLinksAV-Comparatives: https://www.av-comparatives.orgMore episodes: https://www.youtube.com/@symantec/podcastsMore research and expert perspectives: https://www.security.comGuest: Thomas Uhlemann, Cybersecurity Evangelist, AV-Comparatives.Host: Dan Mellinger.SECURITY.COM The Podcast — In-depth intel. Real talk. Human factor.
The channel isn't dying. The traditional reseller model is. Alan Maxwell, who leads Broadcom's Catalyst partner business internationally, puts the number on it: fewer than 15–20% of partner sales engineers could pass an unscripted, hands-on XDR architecture exam today, and the partners winning right now are the ones who stopped selling licenses and started selling outcomes.Alan just wrapped a six-part series on SECURITY.COM called The Resilient Channel. This conversation pulls it together for the VARs, MSSPs, distributors and integrators who sit between the vendor and the SOC: which structural force partners are underestimating most (regulation and cyber insurance, not AI), what separates a services-led partner from one with services language bolted on (revenue mix, hiring, comp plans), a 24-month plan to flip from 80% resale to 50/50, why MDF reform is finally real, a one-question test for whether a vendor's "agentic SOC" is agentic at all, and the liability gray area nobody in the industry has solved: when an autonomous agent knocks production offline, who holds the bag?
Chapters00:00 – Who this episode is for: a 4-minute primer on the channel05:10 – Three things vendors and customers get wrong about partners06:44 – The partner's new burden: regulation, insurance, AI-speed threats11:38 – Architecting for margin: real services partners vs. fake ones17:23 – Technical enablement: why most SEs can't pass an unscripted exam22:38 – MDF reform, co-marketing that converts, compliance as an edge28:59 – Agentic AI claims, marketing math, and the liability gray area34:57 – One thing every partner CEO should do next quarter
Read the seriesThe Resilient Channel, Part 1: https://www.security.com/expert-perspectives/resilient-channel-series-part-1Part 2: https://www.security.com/expert-perspectives/resilient-channel-series-part-2Part 3: https://www.security.com/expert-perspectives/resilient-channel-series-part-3Part 4: https://www.security.com/blog-post/resilient-channel-series-part-4Part 5: https://www.security.com/blog-post/resilient-channel-series-part-5Part 6: https://www.security.com/expert-perspectives/resilient-channel-series-part-6
Symantec Threat Hunters found malware that turns a legitimate document-security platform into its own exfiltration channel. Infostealer.Speagle hijacks Cobra DocGuard to chase Chinese ballistic missile documents — then uses the platform's own driver to delete itself. A look at the Runningcrab activity cluster. Listen in.
SIEM was supposed to be the nerve center of every security operation — collect every log, correlate every event, surface every threat. Most organizations ended up with an expensive log warehouse that generates more noise than signal.
Recorded live from RSAC, Dan sits down with Justin Falck — Head of Product for Endpoint at the Enterprise Security Group at Broadcom — to break down where the SIEM model broke, why "magic correlation" never showed up, and what's actually replacing it in modern security operations.
In this episode:
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The Evolution of Cybersecurity Media & PR — with Tony Welz, W2 Communications
Cybersecurity went from a niche trade-press beat to a nation-state strategy domain in about 25 years. Dan Mellinger sits down with Tony Welz, co-founder of W2 Communications — a strategic communications agency that's specialized in cybersecurity for 23 years — to unpack how the story got told along the way, and who's telling it now.
Tony's been in the room for nearly every inflection point: working with Sourcefire from their A-round through their Cisco acquisition, watching FireEye seed the modern threat-research content model, navigating the Target/Sony/Ashley Madison breach era, and helping clients adapt to today's SEC disclosure rules and geopolitical cyber reality.
Iran has always been active in cyberspace — but with U.S. and Israeli kinetic operations underway in March 2026, they're under pressure to make an impact, and cyber is where they can fight asymmetrically. Dan Mellinger and Symantec threat intelligence veteran Dick O'Brien break down what defenders are actually seeing right now: active intrusions on 5–6 organizations in the U.S. and Canada, the recent Stryker attack that weaponized Microsoft Intune instead of malware, and why Iranian operators are rapidly absorbing Russian cloud-attack tradecraft. Plus: why Iran is effectively the #2 most prevalent nation-state adversary, the surprisingly effective social engineering campaigns they're running, the little-known Iranian origins of modern ransomware, and the practical steps every U.S.-facing organization should take this week.
More analysis at security.com.
How did Data Loss Prevention go from a forgotten niche to a boardroom necessity? In this episode, host Dan Mellinger sits down with Matt Jones, Channel Technical Director for Information Security at Broadcom's Enterprise Security Group, to trace the full arc of DLP — from its earliest roots to its role in today's enterprise security stack.
Matt brings over two decades of hands-on experience, from the days of MimeSweeper and email content inspection to building managed DLP services and working with Symantec DLP for 15+ years. Together, they explore:
Whether you're a security practitioner, a CISO, or just trying to understand why DLP matters more than ever, this episode delivers real history, real context, and real talk.
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#Cybersecurity #DLP #DataLossPrevention #InfoSec #SecurityPodcast #DataSecurity #Symantec #Broadcom #CloudSecurity #ZeroTrust
As AI shifts from passive large language models (LLMs) to active "Agents" capable of executing tasks, the cybersecurity landscape is hitting a fever pitch. In this episode, recorded ahead of their Black Hat Europe presentation, your go-to cybersecurity communicator Dan Mellinger sits down with Paul Miller (Threat Intelligence & Ops Leader) and Dick O’Brien (Principal Research Editor, Symantec & Carbon Black) to dissect the escalating AI arms race.From the rise of "SpamGPT" to the shift toward "Predictive Security," we explore why defenders might actually have the winning hand in an AI-driven world.
In this episode, Dan Mellinger and Paul Miller host Cooper Quintin from the Electronic Frontier Foundation (EFF) to discuss the evolving landscape of cybersecurity, privacy threats, and the importance of human rights in the digital age. They explore the impact of smartphones on privacy, the role of tools like Privacy Badger, and the need for comprehensive privacy legislation. The conversation also highlights the significance of activism and community involvement in advocating for digital rights and privacy protections.
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