Staturdays

Staturdays

By staturdaysSportsFootball
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Staturdays episodes

  • Week 1 Recap: Navy Doesn't Practice, Biggest Upsets, and What We Miss About Tailgating

    Actual FBS College Football games were played last weekend to our delight. And College Gameday was on TV (1:23), albeit for 2 hours and it started at 11.

    • 2:33 - What we miss most about tailgating
  • 6:20 - Week 1, how Elo did, and Navy doesn't know how to tackle
  • 7:44 - Drew explains positive expected value bets
  • 14:00 - Biggest Upsets and Elo Movers in Week 1
  • 20:31 - Updated Preseason Elo Ratings and Expected Wins
  • 22:15 - Drew talks about the season simulations
  • 37:13 - The B1G playing will they, won't they, and do we need a College Football Playoff Playoff?
    • Join the conversation on Facebook Live Tuesday nights at 8 PM
  • Follow us on Twitter
  • Subscribe to our newsletter for the latest articles straight to your inbox
  • Read the latest articles on College Football Analytics
  • S3E8 - September 9th, 2020 - Week 2

    51 min
  • Home Field Advantage, Pass and Rush Correlation, Preseason Elo Ratings + Subscribe to our Newsletter for our Week 1 Predictions

    College football is officially back!

    • 1:48 - We talk how no fans will affect home field advantage this season, how it’s traditionally calculated, the top places for the home field effect, and how we handle this in Elo.
  • 20:50 - With spring football looming, we talk whether more players will be opting out, and would fans care? 
  • 26:31 - Our preseason Elo Ratings are up on our site, and we updated our Elo system to improve it.
  • 32:45 - We review the reasons behind the correlation between pass and rush offense by looking at the article by @903124S’s guest column in Football Outsiders 
  • Our Week 1 CFB Predictions newsletter goes out later this week, with betting advice, win probabilities, and Elo ratings. Subscribe for free to get the first issue to your inbox at staturdays.substack.com.
    • Join the conversation on Facebook Live Tuesday nights at 8 PM
  • Follow us on Twitter
  • Subscribe to our newsletter for the latest articles straight to your inbox
  • Read the latest articles on College Football Analytics
  • S3E7 - September 2nd, 2020 - Week 1

    49 min
  • The B1G Bubble, Line Yards vs. Rush EPA, Micah Parsons Opts Out, and Our Bikes Got Stolen

    We talk about the Big Ten bubble and the potential for B1G Weekends in the Spring (2:20). The SEC, ACC, and Big-12 are full steam ahead trying to get a Fall 2020 college football season in (5:45). We went on vacation and got our bikes stolen, but then went full detective-mode miraculously recovered them (11:40). We look at a plot by @ScalpRNoles comparing Offensive Line Yards with Rushing EPA to see the impact of the O-Line on the run game (17:10). Finally, Micah Parsons opted out of his Junior year for Penn State, and we talk about the impact on the defense and team, and discuss how important one player is to a team (31:50). Thanks for listening!

    • Join the conversation on Facebook Live Tuesday nights at 8 PM
  • Follow us on Twitter
  • Subscribe to our newsletter for the latest articles straight to your inbox
  • Read the latest articles on College Football Analytics
  • S3E6 - August 26th, 2020

    42 min
  • James Franklin: Dumbbell Thief, and Spring College Football?

    It's now week 4 of the Quarantine Podcast and we're straying a bit from the stats today to cover some more lighthearted news. Namely, James Franklin has been accused of dumbbell theft (1:13), and Franklin fought back with accusations that a mystery man is dominating the community weight room at his condominium complex. This is probably the only time Franklin has asked someone to spend less time in the gym. Also, we talk about the possibility of playing College Football in the Spring (6:08) and what exactly that would look like after Penn State Athletic Director Sandy Barbour hinted at the option if COVID-19 isn't under control by the Fall.

    S3E4 - April 10th, 2020

    31 min
  • LSU Nearly Averaged a 1st Down... on 1st Down, and Washington State Refused to Run the Ball. Like Ever.

    We go through our most recent article on Staturdays.com - follow along as we go through each chart here: https://staturdays.com/2020/03/29/the-best-teams-in-college-football-at-getting-first-downs/. We come to the realization that teams should probably pass more on 2nd down (11:40), be more aggressive on 1st and 2nd downs, that LSU practically averaged a 1st down... on 1st down (22:28), and that Washington State probably passes too much (20:00). We also find out that Mike Leach is the new head coach of Mississippi State (that was hard to spell), which then forces us to realize that Ball Coach Joe Moorehead is the OC at Oregon now (that's a scary thought).

    S3E3 - April 1st, 2020

    34 min
  • Passing vs. Running: How Much Is Too Much?

    In our second episode of the quarantine, we're discussing a new article from FootballOutsiders that discusses what the optimal amount of passing the ball is, and breaks down the efficiencies of passing, rushing, and play-action passes.

    You can read it yourself here: https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stat-analysis/2020/finding-optimal-passrun-ratio. It's a very quick read, has lots of graphs, and is easy to follow.

    28 min
  • How Many Teams Do You Need for a 50-50 Shot at the National Championship?

    We are back for our 3rd season and kicking off the offseason with new episodes every week around different college football stats and analytics topics, including explaining some common college football stats, doing a college football mythbusters, and more. This week we're discussing a question of league parity: how many teams would you have to pick to be 50% confident that you have the winner of the National Championship in your group of teams? Wash your hands and STAY HOME.

    26 min
  • CFP National Championship - 3 Clemson vs. 1 LSU (-5.5)

    S2E20 - Week 15 - It's the final game of the 2019 college football season. We recap the two College Football Playoff semifinal games, including a staggering blowout win by LSU over Oklahoma, and a down-to-the-wire instant classic between Clemson and Ohio State. Then, we go through the stats for the Clemson vs. LSU game and pick our winners (we've got a split-decision folks). Let's hope for another great one! Thanks for listening and sticking with us all season.

    26 min
  • College Football Playoff, Bowl Season, PSU's New OC, National Champ Picks + We Reference Kicking Stats?

    It is Bowl Season and College Football Playoff season, and we break out all the stats we can find for all these HUGE matchups of Top 25 teams that we've been waiting for. We start with the news of PSU hiring Minnesota's OC as their new Offensive Coordinator and the potential that move has, then we pick the 17 Memphis vs. 10 PSU (-7) game. After that, we get into the College Football Playoff semifinal matchups and bust out all the stats, including kicking (?) stats! There are a ton of great games and we pick them all including:

    • 4 Oklahoma vs. 1 LSU (-13.5)
  • 3 Clemson (-2) vs. 2 OSU
  • 18 Minnesota vs. 12 Auburn (-7.5)
  • 14 Michigan vs. 13 Alabama (-7)
  • 6 Oregon vs. 8 Wisconsin (-3)
  • 5 Georgia (-6.5) vs. 7 Baylor
  • PLUS - the college football final potential matchups.

     

    54 min

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College Football stats and analytics for the common fan.