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Former NFL DT Nate Collins, now a voice on The Green Light Podcast with Chris Long, joins Stephie Smalls for a full breakdown of Weekend Dads & Duds from NFL Week 14, followed by the sharpest early Week 15 betting lines and best bets on the board.
The show opens with Nate’s Jacksonville Jaguars, where Trevor Lawrence’s confidence continues to climb and the addition of Jakobi Meyers proves to be more than depth — he’s becoming a weapon. They debate whether the Houston Texans are now the actual AFC South threat while the Colts slide due to Anthony Richardson’s continued injury spiral. “Duds” come fast: Daniel Jones playing through a fracture, New York’s QB confusion, and Patrick Mahomes gifting three interceptions to a Texans defense anchored by Danielle Hunter and a nasty secondary.
Then come the “Dads,” a celebration of breakouts and redemption: Cam Ward showing maturity, Dorian Thompson-Robinson settling in, and Myles Garrett pushing toward a Browns sack record. Steph and Nate gush over Blake Corum after his 128-yard, 2-TD explosion for the Los Angeles Rams, and how Matthew Stafford looks vintage again throwing lasers to Puka Nacua and a revitalized Emmanuel Forbes.
Week 15 preview hits fast and loaded:
• Lions at Rams — Can Detroit’s run game survive this front, or is Stafford ready to torch them?
• Packers at Broncos — Are Jordan Love and his young WR trio live dogs?
• Giants vs Commanders, Jags vs Jets, and pure chaos in the NFC South with the Panthers, Bucs, Falcons, and Saints all still alive.
They close with chemistry talk inside Philly’s locker room — AJ Brown, Jalen Hurts, and what makes winning feel fragile. Plus where to follow Nate and catch him on Green Light.
0:00 - Intro
0:50 - Nate Collins intro
1:17 - Jags season turnaround
2:28 - Daniel Jones fracture
4:16 - Colts QB catastrophe
6:09 - Daniel Jones contract
6:57 - Mahomes Chiefs meltdown
8:30 - Texans defense domination
10:13 - Cam Ward vs DTR
12:32 - Browns tanking chaos
13:56 - Young QB confidence
15:55 - Blake Corum Rams
16:32 - Lions at Rams
18:25 - Dan Campbell decisions
19:45 - Packers at Broncos
22:23 - Giants vs Commanders
24:18 - Tanking art discussion
26:00 - Jags vs Jets
27:37 - NFC South race
29:28 - Eagles vibes
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On this live edition of The Stephie Smalls Show, Stephie breaks down NFL Week 14 player props, longest reception bets, and Circa Million contest picks with special guest Rod Villagomez from SGPN before Producer Ryan McKee joins to close the slate. They open with Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals, discussing James Cook rushing unders, receiving overs, and longest play potential, while breaking down how Cincinnati has fared against backs like Derrick Henry, Trevion Henderson, Jaylen Warren, Breece Hall, and the Ravens running game.
Rod then targets Matthew Stafford passing volume and longest completion props vs the Arizona Cardinals, while Stephie highlights Devin Neal receiving usage for the New Orleans Saints vs the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, deeper tight end angles with Fannin Jr., and potential spike-plays from Christian Watson for the Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears, plus David Njoku and Noah Fant in mismatched coverage spots.
Quarterback props take center stage with Patrick Mahomes passing yards, and turnover-driven markets like Mahomes and Kirk Cousins interception odds. They look at why Seattle Seahawks pressure vs Atlanta Falcons pass protection makes Cousins a live pick for turnovers and stalled drives. They even sprinkle in Ashton Jeanty rushing yard projections vs Denver, plus matchup notes involving the Las Vegas Raiders, New Orleans Saints, Arizona Cardinals, and more Week 14 edges.
Then Ryan enters with the Circa Million card: Bears +6.5, Jets +3, Seahawks -7, Browns -4.5 vs Titans, and thoughts on Chiefs -3, Colts -1.5, Steelers lines, Bengals markets, and Dolphins exposure. Smart props, longest receptions, ATS plays — it’s all in this Week 14 showdown.
0:00 Intro
0:52 Week 14 props
1:29 James Cook rushing
2:54 James Cook receiving
4:02 Stafford pass attempts
5:13 Devin Neal receiving
6:07 Christian Watson receptions
8:20 Fannin Jr receiving
9:19 Sanders, TEs usage
9:50 Mahomes passing yards
10:53 QB interception props
11:44 Ashton Jeanty rushing
12:24 Tyler Warren receiving
13:21 Rod segment wrap
15:31 Extra Holes intro
16:16 Bonus props, Hampton
18:17 Circa contest picks
19:33 Bears plus six-half
22:05 Jets plus three
23:32 Commanders plus two-half
24:18 Seahawks minus seven
26:00 Browns minus four-half
26:55 Broncos versus Raiders
28:13 Texans versus Chiefs
29:45 Circa card locked
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On this episode of The Stephie Smalls Show on the Sports Gambling Podcast Network, Stephie is joined by CJ Sullivan, host of @BottomLineBombs, for a full NFL Week 13 Weekend Dads & Duds recap and an early look at the Week 14 betting lines and best bets.
They break down the Chicago Bears run game shredding the Philadelphia Eagles defense, question what’s wrong with Nick Sirianni, Jalen Hurts, and that historically bad three-and-out rate, and talk about Ben Johnson scheming on the ground.
Stephie and CJ hit on Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals taking out Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens, the Dallas Cowboys heating up in the NFC East, and what it means for the Washington Commanders futures. They rant about Lane Kiffin, Shelby Harris calling Jauan Jennings a “hoe,” and Myles Garrett wrecking games.
The crew also talks Bryce Young and the Carolina Panthers upsetting the Los Angeles Rams, big-man TD legend Tristan Wirfs and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Jameson Williams and the shaky Detroit Lions, plus the disaster at quarterback for the Minnesota Vikings.
Then it’s on to Week 14 NFL betting: Seahawks–Falcons, Texans–Chiefs on Sunday Night Football, Browns–Titans, Commanders–Vikings, Bears–Packers, and Eagles–Chargers on Monday night. They mix in player props like Jaxson Dart, Theo Johnson, Pop Douglas, Isaiah Hodgins and more.
If you’re into NFL betting picks, player props, fantasy football angles, and sharp Week 14 edges, this is your show. Hit subscribe, rate and review the Stephie Smalls Show and check out CJ Sullivan’s @BottomLineBombs for more action.
0:00 Intro - Week 13 setup
0:53 Opening - Weekend Dads preview
1:27 Thanksgiving - Bad host story
3:24 Steph - Holiday overeating vomiting
3:58 Fashion - Jaxson Dart outfit
5:12 Hoe - Lane Kiffin called
6:04 Dad - Shelby Harris hoe
6:57 Dad - Bears run game
8:15 Dad - Joe Burrow Ravens
11:02 Dad - Tristan Wirfs touchdown
11:47 Dad - Bryce Young Rams upset
12:46 Dud - Jameson Williams Lions
13:24 Dud - Eagles offense Sirianni
16:05 Dud - Vikings quarterback meltdown
18:04 Dud - Aaron Rodgers Steelers chaos
21:03 Week 14 - Divisional slate
21:25 Lines - Lions at Cowboys
22:43 Lines - Seahawks at Falcons
24:23 Lines - Commanders at Vikings
25:09 Lines - Browns versus Titans
25:56 Lines - Texans at Chiefs
27:28 Lines - Eagles at Chargers
28:49 Props - Dart rushing Johnson
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This episode opens with pure fantasy football talk as Stephie Smalls and Sam Wagman of Footballguys break down the Week 13 waiver wire landscape before diving into Thanksgiving betting angles. They kick things off with running back adds like Devin Neal stepping in for Alvin Kamara in the Saints backfield, plus upside stashes such as Trey Benson, Quinshon Judkins, and deeper-league dart Dillon Sampson. At tight end, they highlight Brenton Strange gaining momentum with Trevor Lawrence and a friendly schedule for the Jaguars.
At wide receiver, Stephie and Sam discuss rookie John Higgins carving out a role alongside C.J. Stroud and Nico Collins on the Texans, plus deep WR fliers like Shamari Dyke and Andre Iosivas behind Tee Higgins in Cincinnati. They even touch on speculative Giants options such as Isaiah Hodgins and a possible Darren Waller return. For defense streamers, they flag the Chargers, Falcons, and Jaguars.
Then they transition to Thanksgiving Triple-Header Best Bets, starting with Packers–Lions, analyzing Jordan Love’s shoulder, Josh Jacobs’ rushing volume, deep-shot props for Romeo Doubs and Christian Watson, and receiving overs for Jahmyr Gibbs and Brock Wright in Detroit.
Next is Chiefs–Cowboys, where they weigh Patrick Mahomes’ rushing and deep-ball props against Dallas, plus complementary bets for Dak Prescott, Xavier Worthy, Rashee Rice, Jake Ferguson, and Isaiah Pacheco.
They wrap with Bengals–Ravens, looking at Joe Burrow checkdowns to Chase Brown, a banged-up Lamar Jackson, heavy Derrick Henry usage, and touchdown shots for Mark Andrews and Isaiah Likely, noting how players like Breece Hall have gashed Baltimore through the air.
00:00:00 Intro
00:01:36 Waiver wire overview
00:01:58 Devin Neal Saints
00:04:22 John Higgins pickup
00:05:52 Brenton Strange TE
00:06:50 Shamari Dyke rookies
00:07:31 Hodgins deep leagues
00:10:06 Streaming defenses
00:11:36 Packers–Lions preview
00:12:14 Love Jacobs props
00:16:07 Brock Wright props
00:17:33 Jahmyr Gibbs receiving
00:20:07 Packers WR deep shots
00:22:31 Chiefs–Cowboys preview
00:25:00 Mahomes rushing props
00:28:07 Mahomes long completion
00:31:01 Xavier Worthy longest
00:32:52 George Pickens under
00:38:19 Bengals–Ravens preview
00:39:15 Chase Brown receiving
00:41:15 Lamar rushing under
00:42:37 Henry Andrews Likely
00:46:41 Ja'Marr Chase longest
00:49:39 Thanksgiving slate wrap
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On this episode of the Stephie Smalls Show, we break down everything you need to know heading into NFL Week 13—including the newest edition of Weekend Dads & Duds, early betting line reactions, ATS leans, and our favorite sharp angles for the week.
Betting analyst Colby Marchio joins to discuss the biggest standout performances from the weekend, including why Jameis Winston, Matthew Stafford, and several breakout stars made the “Dad” list — and why a few highly drafted players landed squarely in the “Duds” category. We also dig into major storylines around the Chicago Bears, Giants struggles, MVP odds movement, and the most chaotic moments from an unpredictable NFL slate.
Then Smalls and Colby break down early Week 13 odds, including sharp positions on the Chiefs, 49ers, Bears, Texans, and more. We dive into the numbers behind defensive DVOA mismatches, rushing props, backup quarterback trends, first-start betting rules, and which opening lines are most likely to move.
Producer Ryan jumps in during “Extra Holes” to talk rivalry week and college football chaos. He also makes a heartfelt public apology to Steph, and debuts a new segment that expands upon Weekend Dads & Duds.
If you’re looking for NFL Week 13 picks, betting predictions, early lines, DFS insights, ATS breakdowns, and the funniest unhinged football commentary on YouTube, this is the episode you want.
Hit LIKE, SUBSCRIBE, and drop your Week 13 picks in the comments!
0:00 – Intro
1:20 – Colby joins
1:43 – Bears meltdown
4:12 – Winston talk
5:00 – Weekend Dads
11:38 – Weekend Duds
14:08 – Taylor discussion
16:28 – Player debates
17:41 – Cowboys segment
18:30 – Eagles analysis
20:19 – Carter threat
21:49 – Wildcat ranking
22:47 – Week 13 lines
23:12 – Texans defense
24:20 – First-start rule
26:04 – Chiefs–Cowboys
27:12 – Bears second half
28:47 – Giants QB room
29:55 – Dolphins–Saints
30:55 – Giants worst
32:14 – Thanksgiving food
34:33 – Jets INT stat
36:44 – Extra Holes
37:16 – Backup QBs
38:13 – Territorial Cup
38:29 – Rivalry nerves
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In this Week 12 Player Prop Breakdown, Stephie Smalls is joined by analytics sharp Anand Nanduri for a deep dive into the most exploitable matchups on the board. The two kick things off with the Justin Jefferson debate, breaking down why the Vikings star should clear 5.5 receptions despite the shaky play of rookie QB J.J. McCarthy. From there, Anand targets Tee Higgins and his expanded role with Ja’Marr Chase sidelined, plus the Bengals’ ongoing crisis defending tight ends — setting up a smash spot for Hunter Henry.
Smalls fires off her own favorites, including Maxx Crosby to notch a sack against Cleveland, Kenneth Walker over 59.5 rush yards versus a beatable Titans front, and Jacoby Brissett sailing past 36.5 pass attempts as Arizona leans entirely on the air. The pair also hit Lions–Giants explosives, calling out Jahmyr Gibbs longest rush and Jameson Williams deep-shot potential.
They wrap with Steph’s signature Stephceptions picks — highlighted by Tyrone Tracy Jr. longest reception and a potential Ben Sinnott red-zone look.
Then it's time for EXTRA HOLES. Producer Ryan McKee joins to review last week’s 0–5 Circa Million disaster and map out a bounce-back card. The two debate sharp sides like Jets +13, Seahawks as big favorites, Colts vs. Chiefs, Bears–Steelers uncertainty with the Aaron Rodgers injury cloud, and whether fading the public still rules the season.
A full board breakdown, prop bets with real edges, and Circa strategy you can use immediately.
0:00 – Intro
0:42 – JJ McCarthy talk
2:18 – Justin Jefferson props
4:55 – Tee Higgins usage
7:10 – Bengals vs TEs
9:34 – Hunter Henry case
11:58 – Bengals linebackers bad
13:08 – Brissett pass attempts
15:27 – Make linebackers great
17:11 – Seahawks heavy personnel
19:58 – Under-center play action
21:31 – QB evaluation issues
23:10 – Titans run matchup
25:44 – Kenneth Walker yards
28:02 – Maxx Crosby sack
29:55 – Lions explosive plays
32:50 – Jameson Williams SGP
33:57 – Anand sign-off
34:40 – Extra Holes start
35:12 – Circa picks recap
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Week 12 is here, and Stephie Smalls brings the heat with fantasy analyst Frank Ammirante breaking down the most important waiver wire adds you need before the playoffs hit. Stephie and Frank dive deep into Michael Wilson, Sean Tucker, Chris Rodriguez, Emmanuel Wilson, Luther Burden, Jayden Higgins, Alec Pierce, and more players rising at exactly the right time. Whether you’re in 10-team leagues or battling in 14-team waivers that look like a wasteland, this episode gives you the clearest adds, drops, and deep-league stashes that still offer real upside.
They also hit quarterback streamers such as Bryce Young, Jacoby Brissett, and Bo Nix, plus tight end options like Jonnu Smith after his multi-TD breakout. Then Stephie and Frank shift to Thursday Night Football: Bills vs Texans, discussing injury fallout (including C.J. Stroud being ruled out), rushing matchups, and prop angles on Josh Allen, Davis Mills, Woody Marks, James Cook, Keon Coleman, Nico Collins, and more.
You'll get the best bets, Over/Unders, longest-rush props, interception angles, and defensive breakdowns — including why Houston’s pass defense is quietly elite and why Buffalo’s run defense continues to be exploitable.
If you need help setting your Week 12 lineups, finding that league-winning stash, or building your TNF card, you’re in the right place.
Subscribe & drop your fantasy questions below — Stephie answers them LIVE every week.
0:00 Intro
1:38 Commanders disaster talk
2:11 Giants offense chatter
2:46 Tyrod starter impact
3:41 Jets WR situation
3:57 Penix injury fallout
4:20 Cousins back starting
5:10 Drake London value
5:44 Waivers open discussion
6:07 Michael Wilson add
6:22 Sean Tucker talk
6:42 Emmanuel Wilson role
7:09 Chris Rodriguez usage
8:03 Singletary & Tracy
9:23 Coleman drop talk
10:10 Luther Burden stash
10:32 Jayden Higgins rise
10:32 Bryce Young streamer
11:22 Isaiah Hodgins usage
12:22 Tight end options
12:56 Defense pickups
14:45 Listener questions
16:01 Late-season breakout
17:26 QB streamers debate
18:07 Watson vs Mooney
19:11 Nix & Spears
20:06 TNF matchup talk
20:58 Running back props
22:12 Josh Allen unders
23:07 Davis Mills completions
24:16 James Cook receiving
25:33 Texans +6 angle
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Stephie Smalls is back LIVE with CJ Sullivan for a full-on NFL Week 11 group therapy session — a.k.a. Weekend Dads & Duds — plus a first look at the must-bet Week 12 board.
They open by roasting JJ McCarthy and the Vikings offense, wondering how a supposed franchise QB can have zero rushing attempts and a turnover every week while Justin Jefferson visibly loses his mind on the sidelines. From there, they hit Sam Darnold’s four-pick meltdown, the Eagles’ bizarre, scheme-less offense despite being the NFC’s 1-seed, Dan Campbell and Jared Goff trying trick plays in a monsoon, and the Chargers’ offensive line turning Justin Herbert into a tackling dummy.
On the “Dad” side, Steph and CJ gush over undrafted RB Sean Tucker’s 140-yard, 3-TD eruption and what it means for Rashad White, Josh Allen’s six-TD nuclear game with randos like Tyrell Shavers stepping up, and Myles Garrett’s absurd Defensive Player of the Year pace. They also unpack Giants receiver disasters (Jalin Hyatt, Isaiah Hodgins), the Ja’Marr Chase vs. Jalen Ramsey spitting drama, Jacoby Brissett’s video-game stat line in the “does this game even exist?” Cardinals matchup, Texans savior Davis Mills and kicker Matthew Wright rescuing survivor pools, and Matthew Stafford’s sneaky MVP-level run.
Then they spin it forward into the Week 12 lines, working through the early spreads that feel either “stinky” or exploitable. Steph opens with Jaguars at Cardinals, puzzled why Arizona is only a +2.5 home dog after getting shredded, while CJ still leans Jacksonville now that Liam Coen’s offense finally looks cohesive. From there they hit Falcons at Saints with New Orleans laying -2.5 at home, debating whether fading Kirk Cousins and this unserious Atlanta team is the only sane option, and kick around Patriots at Bengals, where a move out to around Cincy -8.5 feels rich if Ja’Marr Chase is suspended and New England keeps quietly covering. They circle Panthers at 49ers on Monday night, liking a healthy San Francisco offense (Purdy, CMC, Kittle, Pearsall) to punish Carolina in a classic letdown spot after the Panthers’ big divisional win, and they eye the Browns at Raiders total, leaning under in a matchup of elite Cleveland defense vs. two of the league’s ugliest scoring attacks. Down the board, they talk Giants at Lions as a potential Detroit smash if the run game gets rolling, debate whether Seahawks -13 at Titans and Ravens -13.5 vs. Jets are too many points even against anemic offenses, and close on the wild swing in Steelers at Bears, where the line flipped from Pittsburgh -2.5 to Bears -3 just because of Mason Rudolph—prompting CJ to eye Tomlin as a classic road-dog value spot.
Finally, Producer Ryan McKee jumps in for Extra Holes, breaking down their brutal 0–5 Circa Million card, joking about scheduling a full gambling exorcism, and pitching some delightfully deranged angles for their Week 12 best bets.
0:00 – Show intro, Steph setup
0:42 – CJ joins, greetings
1:20 – Shower curtain chaos
1:45 – LA rain complaints
2:10 – Week 11 vibes
5:18 – Eagles offense dud
6:33 – Lions collapse talk
8:00 – Chargers O-line disaster
8:48 – Herbert injury spiral
9:11 – Flacco meltdown recap
9:46 – Chase–Ramsey spit drama
10:56 – Spitting trend rant
11:43 – Shift into Dads
21:15 – Who do we trust?
22:12 – Fourth-quarter magic rant
23:19 – Season “really begins”
23:34 – Camera freak-out moment
23:39 – Wrap Dads segment
24:31 – Jags–Cards line debate
26:07 – Saints–Falcons breakdown
32:58 – Giants–Lions blowout talk
34:12 – Seahawks–Titans spread
38:04 – MNF thoughts, CJ out
39:41 – Extra Holes begins
39:49 – 0–5 Circa misery
40:29 – Gambling exorcism bit
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The Stephie Smalls Show went LIVE Tuesday, Nov 11 at 6 PM ET — and we doubled up after Monday’s rainout!
Jeff Bell from Footballguys Fantasy Football opens the show with Fantasy Pump ’n Dumps — rapid-fire waiver adds, streams, and sits for Week 11. He hits Tre Tucker’s big-play profile, Tez Johnson’s rookie buzz, and situational pickups like Isaiah Likely (with Rashod Bateman injury notes), plus deeper darts in New Orleans alongside Chris Olave. He also talks backup RB strategy and late-season handcuffs: Tyler Allgeier, Jalen Wright, Emari Demercado, Michael Carter, Trey Benson, and roster glue like Darrell Henderson. Then it’s TNF (Jets at Patriots): leaning Breece Hall rushing under vs a stingy front, Patriots rushing over, and a QB TD look for Drake Maye; sprinkles on long-reception markets for Mack Hollins and Stefon Diggs. Teams and players discussed include: Jets, Patriots, Giants, Bears, Dolphins, Commanders, Ravens, Bills, Seahawks, Cardinals; Josh Allen, Garrett Wilson, Pop Douglas, Hunter Henry, Kyle Williams (rookie WR chatter), Olamide Zaccheaus, Darnell Mooney mentions adjacent via usage, and more.
After Jeff exits, Colby Marchio from Betting News joins for a Week 10 recap and early Week 11 lines — Chicago fan chaos, streaming/paywall gripes, and sides/totals talk including Dolphins volatility, Commanders fade angles, and general market reads headed into the slate.
Finally, Producer Ryan jumps in for Extra Holes: Circa contest update (3-2), Bills fatigue, and closing riffs on Cardinals–Seahawks streaks and NFC reality checks before the sign-off.
If you’re setting waivers, building TNF slips, or eyeing Sunday lines, this one’s loaded with pickups, props, and plays.
0:00 - Show Open
1:54 Bills temp check
8:15 Waivers: WRs
11:42 Waivers: RBs
18:38 TNF preview starts
20:02 TNF props lean
26:04 Colby joins
26:16 Bears rant
40:30 Streaming/paywalls
46:48 Early lines talk
47:31 Dolphins/Commanders angle
52:59 Colby sign-off
53:29 Extra Holes intro
54:08 Circa 3-2, Bills
57:03 Cards–Seahawks note
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