Post Racing

Stopped in their prime by internet issues but lots to work with this weekend!


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Just as Ron and Sean were building up a head of steam Ron's internet cut out as Openreach chose totally the wrong moment to do work on the local junction box!
However, you've all of their flat races discussed and just as Ron was about to tell you THOMAS DARBY was his 20/80....
This is Ron's text, with Sean's selections added, for all races discussed today
PODCAST RACES
FRIDAY
NEWMARKET 2-30
13 Juveniles racing on autumn ground but this should be relatively easy to solve given recent trends….if they “stick”.
No benefit to be gained from looking at age or weight trends but two things can be worked with and they are market position, and what a horse did last time out.
Only two previous winners have been located outside the front four on the tissue and right now they would be:
DESERT DREAMER
BENEFIT
PENNINE HILLS
RED LACEWING
Six of the last 10 winners of this arrived having won, as did three of the last five and of that quartet I’d pluck BENEFIT, who arrives unbeaten after two runs, and RED LACEWING, as they are the only pair, in the front four on the tissue, having won last time out.
A dutch hopefully produces a profit but if I have to post up a 20/80, it’s BENEFIT. She is 1-1 on the ground….the only horse in here with winning form on it, and 2-2 at the trip
RON – BENEFIT 20/80
SEAN – DESERT DREAMER
SATURDAY
NEWMARKET 2-58
Yet another juvenile Listed event. I did mention last week that it’s that time of year and here, we have 14 going to post.
It’s also another were age and weight ranges are null and so I’ll just work as I did with the race tomorrow and look at market position and form coming into the race.
The last 11 winners could have been found in the front four in the market on seven of the 11 times this has been run but we did have a 20/1 Haggas debutante winning it in 2019.
Arriving having won last time out also seems to have the same importance as Friday’s race, five winners having that on their CV’s, including three of the last five.
Favourites also tend to run big races as they have won four and finished runner up on another four occasions.
Newmarket yards have had great success in recent years, four of those last five years being trained local.
I do not have a tissue right now but if I did, I’d be expecting to see WITH THE MOONLIGHT trading front four, she arrives having won her last two races, is Newmarket trained and at this point in time she is my selection.
RON - WITH THE MOONLIGHT
SEAN – WITH THE MOONLIGHT
NEWMARKET 3-33
The first race I have without a juvenile in sight and it’s down to five runners. Nearly £30k to the winner and trainers cannot be bothered supporting it. Bonkers.
I’ve no age group preference as we’ve seen four 3-y-o’s, four aged 5+ and two aged four winning this in the last decade. They all carry 9st or more so no trend there but if what has gone on in recent years holds up, the winner will be sat front two on the tissue and whilst this is an assumption, I imagine that pair will be BAY BRIDGE and MAJESTIC DAWN.
The interesting runner is MONTY, who comes over from France and is ultra-consistent, winning six and placing in five of his 17 careers starts to date.
I’m with BAY BRIDGE and would back him to finish his season unbeaten and give the younger horses their fifth win and third in succession, following on from LORD NORTH and FREYJA.
RON – BAY BRIDGE
SEAN – BAY BRIDGE
NEWMARKET 4-08
A HINT OF A CONUNDRUM.
Older horses, those aged five, six or seven have won six of the last 10 running’s, but horses aged three and four have won four of the last nine, including the last two.
Three year olds have an awful record so I’d be ruling out DANTE’S PASS, JADOOMI and STAR OF ORION and I’d rule out OH THIS IS US, SAFE VOYAGE and STORMY ANTARCTIC because they are over the hill as far as this race is concerned.
Eight of the last 10 winners were front two on the tissue and nine of them carri
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Post RacingBy Ron Robinson