Professor Seena Fazel, University of Oxford gives a talk on recent advances in prognostic modelling in psychiatry. Professor Seena Fazel, a Professor of Forensic Psychiatry at the University of Oxford gives a talk gives a talk on recent advances in prognostic modelling in psychiatry. A number that examine risk for adverse outcomes, such as self-harm suicide, and violent crime, have been developed in Oxford (OxRisk tools), and further research on their feasibility, useability and impact will be outlined. Methodological challenges in their development and validation will be discussed, and how impact can be tested.