NFL Week 16 is here, and the Stephie Smalls Show dives deep into the player prop market with a full breakdown of where the value is hiding before kickoff. Stephie Smalls is joined by sports betting analyst Colby Marchio from Betting News to talk through the sharpest player props, matchup-driven angles, and betting philosophies that matter most this week.

The episode opens with a detailed discussion of the Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks, including a look at Matthew Stafford’s passing volume and why his completions and overall usage could be misleading based on game script. The conversation naturally shifts to how the Rams’ offense operates around Puka Nacua and what that means for betting unders in high-profile matchups.

From there, Stephie and Colby examine Sam Darnold’s passing yardage and how quarterback efficiency doesn’t always tell the full story when volume and defensive matchups come into play. They also break down Tyron Tracy’s rushing attempts, focusing on workload trends, opponent run defenses, and why opportunity can be more important than raw talent when betting player props.

Justin Herbert’s passing yards against the Dallas Cowboys get a full analytical treatment, with discussion around defensive vulnerabilities, recent performances against similar opponents, and how Herbert’s ceiling changes in different game environments. The show also highlights tight end value with Dallas Goedert’s receiving yard prop against the Washington Commanders, referencing recent production allowed to opposing tight ends.

The episode wraps with a look at DeVonta Smith’s longest reception prop and how explosive-play markets can offer sneaky value late in the season. If you’re betting NFL Week 16 player props, this episode is packed with actionable insights, sharp angles, and practical betting advice.

0:00 - Intro
0:00:53 - Welcome
0:01:11 - Rat noise bit
0:01:34 - Plant attack
0:02:35 - Baseball question
0:03:13 - Dodgers hate talk
0:05:57 - NFC North hate
0:08:48 - Prediction market ad
0:09:15 - Saturday slate rant
0:11:09 - TD longshot chat
0:11:46 - Stafford completions under
0:13:21 - Darnold yards debate
0:14:40 - Sanders attempts under
0:16:15 - Dolphins game angles
0:17:53 - Waller yards/TD talk
0:20:12 - Mike Evans ladder joke
0:22:05 - Underdog entry picks
0:23:00 - Tyron Tracy carries
0:24:43 - Herbert pass yards
0:28:02 - Henderson receiving yards
0:29:23 - Goedert receiving yards
0:31:25 - DeVonta longest catch
0:34:32 - AI photo horror
0:36:40 - Bears-Packers thoughts
0:39:02 - Injury chart reaction
0:40:05 - Old coach rant
0:40:52 - Weekend hot takes

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Fantasy football playoffs are here, and The Stephie Smalls Show (Sports Gambling Podcast Network / SGPN) is locked in with guest Cody Zeeb to help you survive and advance with Week 16 starts, sits, waiver wire adds, streamers, and Thursday Night Football props for Rams vs Seahawks. Stephie and Cody hit the biggest lineup questions and playoff pivots, including Trevor Lawrence as a high-upside QB streamer, tight end savers like Colby Parkinson and Darren Waller, and RB help with Michael Carter (plus notes on Bam Knight and Alvin Kamara). They also break down WR options like Jayden Reed (with Christian Watson banged up) and talk through panic-button names like Justin Jefferson vs Darius Slayton, with mentions of Jalen Nailor and Wan’Dale Robinson.

Then it’s full TNF betting preview: Stephie and Cody talk Matthew Stafford vs Sam Darnold, how Puka Nacua’s health and Davante Adams being out shift the Rams offense, and why Kyren Williams is a centerpiece (anytime TD, rushing ladders, and more), with Blake Corum lurking. They also touch prop angles tied to Seahawks coverage, plus player notes including Jacoby Brissett, Baker Mayfield, Davis Allen, Austin Hooper, Travis Kelce, Gardner Minshew, Drake Maye, Jackson Dart, Justin Herbert, and Brock Purdy—all with a playoff mindset for fantasy and betting.

00:00 - Intro
01:12 - Cody joins
01:21 - Patriots check-in
03:13 - TreVeyon Henderson
04:33 - Waivers begin
05:12 - Trevor Lawrence
05:53 - Tight end adds
06:56 - Darren Waller
08:20 - Tua concussion
09:20 - Michael Carter
10:42 - QB streamers
11:33 - Jayden Reed
14:26 - Start/sit mailbag
14:47 - Fant vs Kelce
17:07 - JJ vs Slayton
20:22 - QB: Herbert/Purdy
22:29 - RB: Kyren call
24:20 - Stream defenses
26:28 - Dart vs Maye
27:25 - TNF preview
27:55 - Rams bet angle
29:17 - INT prop talk
30:08 - Parkinson props
32:04 - Kyren TDs
32:27 - Stafford longest

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The Stephie Smalls Show LIVE breaks down everything you need from NFL Week 15 Dads & Duds and looks ahead to early Week 16 betting lines, with comedian and betting analyst CJ Sullivan from SGPN’s Bottom Line Bombs podcast.

The show opens with Weekend Dads & Duds, reacting to massive performances and brutal letdowns from Week 15. Stephie and CJ dig into Kyle Pitts’ historic tight end performance, Josh Allen’s rollercoaster game (and sideline puke), Trayvon Henderson’s breakout rushing day, Puka Nacua’s dominant receiving performance, Bo Nix’s career-best outing, and Trevor Lawrence’s monster six-touchdown game. On the flip side, the duds pile up fast with discussions around Joe Burrow, Darius Slayton, the New York Giants’ kicker disaster, Zac Taylor, Jonathan Gannon, and the absolute offensive collapse of the Las Vegas Raiders, Cleveland Browns, New York Jets, and Tennessee Titans.

From there, the conversation shifts to NFL Week 16 betting lines and early best bets, including deep dives into Jaguars vs Broncos, Rams vs Seahawks, Buccaneers vs Panthers, Vikings vs Giants, Titans vs Colts, Patriots vs Ravens, 49ers vs Philip Rivers-led Colts, Falcons vs Cardinals, and the continued rise of the Houston Texans as a dangerous playoff team behind C.J. Stroud and an elite defense. Stephie and CJ debate spreads, totals, letdown spots, playoff motivation, and which teams are peaking at the right time heading into the postseason.

Smart betting analysis, unhinged football rants, and sharp Week 16 angles — this episode is packed from kickoff to closing bell.

🎙️ Guest: CJ Sullivan (Bottom Line Bombs, SGPN)
🏈 Topics: NFL Week 15 Recap, Dads & Duds, Week 16 Betting Lines, Player Props, Best Bets
📺 Stephie Smalls Show LIVE

0:00 – Intro
1:10 – Guest intro
2:05 – Week 15 recap
3:35 – Giants kicking disaster
5:30 – Dads vs Duds
7:45 – Giants dysfunction
9:30 – Jonathan Gannon rant
10:45 – Raiders collapse
12:40 – Worst teams debate
15:10 – Quarterback struggles
18:05 – Playoff picture talk
20:30 – Rams praise
22:15 – Philip Rivers nostalgia
24:00 – Geriatric Bowl idea
25:30 – Kyle Pitts explosion
28:00 – Josh Allen nerves
30:20 – Texans rising
32:40 – Week 16 lines
35:10 – Vikings Giants line
37:50 – NFC South chaos
39:00 – Titans angle
41:10 – Player props
44:10 – Best bets
45:00 – CJ plugs
45:45 – Outro

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This Week 15 edition of The Stephie Smalls Show dives headfirst into player props, contest strategy, and Circa Million decision-making, with two sharp voices breaking down one of the trickiest slates of the NFL season. Stephie Smalls is first joined by Brady Kannon, professional handicapper and former Westgate SuperContest winner, to talk through how sharp bettors think differently in December—especially when contest leverage matters more than simply “picking winners.”

Brady breaks down several pivotal Week 15 matchups, including Lions at Rams, Packers at Broncos, Jets at Jaguars, and Titans at 49ers, explaining how injuries, scheduling spots, and public perception can inflate lines. He also delivers a deep slate of player prop angles, including Jordan Love UNDER passing yards, Derrick Henry longest rush OVER, Isaiah Likely receiving yards, Marcus Mariota rushing yards, and Tua Tagovailoa UNDER completions in cold Pittsburgh weather.

In the second half, SGPN’s Scott Reichel jumps in to fire off even more prop value, highlighting plays involving Chase Brown, James Cook, Trevor Lawrence, Davante Adams, and Adam Thielen, while debating Ravens-Bengals game script, Jaguars-Jets trends, and where books may be slow to adjust. The conversation blends matchup data, recent usage, and price-shopping logic—perfect for bettors looking to attack props instead of spreads.

If you’re betting Week 15 player props, managing Circa Million entries, or just trying to survive December without tilting into the sun, this episode delivers sharp insight with zero fluff and plenty of angles worth stealing.

0:00 Intro
1:19 Brady joins
1:41 Season recap
2:01 NFL unpredictability
2:59 Survivor discussion
3:24 Survivor candidates
4:28 Saints survivor angle
5:12 Big spreads board
5:36 Jaguars QB uncertainty
6:13 Jaguars flat spot
6:33 Chiefs/Niners inflation
7:34 Philip Rivers narrative
8:28 Contest contrarian theory
9:21 Backup QB trend
11:09 Lions at Rams
12:06 Rams momentum
12:23 Packers at Broncos
13:29 Love passing under
15:55 Brady prop rundown
17:29 Ravens-Bengals props
18:22 Tua cold fade
22:03 Saints at Panthers
23:44 Brady exits
25:19 Scott joins
26:09 Chase Brown receiving
28:34 QB rushing over
29:27 Thielen longest under
31:54 Kicker prop angle
33:26 James Cook receiving
35:01 Trevor Lawrence no picks

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Former NFL DT Nate Collins, now a voice on The Green Light Podcast with Chris Long, joins Stephie Smalls for a full breakdown of Weekend Dads & Duds from NFL Week 14, followed by the sharpest early Week 15 betting lines and best bets on the board.

The show opens with Nate’s Jacksonville Jaguars, where Trevor Lawrence’s confidence continues to climb and the addition of Jakobi Meyers proves to be more than depth — he’s becoming a weapon. They debate whether the Houston Texans are now the actual AFC South threat while the Colts slide due to Anthony Richardson’s continued injury spiral. “Duds” come fast: Daniel Jones playing through a fracture, New York’s QB confusion, and Patrick Mahomes gifting three interceptions to a Texans defense anchored by Danielle Hunter and a nasty secondary.

Then come the “Dads,” a celebration of breakouts and redemption: Cam Ward showing maturity, Dorian Thompson-Robinson settling in, and Myles Garrett pushing toward a Browns sack record. Steph and Nate gush over Blake Corum after his 128-yard, 2-TD explosion for the Los Angeles Rams, and how Matthew Stafford looks vintage again throwing lasers to Puka Nacua and a revitalized Emmanuel Forbes.

Week 15 preview hits fast and loaded:
• Lions at Rams — Can Detroit’s run game survive this front, or is Stafford ready to torch them?
• Packers at Broncos — Are Jordan Love and his young WR trio live dogs?
• Giants vs Commanders, Jags vs Jets, and pure chaos in the NFC South with the Panthers, Bucs, Falcons, and Saints all still alive.

They close with chemistry talk inside Philly’s locker room — AJ Brown, Jalen Hurts, and what makes winning feel fragile. Plus where to follow Nate and catch him on Green Light.

0:00 - Intro
0:50 - Nate Collins intro
1:17 - Jags season turnaround
2:28 - Daniel Jones fracture
4:16 - Colts QB catastrophe
6:09 - Daniel Jones contract
6:57 - Mahomes Chiefs meltdown
8:30 - Texans defense domination
10:13 - Cam Ward vs DTR
12:32 - Browns tanking chaos
13:56 - Young QB confidence
15:55 - Blake Corum Rams
16:32 - Lions at Rams
18:25 - Dan Campbell decisions
19:45 - Packers at Broncos
22:23 - Giants vs Commanders
24:18 - Tanking art discussion
26:00 - Jags vs Jets
27:37 - NFC South race
29:28 - Eagles vibes

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On this live edition of The Stephie Smalls Show, Stephie breaks down NFL Week 14 player props, longest reception bets, and Circa Million contest picks with special guest Rod Villagomez from SGPN before Producer Ryan McKee joins to close the slate. They open with Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals, discussing James Cook rushing unders, receiving overs, and longest play potential, while breaking down how Cincinnati has fared against backs like Derrick Henry, Trevion Henderson, Jaylen Warren, Breece Hall, and the Ravens running game.

Rod then targets Matthew Stafford passing volume and longest completion props vs the Arizona Cardinals, while Stephie highlights Devin Neal receiving usage for the New Orleans Saints vs the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, deeper tight end angles with Fannin Jr., and potential spike-plays from Christian Watson for the Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears, plus David Njoku and Noah Fant in mismatched coverage spots.

Quarterback props take center stage with Patrick Mahomes passing yards, and turnover-driven markets like Mahomes and Kirk Cousins interception odds. They look at why Seattle Seahawks pressure vs Atlanta Falcons pass protection makes Cousins a live pick for turnovers and stalled drives. They even sprinkle in Ashton Jeanty rushing yard projections vs Denver, plus matchup notes involving the Las Vegas Raiders, New Orleans Saints, Arizona Cardinals, and more Week 14 edges.

Then Ryan enters with the Circa Million card: Bears +6.5, Jets +3, Seahawks -7, Browns -4.5 vs Titans, and thoughts on Chiefs -3, Colts -1.5, Steelers lines, Bengals markets, and Dolphins exposure. Smart props, longest receptions, ATS plays — it’s all in this Week 14 showdown.

0:00 Intro
0:52 Week 14 props
1:29 James Cook rushing
2:54 James Cook receiving
4:02 Stafford pass attempts
5:13 Devin Neal receiving
6:07 Christian Watson receptions
8:20 Fannin Jr receiving
9:19 Sanders, TEs usage
9:50 Mahomes passing yards
10:53 QB interception props
11:44 Ashton Jeanty rushing
12:24 Tyler Warren receiving
13:21 Rod segment wrap
15:31 Extra Holes intro
16:16 Bonus props, Hampton
18:17 Circa contest picks
19:33 Bears plus six-half
22:05 Jets plus three
23:32 Commanders plus two-half
24:18 Seahawks minus seven
26:00 Browns minus four-half
26:55 Broncos versus Raiders
28:13 Texans versus Chiefs
29:45 Circa card locked

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On this episode of The Stephie Smalls Show on the Sports Gambling Podcast Network, Stephie is joined by CJ Sullivan, host of @BottomLineBombs, for a full NFL Week 13 Weekend Dads & Duds recap and an early look at the Week 14 betting lines and best bets.

They break down the Chicago Bears run game shredding the Philadelphia Eagles defense, question what’s wrong with Nick Sirianni, Jalen Hurts, and that historically bad three-and-out rate, and talk about Ben Johnson scheming on the ground.

Stephie and CJ hit on Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals taking out Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens, the Dallas Cowboys heating up in the NFC East, and what it means for the Washington Commanders futures. They rant about Lane Kiffin, Shelby Harris calling Jauan Jennings a “hoe,” and Myles Garrett wrecking games.

The crew also talks Bryce Young and the Carolina Panthers upsetting the Los Angeles Rams, big-man TD legend Tristan Wirfs and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Jameson Williams and the shaky Detroit Lions, plus the disaster at quarterback for the Minnesota Vikings.

Then it’s on to Week 14 NFL betting: Seahawks–Falcons, Texans–Chiefs on Sunday Night Football, Browns–Titans, Commanders–Vikings, Bears–Packers, and Eagles–Chargers on Monday night. They mix in player props like Jaxson Dart, Theo Johnson, Pop Douglas, Isaiah Hodgins and more.

If you’re into NFL betting picks, player props, fantasy football angles, and sharp Week 14 edges, this is your show. Hit subscribe, rate and review the Stephie Smalls Show and check out CJ Sullivan’s @BottomLineBombs for more action.

0:00 Intro - Week 13 setup
0:53 Opening - Weekend Dads preview
1:27 Thanksgiving - Bad host story
3:24 Steph - Holiday overeating vomiting
3:58 Fashion - Jaxson Dart outfit
5:12 Hoe - Lane Kiffin called
6:04 Dad - Shelby Harris hoe
6:57 Dad - Bears run game
8:15 Dad - Joe Burrow Ravens
11:02 Dad - Tristan Wirfs touchdown
11:47 Dad - Bryce Young Rams upset
12:46 Dud - Jameson Williams Lions
13:24 Dud - Eagles offense Sirianni
16:05 Dud - Vikings quarterback meltdown
18:04 Dud - Aaron Rodgers Steelers chaos
21:03 Week 14 - Divisional slate
21:25 Lines - Lions at Cowboys
22:43 Lines - Seahawks at Falcons
24:23 Lines - Commanders at Vikings
25:09 Lines - Browns versus Titans
25:56 Lines - Texans at Chiefs
27:28 Lines - Eagles at Chargers
28:49 Props - Dart rushing Johnson

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This episode opens with pure fantasy football talk as Stephie Smalls and Sam Wagman of Footballguys break down the Week 13 waiver wire landscape before diving into Thanksgiving betting angles. They kick things off with running back adds like Devin Neal stepping in for Alvin Kamara in the Saints backfield, plus upside stashes such as Trey Benson, Quinshon Judkins, and deeper-league dart Dillon Sampson. At tight end, they highlight Brenton Strange gaining momentum with Trevor Lawrence and a friendly schedule for the Jaguars.

At wide receiver, Stephie and Sam discuss rookie John Higgins carving out a role alongside C.J. Stroud and Nico Collins on the Texans, plus deep WR fliers like Shamari Dyke and Andre Iosivas behind Tee Higgins in Cincinnati. They even touch on speculative Giants options such as Isaiah Hodgins and a possible Darren Waller return. For defense streamers, they flag the Chargers, Falcons, and Jaguars.

Then they transition to Thanksgiving Triple-Header Best Bets, starting with Packers–Lions, analyzing Jordan Love’s shoulder, Josh Jacobs’ rushing volume, deep-shot props for Romeo Doubs and Christian Watson, and receiving overs for Jahmyr Gibbs and Brock Wright in Detroit.

Next is Chiefs–Cowboys, where they weigh Patrick Mahomes’ rushing and deep-ball props against Dallas, plus complementary bets for Dak Prescott, Xavier Worthy, Rashee Rice, Jake Ferguson, and Isaiah Pacheco.

They wrap with Bengals–Ravens, looking at Joe Burrow checkdowns to Chase Brown, a banged-up Lamar Jackson, heavy Derrick Henry usage, and touchdown shots for Mark Andrews and Isaiah Likely, noting how players like Breece Hall have gashed Baltimore through the air.

00:00:00 Intro
00:01:36 Waiver wire overview
00:01:58 Devin Neal Saints
00:04:22 John Higgins pickup
00:05:52 Brenton Strange TE
00:06:50 Shamari Dyke rookies
00:07:31 Hodgins deep leagues
00:10:06 Streaming defenses
00:11:36 Packers–Lions preview
00:12:14 Love Jacobs props
00:16:07 Brock Wright props
00:17:33 Jahmyr Gibbs receiving
00:20:07 Packers WR deep shots
00:22:31 Chiefs–Cowboys preview
00:25:00 Mahomes rushing props
00:28:07 Mahomes long completion
00:31:01 Xavier Worthy longest
00:32:52 George Pickens under
00:38:19 Bengals–Ravens preview
00:39:15 Chase Brown receiving
00:41:15 Lamar rushing under
00:42:37 Henry Andrews Likely
00:46:41 Ja'Marr Chase longest
00:49:39 Thanksgiving slate wrap

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On this episode of the Stephie Smalls Show, we break down everything you need to know heading into NFL Week 13—including the newest edition of Weekend Dads & Duds, early betting line reactions, ATS leans, and our favorite sharp angles for the week.

Betting analyst Colby Marchio joins to discuss the biggest standout performances from the weekend, including why Jameis Winston, Matthew Stafford, and several breakout stars made the “Dad” list — and why a few highly drafted players landed squarely in the “Duds” category. We also dig into major storylines around the Chicago Bears, Giants struggles, MVP odds movement, and the most chaotic moments from an unpredictable NFL slate.

Then Smalls and Colby break down early Week 13 odds, including sharp positions on the Chiefs, 49ers, Bears, Texans, and more. We dive into the numbers behind defensive DVOA mismatches, rushing props, backup quarterback trends, first-start betting rules, and which opening lines are most likely to move.

Producer Ryan jumps in during “Extra Holes” to talk rivalry week and college football chaos. He also makes a heartfelt public apology to Steph, and debuts a new segment that expands upon Weekend Dads & Duds.

If you’re looking for NFL Week 13 picks, betting predictions, early lines, DFS insights, ATS breakdowns, and the funniest unhinged football commentary on YouTube, this is the episode you want.

Hit LIKE, SUBSCRIBE, and drop your Week 13 picks in the comments!

0:00 – Intro
1:20 – Colby joins
1:43 – Bears meltdown
4:12 – Winston talk
5:00 – Weekend Dads
11:38 – Weekend Duds
14:08 – Taylor discussion
16:28 – Player debates
17:41 – Cowboys segment
18:30 – Eagles analysis
20:19 – Carter threat
21:49 – Wildcat ranking
22:47 – Week 13 lines
23:12 – Texans defense
24:20 – First-start rule
26:04 – Chiefs–Cowboys
27:12 – Bears second half
28:47 – Giants QB room
29:55 – Dolphins–Saints
30:55 – Giants worst
32:14 – Thanksgiving food
34:33 – Jets INT stat
36:44 – Extra Holes
37:16 – Backup QBs
38:13 – Territorial Cup
38:29 – Rivalry nerves

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In this Week 12 Player Prop Breakdown, Stephie Smalls is joined by analytics sharp Anand Nanduri for a deep dive into the most exploitable matchups on the board. The two kick things off with the Justin Jefferson debate, breaking down why the Vikings star should clear 5.5 receptions despite the shaky play of rookie QB J.J. McCarthy. From there, Anand targets Tee Higgins and his expanded role with Ja’Marr Chase sidelined, plus the Bengals’ ongoing crisis defending tight ends — setting up a smash spot for Hunter Henry.

Smalls fires off her own favorites, including Maxx Crosby to notch a sack against Cleveland, Kenneth Walker over 59.5 rush yards versus a beatable Titans front, and Jacoby Brissett sailing past 36.5 pass attempts as Arizona leans entirely on the air. The pair also hit Lions–Giants explosives, calling out Jahmyr Gibbs longest rush and Jameson Williams deep-shot potential.

They wrap with Steph’s signature Stephceptions picks — highlighted by Tyrone Tracy Jr. longest reception and a potential Ben Sinnott red-zone look.

Then it's time for EXTRA HOLES. Producer Ryan McKee joins to review last week’s 0–5 Circa Million disaster and map out a bounce-back card. The two debate sharp sides like Jets +13, Seahawks as big favorites, Colts vs. Chiefs, Bears–Steelers uncertainty with the Aaron Rodgers injury cloud, and whether fading the public still rules the season.

A full board breakdown, prop bets with real edges, and Circa strategy you can use immediately.

0:00 – Intro
0:42 – JJ McCarthy talk
2:18 – Justin Jefferson props
4:55 – Tee Higgins usage
7:10 – Bengals vs TEs
9:34 – Hunter Henry case
11:58 – Bengals linebackers bad
13:08 – Brissett pass attempts
15:27 – Make linebackers great
17:11 – Seahawks heavy personnel
19:58 – Under-center play action
21:31 – QB evaluation issues
23:10 – Titans run matchup
25:44 – Kenneth Walker yards
28:02 – Maxx Crosby sack
29:55 – Lions explosive plays
32:50 – Jameson Williams SGP
33:57 – Anand sign-off
34:40 – Extra Holes start
35:12 – Circa picks recap

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