Sharp Football Analysis by Warren Sharp

Sharp Football Analysis by Warren Sharp

By Warren Sharp

Warren Sharp is joined by his NFL & College Football Analysts to pore through the data and bring you the smartest people in the sport to find edges to exploit and advantages to make better bets an... more

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  1. Number 1: 10 Fantasy Football Value Targets with JJ Zachariason

    Fantasy football draft targets for 2026 - ten players Rich Hribar and JJ Zachariason are drafting this season, with the route rates, target share, red zone usage and ADP behind every pick. Get the fantasy football bundle for $99 with code BUNDLE, the draft kit plus the full regular season, normally $190: https://sharp.football Rich Hribar is joined by JJ Zachariason of Late-Round Fantasy Football for the sixth year of their targets and avoids trade off. JJ brings Chase Brown, Malik Willis, Jaylen Waddle, Dalton Kincaid and Stefon Diggs. Rich brings DeVonta Smith, Justin Herbert, Christian Watson, D.J. Moore and Jordan Mason, plus a detour on whether Josh Allen is worth the pick this year. What You'll Learn: • Why a running back with almost nothing changing around him is the most stable early pick on their boards • The wide receiver whose splits without his old teammate have been absurd every time we get them • A quarterback going outside the top 20 who only needs his legs to finish as a QB1 • Why one of the league's best arms is being priced like a backup on some platforms • The receiver who just walked into a fifth-in-pass-attempts offense and a role the last guy could not hold • The receiver whose two biggest target competitors are both off the roster • The tight end who led his position in fantasy points per route and still finished TE10 • The one thing veterans who beat their ADP kept having in common, and the counter-case against it • The veteran whose route share, not his ability, is the only thing holding him back • How to find a late-round running back who can actually take over a backfield Chapters: 0:00 Intro 1:01 1. Chase Brown, RB Bengals 6:57 2. DeVonta Smith, WR Eagles 10:49 The fantasy football bundle, code BUNDLE 12:57 3. Malik Willis, QB Dolphins 21:13 4. Justin Herbert, QB Chargers 26:54 5. Jaylen Waddle, WR Broncos 31:58 6. Christian Watson, WR Packers 36:43 7. Dalton Kincaid, TE Bills 42:42 8. D.J. Moore, WR Bills 50:55 Is Josh Allen worth the pick this year 54:03 9. Stefon Diggs, WR Commanders 1:01:07 10. Jordan Mason, RB Vikings 1:07:22 Wrap up Watch this episode on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p23yJHEL3AI Promo code BUNDLE gets the fantasy football bundle for $99 at Sharp Football Analysis. Today's Guest: JJ Zachariason, Late-Round Fantasy Football. Last week on his channel they gave you the ten players they are avoiding. More Resources: Fantasy packages, the draft kit and the worksheet: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy-packages/ Late-Round Fantasy Football: https://lateround.com Rich Hribar on X: https://x.com/LordReebs JJ Zachariason on X: https://x.com/LateRoundQB Follow Us X: https://x.com/SharpFootball Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfootball/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfootballanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    1h 9min
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  2. Number 2: College Football Win Totals: Best OVER/UNDER Picks for 2026

    College football win totals and futures for the 2026 season — six win total bets across the Big 12, the ACC and the SEC, with every number, every price and the schedule spot that decides each one. Get everything at Sharp Football Analysis and take 20% off sitewide with promo code SHOW20: https://sharp.football Warren Sharp is joined by Sharp Football college betting analyst Ryan McCrystal for six 2026 futures before Week Zero: Cincinnati under 5.5 wins, Virginia over 7.5, Georgia Tech under 6.5, Cal over 6.5, Ole Miss to miss the College Football Playoff, and the best bet of the show, LSU over 8.5 wins. What You'll Learn: • The quarterback change that decides Cincinnati's season, and why it is worth more than a win • How to read a Virginia schedule that did not get harder, and the NIL money behind the rest of the case • What happens to a Georgia Tech offense when the coordinator, the starter and the backup all leave in one offseason • Why Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele raises the floor at Cal, not just the ceiling • What a first-year head coach and a brutal five-game stretch mean for Ole Miss and the College Football Playoff • What Lane Kiffin built at LSU in the transfer portal, and how the schedule sets up • The difference between an 8.5-win total and a 9.5-win total, and why one game is worth so much Chapters: 0:00 Welcome 0:35 Six win totals with Ryan McCrystal 2:27 Cincinnati Bearcats 6:03 Virginia Cavaliers 10:36 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 14:59 20% off sitewide, code SHOW20 15:59 Cal Golden Bears 20:36 The odds, book by book 21:29 Ole Miss Rebels 25:31 LSU Tigers, the best bet of the show 27:09 Inside the LSU schedule 29:49 Why one win changes everything 30:13 The Friday betting show is back Watch this episode on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HMitDmnuLXA Promo code SHOW20 for 20% off everything at Sharp Football Analysis. More Resources: Betting packages, fantasy analysis, the draft kit and the 2026 Football Preview book: https://sharp.football Ryan McCrystal on X: https://x.com/Ryan_McCrystal Warren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootball Follow Us X: https://x.com/SharpFootball Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfootball/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfootballanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    32min
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  3. Number 3: (36-13, 73% Lifetime) NFL Week 1 Best Bets & Player Props 2026

    NFL Week 1 best bets, player props and referee picks, plus two college football sides for Saturday. Warren Sharp is 36-13 (73%) lifetime on podcast best bets, and this is the full Week 1 card: his best bet of the week, three props from Rich Hribar, Ryan McCrystal's college football picks and Joe Gibbs on the Week 1 referees. Week 1 sale: code SHOW85 takes 85% off any weekly betting package, every Week 1 recommendation plus early Week 2 action for $15. Code SHOW25 takes 25% off a monthly or season-long package. sharp.football Players and teams discussed: Jayden Daniels, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, Rhamondre Stevenson, Arch Manning and Bryce Underwood. Seahawks at Patriots, Ohio State at Texas, Oklahoma at Michigan, Bengals vs Buccaneers, Bears vs Panthers, Saints at Lions, Packers at Vikings, Cowboys at Giants and Broncos at Chiefs. WHAT YOU WILL LEARN • Which teams moved to under center the most this preseason, and why it matters for Daniels, Lamar and Burrow • Why Week 1 is the week to be careful with your bankroll, and why Week 2 is overreaction week • How to use alt ladders on player props • Ryan McCrystal's picks for Ohio State at Texas and Oklahoma at Michigan • Rich Hribar's three Week 1 props and the numbers behind each one • The referee trends behind Joe Gibbs' three picks • Warren's Week 1 best bet and the numbers behind it CHAPTERS 00:00 Warren's best bets record and today's show 01:06 Seahawks over Patriots: the opener 02:33 Quarterbacks going under center more in 2026 09:08 New coaches, new roles, new prices 13:21 How we bet props (and the Stevenson ladder) 17:30 College football picks with Ryan McCrystal 18:16 Ohio State at Texas pick 21:44 Oklahoma at Michigan pick 25:31 85% off the Week 1 betting package 26:58 Rich Hribar prop 1: Bengals vs Bucs 29:35 Prop 2: Bears vs Panthers 32:23 Prop 3: Saints at Lions 35:38 The ref report with Joe Gibbs 36:29 Packers at Vikings 38:34 Cowboys at Giants, Sunday Night Football 40:55 Broncos at Chiefs, Monday Night Football 43:46 Warren's best bet of the week 51:34 Wrap-up Watch the video version on YouTube: https://youtu.be/KEB0lOgXzl8 PROMO CODES SHOW85: 85% off any weekly betting package at sharp.football SHOW25: 25% off a monthly or season-long package OddsJam code WARREN: free trial and 40% off your first month, oddsjam.com GUESTS Rich Hribar, Sharp Football Analysis, @LordReebs Ryan McCrystal, Sharp Football Analysis, college football Joe Gibbs, Sharp Football Analysis, referee analysis Hosted by Warren Sharp, @SharpFootball MORE RESOURCES The Worksheet The 2026 Football Preview book All packagesFollow UsYouTube • X • sharpfootballanalysis.com Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    52min
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  4. Number 4: NFL Player Props 2026: Our 12 Favorite Bets

    Twelve NFL player props and futures for the 2026 season from four Sharp Football analysts, with the schedule, target and blocking-scheme numbers behind them. Get the full props and futures packages at sharpfootballanalysis.com/props. Players and teams discussed: Josh Allen, D.J. Moore, Dalton Kincaid, Carnell Tate, Cam Ward, Elic Ayomanor, Rome Odunze, Jonathan Taylor, Jordan Love, Micah Parsons, Josh Jacobs, David Montgomery, Woody Marks, Christian Watson, Jayden Reed, Matthew Golden, Jaylen Waddle, Javonte Williams, Chase Brown, Baker Mayfield and Bucky Irving. WHAT YOU WILL LEARN • Why Buffalo's schedule of opposing offenses swings hard in the other direction this season • The quarterback who has hit a 5 percent touchdown rate in each of the last six seasons, and why nobody else over that stretch has • What happened to D.J. Moore's target quality in Chicago, and what changes now • Why a rookie wide receiver's reception floor depends on his quarterback's accuracy downfield • The 50 yard per game gap between one running back's wins and losses over the last two seasons • Why one of the run heaviest offenses in the league may be forced to throw more • Where one running back ranked among 44 backs on man blocking runs last season • How a Green Bay receiver's usage changed over the last three or four weeks of last season • What Denver's first half early down air yards this preseason say about the offense they are about to run • Two division futures, and the prices Warren was seeing when this was recorded CHAPTERS 00:00 Welcome, and what the show is 00:28 Who is on today, and the 25 percent off code 02:09 Rich Hribar joins, and the case for more Buffalo passing 03:51 The first angle, Josh Allen and the end zone 05:00 The schedule swing that could change the Bills defense 06:49 The first receiver, D.J. Moore and his target quality 09:29 Dalton Kincaid at tight end, health and routes 13:29 Ray Summerlin joins, a draft story and the rankings tool 18:05 Ray's first bet, Carnell Tate and Cam Ward 23:45 Ray's second bet, Jonathan Taylor and the Colts 28:19 Ray's third bet, Jordan Love and a run heavy offense 31:52 What Green Bay's defense does to the game script 36:16 Curtis Hirsch joins, and a Cowboys curveball 39:28 Curtis's first bet, David Montgomery to Houston 43:44 Curtis's second bet, Christian Watson in Green Bay 46:34 Curtis's third bet, Jaylen Waddle to Denver 52:16 Warren's turn, and why some of his numbers already moved 53:17 Chase Brown and the Bengals ground game 55:22 The first division future 58:26 The second division future 1:03:53 Twelve futures, one show Watch the video version on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qaZ6bZJN4hY GUESTS Rich Hribar, Sharp Football Analysis — @LordReebs Raymond Summerlin, Sharp Football Analysis — @RMSummerlin Curtis Hirsch, Sharp Football Analysis — @curtisharsch Hosted by Warren Sharp — @SharpFootball MORE RESOURCES Season long player props Futures packages The 2026 Football Preview book All packages Follow Us YouTube • X • sharpfootballanalysis.com Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    1h 5min
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  5. Number 5: The Matchup Show, Week 1: The Matchups That Decide the Big Games

    Three matchups decide the biggest games of NFL Week 1, and this is the film and the numbers on all three: Texans offense against the Bills defense, the Bengals passing game against the Buccaneers front, and Ravens at Colts. Houston's offense finished 30th in red zone touchdown rate last season and ran the fourth highest rate of three receiver sets down there. Buffalo has a new defensive coordinator and gave up 7.6 yards per carry against two tight end sets. Cincinnati is putting Joe Burrow under center after two years of shotgun at the second highest rate in the NFL, against the defense that blitzes more than anyone. And the Colts offense that ranked number one in the league through 10 weeks meets a Baltimore defense with a new coordinator who plays the lowest rate of man coverage in football. Plus the Seahawks and Patriots opener, the two injuries that came out of it, and one sneaky important matchup from each of us that nobody is talking about. 85% OFF THE WEEKLY BETTING PACKAGE We opened the season 3-1, hit both of our top props on Wednesday night, and a $100 bettor won $378 on the first game of the year. Get every Week 1 play plus early Week 2 action for $15. Use code SHOW85 at checkout. https://sharp.football THE WORKSHEET A full preview of every single game, every week, written by Rich Hribar. Included with the fantasy packages. https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy/the-worksheet/ THE 2026 FOOTBALL PREVIEW 600 plus pages. Every team chapter, every positional unit ranked, win total analysis and the futures market. https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/warren-sharp-book-nfl-football-preview/ ALL PACKAGES https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages/ CHAPTERS 00:00 Welcome to the Matchup Show 00:35 Seahawks 13, Patriots 10: what actually happened 07:28 Three videos a week this season 08:08 Matchup 1: Texans offense vs Bills defense 14:21 The other side: Josh Allen against the Texans pass rush 15:54 C.J. Stroud at home and on the road 17:09 Matchup 2: Bengals passing game vs Bucs defensive front 21:19 Joe Burrow's Week 1 problem 24:39 Can Cincinnati run it against this front 26:35 85% off the Week 1 betting package 27:38 Matchup 3: Ravens and Colts 33:30 Lamar Jackson and the new Ravens offense 38:04 Sneaky important matchup 38:29 Rich's pick: Steelers 12 personnel 41:09 Warren's pick: Jordan Love vs Brian Flores 43:50 Tell us if you want this every week New show, every Thursday, all season long. Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RaOe53L5LNY X: https://x.com/SharpFootball X: https://x.com/LordReebs Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    45min
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