In this episode, Ignacio is joined by Megan Sutcliffe, Principal Analyst for the Middle East and Africa. Together, they delve into the recent altercation in Tigray between the Tigray Defence Forces and the Tigray Interim Administration. They discuss the strategic interests of the involved parties, the implications of the Pretoria Agreement, and the complex international dynamics at play. Megan provides insight into the historical context of the conflict, the challenges of the peace process, and the potential for future escalation.

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#Tigray #Ethiopia #Conflict #PeaceProcess

In this episode, Ignacio is joined by Layla Guest, an intelligence analyst for Eurasia here at Sibylline. Together, they look into the recent peace process negotiations between the US, Ukraine, and Russia, focusing on the 28-point peace plan and its revisions. They discuss the strategic interests of the involved parties, the proposed territorial concessions, and the international reactions. Layla provides insights into the historical context of the negotiations, the implications of the proposed changes, and the complex international dynamics at play.

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#US #Ukraine #Russia #PeaceProcess

In this episode, Ignacio is joined by Megan Sutcliffe, Principal Analyst for the Middle East and Africa. Together, they delve into the ongoing conflict in Sudan, focusing on the recent developments in the Darfur region. They discuss the strategic manoeuvres of the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF), highlighting the humanitarian crisis and international reactions. Megan provides insights into the historical context of the conflict, the implications of recent territorial changes, and the complex international dynamics at play.

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#Sudan #Conflict #Darfur #HumanitarianCrisis

In this episode, Ignacio is joined by Alex Marciniak, Intelligence Analyst for Latin America and the Caribbean at Sibylline. Together, they discuss the unexpected results of the Argentinian midterm elections, exploring the significant win for President Javier Milei and his La Libertad Avanza (LLA) party, which outperformed pre-election polling. Alex provides insights into the implications of this victory for Millet's ability to govern, the potential policy changes and the strategic dynamics within the Argentine Congress. The discussion highlights the complex interplay of political manoeuvres, economic reforms and international influences, particularly the role of the US credit swap line.

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#Argentina #Elections #Politics #LatinAmerica

In this episode, Shiza Abbasi, Principal Analyst for South Asia at Sibylline, joins Ignacio Ayala to discuss the recent armed confrontations between Afghanistan and Pakistan. The conversation delves into the factors driving these tensions, including the role of the TTP and the strategic dynamics at play. Shiza provides insight into the potential for escalation and the implications for regional stability, highlighting the complex interplay of military actions, diplomatic efforts, and socio-economic dependencies.

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#Afghanistan #Pakistan #Security #SouthAsia

In this episode, Noam Ostfeld, Principal Analyst for the Middle East, North Africa and Turkey at Sibylline, joins Ignacio to discuss the recent surge in nationwide protests across Morocco and the resulting escalation in security risks. The conversation examines the factors driving the unrest, the government’s response, and the implications for businesses and individuals operating in affected areas. Noam provides insight into the growing threat of vandalism and looting in major cities, highlighting how these developments reflect broader socio-economic tensions and potential indicators of further instability in the region.

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#Morocco #Protests #Security #MENA

In this episode, Annabelle Walker, Associate Analyst for Europe at Sibylline, joins Ignacio to discuss the recent surge in drone incursions across Europe, with a particular focus on Russian activities in NATO airspace. The conversation explores the implications of these incursions, NATO's responses and potential future indicators of escalating tensions. Annabelle highlights the significance of these events in the context of hybrid warfare and the evolving security landscape in Europe.

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#Europe #Drones #Security

In this episode, Ignacio Ayala is joined by Latin America Intelligence Analyst Alex Marciniak to discuss the US naval deployment off Venezuela's coast. The deployment is aimed at combating drug trafficking and exerting geopolitical pressure on the Maduro regime and follows two strikes on suspected drug-trafficking vessels earlier in September. Together, they explore the roles of Venezuelan criminal organisations and regional reactions to the US deployment.

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#Venezuela #Trump #Geopolitics

In this episode, Ignacio is joined by Lewis Galvin, the Lead Analyst for the Americas at Sibylline, to discuss the recent political violence in the United States and the assassination of conservative influencer Charlie Kirk. They explore the immediate aftermath and the broader implications of this event, examining the responses from high-profile political figures and the role of social media in amplifying political polarisation. Lewis provides insights into the growing trend of politically motivated violence across the spectrum and the potential long-term effects on the political landscape.

If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing, or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback at [email protected]. 

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#PoliticalViolence #USPolitics

In this episode, Ignacio is joined by Omar Khadr, our analyst for the Middle East, North Africa, and Turkey, to discuss the recent Israeli airstrike on Hamas headquarters in Doha. They delve into the implications of this unprecedented move, examining the potential regional repercussions and the geopolitical dynamics at play. Omar provides insights into the immediate impact of the strike on ceasefire talks and the role of mediators, as well as the long-term effects on prospective Saudi-Israeli normalisation. 

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#WhatJustHappened #Geopolitics