SumerSports Show

Scott Nestler, Director of Research and Development at SumerSports, joins the podcast to discuss his recent research into the science behind decision-making in the NFL.

2:26 intro to Scott Nestler

5:36 a discussion of the book Mathletics

12:14 an introduction of Scott's articles on decision theory

16:02 decision trees and backward induction

18:42 other applications of the expected value framework outside of football

22:20 a discussion of Scott's second article: alternate strategies to problem solving

26:30 maximin on the defensive side of the ball

28:50 a preview of Scott's upcoming article in the series

Link to Scott's book: https://www.amazon.com/Mathletics-Gamblers-Managers-Mathematics-Sports/dp/0691177627/ref=asc_df_0691177627?tag=bingshoppinga-20&linkCode=df0&hvadid=79920866473546&hvnetw=o&hvqmt=e&hvbmt=be&hvdev=c&hvlocint=&hvlocphy=&hvtargid=pla-4583520396341920&psc=1


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Shawn Syed (Director of Comms at SumerSports) joins the show to talk about a recent article of his breaking down the San Francisco 49ers.

1:27 Intro to Shawn Syed and his article on sumersports.com (sumersports.com/shanahan-schemes)

3:28 How does Shawn know so much about the Shanahan offense?

4:45 McVay offenses versus Shanahan offenses

7:30 Setting up play action

13:40 deception in general

17:37 A discussion of San Francisco's personnel

22:56 How wide receivers in the backfield change the math

26:24 The quarterback question for the 49ers

33:36 How are Shanahan's ideas spreading across the league?

41:39 A discussion of how the Chargers and Saints slowed down San Francisco last year

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Happy Independence Day from us at SumerSports.

Here, we rebroadcast an episode by Parker Fleming and Adam Vonder Haar, titled "How Do NFL Teams Run Their Analytics Departments?". Vonder Haar, formerly of the Dallas Cowboys, talks about his experience working for NFL teams and how analytics plays a part of the day to day workings of an NFL team.

This podcast is proudly brought to you by Circa Sports. Play the Circa Million Pro Football Contest with six million in total prizes, quarterly payouts and one hundred percent payback. Top prize is one million guaranteed. Visit circasports.com for more details.

This podcast is also brought to you by Manscaped. Used the promo code SUMER for 20% off at manscaped.com.

Eric Eager discusses the league's latest gambling issues, previews the AFC South, and takes listener questions.

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Prolific author, analyst, and coach Cody Alexander joins the SumerSports Show to discuss his recent work in the Big Data Bowl, talk about how coaches can use analytics on and off the field, and preview some of the 2023 NFL Season.

2:40 - The guys introduce Cody and talk about his background
5:49 - Cody's Big Data Bowl experience is discussed
8:06 - How can a team marry player acquisition and scheme?
12:40 - Talking about average depth of target's evolution in the NFL
17:15 - How many concepts from the college game are trickling up to the NFL game?
25:23 - How can an average person watch football and understand coverage labels?
29:11 - How are teams using simulated pressures to try to stop the Bengals?
37:10 - Sean Desai discussion
40:38 - Under-the-radar defenses


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Eric Eager and Thomas Dimitroff discuss the Dalvin Cook and DeAndre Hopkins situations. They move onto running back and quarterback metrics and how a general manager should use them.

4:38 The guys talk about Dalvin Cook and DeAndre Hopkins situation
30:36 The guys talk running back metrics
41:50 The guys talk quarterback metrics

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Eric Eager and Tej Seth discuss the week that was in the NFL, including a discussion about the Bills extensions, the NFL's gambling policy, more talk on running back value and contracts, and Trey Lance's situation in San Francisco.

1:24 A review of the Bills situation post McDermott/Beane contract extension
19:34 A discussion of Trey Lance's situation in San Francisco
33:40 Should people buy the Broncos this year?
39:05 A discussion of the recent gambling suspensions across the league
47:05 More takes on running back contracts and how to get them paid more

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Professor Cade Massey joins the show for a conversation about his research in the fields of sports analytics and uncertainty, and the intersection of the two.


1:36 Cade's background and how he got into sports analytics, including the research that went into his paper with Nobel Prize-winner Richard Thaler on the NFL Draft: https://www.jstor.org/stable/23443865

5:06 Discussing Cade's papers on the NFL Draft. Are some teams better at picking players than others, adjusting for draft position?

10:29 Draft curve creation discussion. How was working with Thaler?

12:30 How does Cade's traditional research line up with sports analytics?

16:23 Discussion of the Massey-Peabody rankings

27:01 Loser's Curse/surplus value in the NFL Draft discussion

32:14 Optimizing NFL rosters

34:45 Algorithm aversion

38:20 What can you draw from analytics in other sports?

40:45 Listener questions


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Eric Eager is joined by Thomas Dimitroff to talk about the current state of the NFL offseason. What does a GM do during the June and July months? How much is still left to figure out regarding each team's 53?

0:54 Eric welcomes Thomas back to the show, they start discussing this time in the NFL offseason

17:30 How much of the current team is decided at this time?

34:39 What do teams do in crisis situations this time of year? What if a quarterback goes down? What kind of support does one have from ownership?

49.16 A discussion of the future of SumerSports.

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Eric Eager talks about the news of the week as only he can, while taking questions from the listeners and previewing this week's USFL on top of it all.

Timestamps:
2:05: Running back metrics discussion

7:41 Highlights from the week at sumersports.com

8:41 Running back value and how the draft and league structure need to change for them to get paid more

27:07 Discussion of linebacker movement using tracking data

32:32 George Kittle's comments on Kyle Shanahan's approach to early downs

39:32 Preview of week 10 of the USFL

42:04 Questions from the listeners

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