Imagine going to school and receiving a weekly report card about your work during that week.
Micromanaging each student’s weekly effort at school seems like a big waste of time for the teacher, student, and parents. It would likely have almost zero meaning by the end of the school term.
Welcome to the early season college football polls! This is where well-intended subjective decisions are made to tell American fans who the top 25 football teams should be.
Every week, the Associated Press and the American Football Coaches Association (AFCA) poll their voters to determine their respective top 25 teams.
The Associated Press has about 60 sportswriters and media representatives participating in its weekly college football poll. We hope that anyone selected for one of those coveted spots will do their homework and provide a relatively unbiased guess as to the top college football teams.
The AFCA poll consists of 67 current college football coaches.
Can you imagine how much time those emotionally and physically spent football coaches will take on a Sunday morning to do this? I wouldn’t want to get up early, read how well other college football teams had been doing, and then go cast a vote on the Top 25 by midday Sunday, would you?
Both of these two primary polls advise their members to assign the #1 team with 25 points and then continue downward until the #25 team receives just one point. The votes are then tabulated, and the polls are released on Sunday afternoons during in the college football season.
How much do we REALLY know after the games played during Week #3?
Some teams have already played one or more games against vastly over-matched opponents (who simply want to receive a big paycheck and hope that no players were injured in the game). Perhaps a few of those groggy coaches or media members might be impressed by some of last weekend’s blowout wins.
Let’s take a look at the AP Pre-season Top 25 rankings and see how those teams were ranked after Week #3:
Texas – Now #8 (2-1)Penn State – Now #2 (3-0)Ohio State – Now #1 (3-0)Clemson – Now Unranked (1-2)Georgia – Now #5 (3-0)Notre Dame – Now #24 (0-2)Oregon – Now #6 (3-0)Alabama – Now #8 (2-1) LSU – Now #3 (3-0)Miami (FL) – Now #4 (3-0)Arizona State – Now Unranked (2-1)Illinois – Now #9 (3-0)South Carolina – Now Unranked (2-1)Michigan – Now #21 (2-1)Florida – Now Unranked (1-2)SMU – Now Unranked (2-1)Kansas State – Now Unranked (1-2)Oklahoma – Now #11 (3-0) Texas A&M – Now #10 (3-0)Indiana – Now #19 (3-0) Ole Miss – Now #13 (3-0)Iowa State – Now #12 (4-0) Texas Tech – Now #17 (3-0)Tennessee – Now #15 (2-1)Boise State – Now Unranked (1-1)Seven college football teams (Clemson, Arizona State, South Carolina, Florida, SMU, Kansas State and Boise State) have already been bounced out of the AP Top 25. Some may return prior the College Football Playoffs and a few currently-ranked teams may drop out by season’s end.
Why bother ranking the major college football teams until they have have played two or more major opponents?
The LSU Tigers are ranked #3 this week primarily because of two wins (at Clemson and Florida) over teams considered to be worthy competition.
LSU’s opponent this Saturday finds the Tigers hissing at the Lions of FCS member Southeastern Louisiana. This weekend’s cat fight in Baton Rouge kicks-off at 6:45PM CDT on the SEC Network.
You can’t blame LSU for scheduling a few cupcakes. This is what happens when college football teams are now playing 12 regular season games.
Notre Dame (0-2) appeared to have been rewarded this week with a #24 ranking this week after playing their first two games against power schools Miami (FL) and Texas A&M. The next ten games for the Fighting Irish will feature only one team (#25 USC) ranked in this week’s AP Top 25.
Notre Dame fans will claim their worthiness to be in the 12-team College Football Playoffs if the Irish should vanquish their next ten opponents – regardless of how weak those teams actually are.
The majority of this week’s AP Top 25 teams have played just one quality opponent through the first three outings of the season.
Does Artificial Intelligence know the best teams at this point of the season?
I took the question to one of the so-called geniuses of artificial intelligence today. X.com’s “Grok” gave me his list of this week’s Top 25 teams. They are remarkably similar to the AP and Coaches’ polls.
However, “Grok” ranked South Carolina at #17 and Vanderbilt at #24.
I asked, “But Vanderbilt completely destroyed South Carolina 31-7 last Saturday night in Columbia, South Carolina! How can you place 3-0 Vandy below 2-1 South Carolina after last week’s game”?
The AI provided a rambling answer about the strength of schedules and other statistical mumbo-jumbo instead of admitting, “You may have a good point there, SwampSwami!”
AI is not ready to take my place (at least, not yet).
Watch for the return of the SwampSwamiSports.com Top 25 rankings coming by no later than Monday, October 6!
There simply isn’t enough statistical evidence to determine the best teams in America until college football units have played at least five games on their schedule.
Winners and Losers from College Football’s Week #3
Miami Hurricanes – Despite Ohio State’s #1 ranking based on last year’s finish, the 3-0 Miami Hurricanes have dispatched two very good teams (Notre Dame and South Florida) in their first three games. Miami remains at home for the fourth consecutive game to play the wounded Florida Gators (1-2) Saturday at 6:30PM CDT on ABC.
Vanderbilt Commodores – Quarterback Diego Pavia put on another clinic in Vandy’s 31-7 shellacking at formerly unbeaten South Carolina last Saturday.
The 3-0 Commodores will host two consecutive mid-majors (Georgia State and Utah State) before heading to Tuscaloosa on October 4 for a rematch with Alabama.
LSU’s defense – It took every one of those five interceptions against Florida’s D.J. Lagway in Tiger Stadium to preserve a close win for the offensively-challenged LSU Tigers. Coach Brian Kelly has declared that he wants the LSU defense to lead the way this season. Perhaps moving a few LSU’s talented defenders to the offensive side of the ball might be a good idea.
Georgia Tech – They’re not flashy, but the Ramblin’ Wreck deserved Saturday’s win against a fading Clemson team.
Somehow, 3-0 Georgia Tech does not have to play Miami, Florida State, and SMU on its ACC schedule this year. Could the Yellow Jackets surprise everyone and win the league?
Louisiana Tech – The 2-1 Bulldogs are on a mission to win Conference USA this season before moving into the Sunbelt Conference next fall (hopefully).
A 49-14 win over C-USA foe New Mexico State on Saturday was a good start for the Bulldogs.
South Carolina – The Gamecocks had a chance to increase their lofty national ranking with a home win over Vandy last Saturday. Carolina (now 2-1) must regroup quickly in a very balanced SEC this year.
Tennessee – The Heartbreak Kids of college football lost another big game to Georgia – at home. Vols coach Josh Heupel must rally his troops with a goal of running the table in the SEC and getting into the College Football Playoffs again.
Iowa State – The only 4-0 team in major college football struggled for most of Saturday’s 24-16 win at 1-2 Arkansas State of the Sunbelt Conference.
Three of the Cyclones’ wins have come by less eight points or less. A win is a win, but Iowa State must improve with a tough Big 12 schedule ahead.
Arch Manning/Texas – We now see why Quinn Ewers was the Texas starting quarterback during Arch Manning’s first two seasons in Austin. Manning’s passing and leadership skills look questionable as he moves into year #3 in Texas. The 2-1 Horns may need to bench their quarterback soon, as Arch Manning’s confidence is shaky at best.
Billy Napier – Florida (1-2) played hard at LSU on Saturday night. The coach didn’t throw five interceptions in the Gators’ 20-10 loss. Florida quarterback D.J. Lagway (like Arch Manning) may be another over-hyped high school QB who has become rich on NIL endorsement money.
The Gators must rally to win at #4 Miami this Saturday to have any chance of saving Coach Billy Napier’s job.
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