Summary

I spent the last few days building a tool called Aligned (thealignedapp.com), a web app designed to map where opinions converge and diverge. It uses binary polling (Yes/No/Not Sure) to track how opinions change over time, measure agreement rates between users, and compare human and AI alignment. I am sharing it here to get feedback on whether a tool like this is actually useful for the community.

Motivations

I built this project to explore three specific problems regarding how we form and track opinions:

1. A "Metaculus" for Values: The EA community has excellent tools like Metaculus and Manifold for tracking predictions. However, I feel we lack an equivalent product for tracking opinions and values. I wanted to build something that could serve that function—a place to log where we stand on issues that aren't necessarily verifiable predictions but are still crucial for coordination.

2. Clarity Regarding Beliefs: Disagreements often feel total, but they are usually specific. I wanted a way to sort questions by "Most Split" to identify exactly where a community is divided rather than relying on intuition. The app allows for "Anonymous Voting" and "Anonymous Posting", which I hope encourages users to reveal their true [...]

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Outline:

(00:13) Summary

(00:40) Motivations

(02:23) How it Works & Development Context

(03:39) Relevance to Effective Altruism

(04:16) Limitations and Uncertainties

(04:54) Feedback Requested

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First published:

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

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