According to a 1970’s Steely Dan classic song, the gentleman in the song laments about the depth of his sadness. Feeling like a long-time loser, he uses a sports analogy. “They call Alabama the Crimson Tide, call me Deacon Blues”.
Sadly, Wake Forest University was extremely bad at college football for nearly two decades. From 1960-1978, Wake Forest had just two winning seasons. While Alabama was successful at winning in football during that time, the Demon Deacons were just as proficient at losing.
That song reminds me of how it must feel today to compete in one of college football’s mid-major conferences.
There are five football conferences called mid-majors or, more recently, the “Group of Five”. They are the American Athletic Conference, Conference USA, Mid-American, Mountain West, and Sunbelt.
In 2022, the “Group of Five” had 60 football-playing colleges. They compete in the same top division (called the FBS) as the SEC, Big Ten, ACC, Big 12, and Pac 12. Those conferences are referred to as the “Power Five” for obvious reasons.
Within the current ten conference FBS grouping, the “Power Five” has dominated match-ups with the “Group of Five” much like the Harlem Globetrotters playing against the Washington Generals in basketball. The Generals might win a few games, but it rarely happens.
The mid-major “Group of Five” teams have virtually no chance to win a national championship in the top football division. The FBS champion has been a member of one of the “Power Five” football conferences in every season since the modern day playoffs began in 1989.
Only one team (13-0 Cincinnati of the AAC – ranked #4 in 2021) has been invited to participate in the College Football Playoffs since 1989.
There have now been 86 teams (1989-2022) which have competed in a college football playoff game. Cincinnati’s 2021 team represents a 1.2% (1 of 86) representation rate from the Group of Five mid-major schools in the FBS playoffs.
This System does not work for the Mid-Major Conferences. Why Should they Remain?
The SEC, Big Ten, Big 12, ACC, and the Pac-12 Conferences have the largest television contracts and the largest football stadiums in the country. They have significantly more financial resources available than the mid-major conference teams.
With college football teams now playing a 12-game regular season schedule, many teams have up to four games to fill. The “Power Five” teams will write large checks to smaller football programs (such as the “Group of Five” schools) to play a game at their larger home stadium. Home games for most “Power Five” programs generate several million dollars in revenue.
The visiting “Group of Five” football teams will pocket $1 million or more for making the visit in an early season tune-up game or as the designated homecoming victim.
There is a good reason why “Group of Five” teams do this. Money.
In nearly all cases, a “Group of Five” team will earn significantly more money by going on the road for one of these games than earned by playing a home game with lower net revenue.
The smaller schools utilize the profits earned from these “jackpot” road games to fund the other athletic programs at the university. Most other college sports programs (including basketball or baseball) will operate at a loss.
Most mid-major conference schools know that the odds are quite low that they will have an unbeaten season. That’s about the only way they have a chance to get into the FBS playoffs.
Once a “Group of Five” team loses one or more non-conference road games, they are effectively eliminated from consideration from the lucrative College Football Playoffs.
If that’s not depressing enough, consider this recent change which negatively affects these teams.
The addition of the NCAA’s new transfer portal and legalized payments being made under the ...