Pro sports better and co-founder of Unabated Sports Rufus Peabody (@RufusPeabody) joins the SumerSports show to talk about using analytics to find an angle in an increasingly sharp NFL market.

1:40 Intro to Rufus
4:20 A discussion of Rufus' time working for Las Vegas Sports Consultants
6:40 The art and science of building sports betting models
11:20 A discussion of regressing to the market
12:55 A discussion of garbage time
16:40 The Massey-Peabody rankings
21:40 Removing noise - penalties
25:10 How to trust the process when the variance isn't going your way
28:40 Unabated
34:58 Listener questions

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Eric Eager and Thomas Dimitroff discuss the preseason, the Eric Bieniemy situation, the Johnny Football documentary, and the 2023 Houston Texans.

4:45 New SumerSports website!
8:50 Preseason week 1 discussion from a GM's perspective
14:23 Eric Bienemy's tough coaching
23:50 Johnny Football documentary
39:40 Eric is positive about the Texans. Thomas responds.

This podcast is proudly brought to you by Circa Sports. Play the Circa Million Pro Football Contest with six million in total prizes, quarterly payouts and one hundred percent payback. Top prize is one million guaranteed. Visit circasports.com for more details.

Eric Eager reviews the NFL week that was, and provides his team tiers for the coming season. He also picks his seeding for the NFC and the AFC.

NFC: https://twitter.com/ericeager_/status/1688316953432084480?s=20

AFC: https://twitter.com/ericeager_/status/1688318867540512769?s=20

He finishes with an NFL immaculate grid: https://www.immaculategrid.com/football

2:20 Announcements
5:35 Takeaways from HOUvsNE
7:30 Bets for the night
9:30 Review of MINvsSEA
11:49 NFC tiers
18:20 Eric's predictions: 1) DET 2) DAL 3) SEA 4) CAR 5) PHI 6) SF 7) GB
19:15 Eric fields a question about parity
24:24 AFC tiers
31:34 Eric's predictions: 1) BUF 2) CIN 3) KC 4) JAX 5) BAL 6) NYJ 7) DEN
36:30 Immaculate grid

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Eric Eager and Shawn Syed discuss run pass options (RPOs), how they are an example of Simpson's paradox, and why they are difficult to track.

NFL Analyst and Creator of DVOA Aaron Schatz joins the SumerSports Show to talk about how he uses advanced analytics to understand football better and preview some teams for the upcoming 2023 season.

1:39 intro to Aaron Schatz
3:30 where did Aaron get his start in football?
6:15 DVOA and DYAR and a discussion of efficiency
19:40 Using DVOA as a tool to assess the quality of a team over the course of a season
27:10 2023 NFL Predictions
27:25 Kansas City Chiefs Preview
29:12 Baltimore Ravens Preview
33:50 San Francisco 49ers Preview
35:15 Minnesota Vikings Preview
40:30 One team that will surprise
41:00 What languages is Aaron programming in?
42:00 Top books to read in football analytics?

This podcast is proudly brought to you by Circa Sports. Play the Circa Million Pro Football Contest with six million in total prizes, quarterly payouts and one hundred percent payback. Top prize is one million guaranteed. Visit circasports.com for more details.

Eric Eager and Thomas Dimitroff talk about the week's news, including the Yannick Ngakuoe and Justin Houston signings, and Chris Jones and Josh Jacobs holding out. They then finish the podcast talking about player evaluation.

2:40 What's going through Thomas' head this time of camp?
3:29 The Yannick Ngakoue signing and analysis
8:00 Justin Houston signs with Carolina
13:12 How did Thomas deal with players who held out?
20:00 A discussion of transitivity
26:19 A transition to player development

This podcast is proudly brought to you by Circa Sports. Play the Circa Million Pro Football Contest with six million in total prizes, quarterly payouts and one hundred percent payback. Top prize is one million guaranteed. Visit circasports.com for more details.

Eric Eager discusses Thursday's Hall of Fame Game, Yannick Ngakoue to the Bears, Cam Jordan signs a new deal with the Saints, Alvin Kamara suspended three games.

Eric then tries to take down the day's Immaculate Grid as really only he can.

1:07 Recap of Hall of Fame Game
6:36 Bears sign Ngakoue and Lewis
10:19 Cam Jordan signs a new deal w/ Saints
12:27 Discussion of salary cap prorations
19:11 Charles Omenihu suspended, Chris Jones update
22:22 Immaculate Grid 8/4/2023

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Parker Fleming interviews former NFL offensive linemen and current Fox sports football analyst Geoff Schwartz.

1:50 intro to Geoff Schwartz
3:12 Geoff talks about the transition from player to analyst
5:35 How playing for multiple teams helped Geoff analyze football better
10:28 Where do Geoff's eyes go when he's watching a game?
11:44 How has the emergence of athletic freaks changed offensive line play?
15:32 A discussion of weak-link systems along the offensive line
17:19 The analytics and film of offensive line play
23:50 Additional ways in which analytics can help offensive line play
29:15 The difference in development cycles between college and pro
33:00 What's the hardest skill to teach offensive linemen?
34:15 What makes it possible for older offensive linemen to succeed in the NFL?
35:39 A discussion of the Oregon Ducks This podcast is proudly brought to you by Circa Sports.

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Eric Eager and Thomas Dimitroff discuss the league's news, before getting into the general manager's perspective on player development.

3:47 Trey Lance situation in SF
14:47 Jim Irsay/Jonathan Taylor situation in IND
19:10 Joe Burrow injury in CIN
24:47 Jalen Ramsey injury in MIA
30:40 a GM's perspective on player development

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Happy Friday from us at SumerSports.

Here, we rebroadcast an episode by Tej Seth, who is joined by former Atlanta Falcons Director of Football Data & Analytics. John talks about his time in Atlanta working for SumerSports CEO and co-host of this show, Thomas Dimitroff and the trends he's seeing around the league. John is currently the Director of Football Strategy and TruMedia.

This podcast is proudly brought to you by Circa Sports. Play the Circa Million Pro Football Contest with six million in total prizes, quarterly payouts and one hundred percent payback. Top prize is one million guaranteed. Visit circasports.com for more details.