For those hard of hearing please find below the text of my side of this weeks racing chatter, with Sean's selections added for those races discussed.
PODCAST TEXT 06/01/22
FRIDAY
WETHERBY 12-50
No previous running’s of this race, no odds to utilise from a trends point of view, three of the eight horses making racecourse debut, one of which has been introduced as a potential tissue favourite, JARAMILLO @ 6/4 and I feel very much like the blind leading the blind into this one.
The favourite was purchased for 100,000Gns out of Roger Varian’s yard and arrives with a flat rating of 85, which is decent enough and his best flat form figures came over 10 furlongs so he should get two miles over hurdles.
He will not need to be anything Istabraq-like to win this but his worst performances over hurdles came on ground with ease in it, his win was on good to firm.
I’d rather go with KAYFAST WARRIOR if I were betting. A course and distance winner, on soft, which it will be tomorrow and he was only rated 3lb inferior to JARAMILLO on the flat.
Do you want 6/4 with a question mark, or 11/4 with a thumbs up?
I’ll put up KAYFAST WARRIOR
RON – KAYFAST WARRIOR
SEAN – KAYFAST WARRIOR
WOLVERHAMPTON 5-30PM
This caused much mirth in my office when I saw what Sean had suggested! A Class 6 all weather race, that has never been run before.
What I noticed about these races in midweek, when I was covering all weather racing market movers, was the number of gambles taking place in the 30 minutes before the off time of each race. Some went in, some just failed, and some ran like Class 6 horses, that had not been told they were “off”.
I have nothing other than a gut feeling here.
I’m a big fan of Adam West and he does great with what he has in his yard. Here he saddles GLEN ROSA, who looks to me like a horse they have been plotting up. Since having wind surgery, they have campaigned the horse primarily in Class 6 over trip of up to a mile, no shorter than six furlongs, until last time out when they put him over five furlongs and he ran his best race to date, over course and distance, beaten just half a length @ 14/1
That was his first run in cheekpieces, which are retained tomorrow.
I’m going to put him up as a 20/80 with no confidence in him running two races like that back to back.
RON – GLEN ROSA 20/80
SEAN – CATCHING RYAN
SATURDAY
SANDOWN 12-05
Five currently set to go to post but it could be four if RAQISA Wetherby 12-50pm tomorrow.
Only two winners of this have managed to do so carrying more than 10st 12lb and so if that stat holds firm it’s between FAMILY TIME, MOULINS CLERMONT and MALAKHANA.
I’d rule out RAQISA even if it turns up because I cannot find a debutante that has won this in the last five years.
The last three running’s of this have gone to long odds on favourites and if you sit outside the front three on the tissue, stay at home because nine of the last 10 winners were on the podium.
I’m feeling an urge to go with MOULINS CLERMONT, a beaten favourite running for Gary Moore, whose yard is still running a cracking good 59% RTF%age figure and, he took this last year for the second time in the last nine years. He has actually run seven in this, won with two, placed with one.
This horse was a beaten favourite on debut and as he has been pulled out twice since because of the ground, which was similar to that he got thumped on first time up for Gary Moore, I’m assuming they have waited for the rain, a bit of soft ground, and they have it. His only run in France came on heavy and he was only beaten just over three lengths so let’s put him up another sporting punt….the market will tell us much more on the day.
RON – MOULINS CLERMONT
SEAN – FAMILY TIME
SANDOWN 12-40
Just five again heading down the start as I speak and I’d love a tissue to work with as I’d only be interested in the two at the head of the market. They have won eight of the last nine runni