The Basewinner Podcast

Week 2 Podcast Plays:

• Chicago +7
• LA Chargers ML -185

More info: https://cleardatasports.com/

On this edition of the Basewinner Crunch, the Basewinner summarizes a whole slew of numbers and projections and reviews the BW record.

BW goes into rest of season MLB team projections and then looks at the Arizona D'Backs future ride into the post-season.

He takes exception to baseball hipster theory on the D'Backs catching the Dodgers and explains the math behind this.

Basewinner reviews the D'Backs MLB post-season probability tree so you can see what the true percentages are for each of this team to have any significance in October.

Also, a nice look at each team's remaining strength of schedule and overall team strength by the BW numbers.

We serve up tomorrows plays overnight so you can look and bet the nickel lines and listen on your drive to work

Week 1 Podcast Plays:

• Jax/Hou UNDER 40
• SEA/GB UNDER 51
• Seattle +3

More info: https://cleardatasports.com/

We take the philosophy that the most important people on the football field are OL, DL, and secondary. And the reason why I LOVE football as a betting opportunity is that these positions are almost never talked about because of fantasy football. QB, RB, WR get all the attention, but I truly believe this type of fantasy production is simply a by-product of these core positions. How well can you block, how stiff is the opposing DL, and how well can they cover.   In other words, if you can block well on offense, all the other stuff is easy.   This works out great from a betting perspective. Most people are making picks based on what they know about each team's fantasy positions. But how many people really know how the Bears OL and DL rates? Can anyone name 3 players on the Dline? And how they rate compared to the average Dlineman in the NFL? Of course not, but these hidden players are really who are deciding outcomes in the NFL.   Blocking & Tackling. Fundamentals of football. But fantasy has warped our perception of what is important in the game.  

4* Chc over 5.5 3* Jax over 6.5 3* LAC over 7.5

3* NYG under 8.5 2* Mia under 7.5 2* TB under 8.5

On this edition of the Basewinner Crunch, the Basewinner goes into rest of season MLB team projections and playoff odds. 

Basewinner reviews the Orioles and Rockies MLB post-season probability tree so you can see what the true percentages are for each of these teams to have any significance in October.

Also, a deep track look at the Reds and overall Basewinner Season Win Total performance & a review of Wednesday's Brewers v. Reds play including a free official play.

We serve up tomorrows plays overnight so you can look and bet the nickel lines and listen on your drive to work

On this edition of the Basewinner Crunch, the Basewinner reviews the YTD, monthly and previous week's results, gives you a couple of plays for the post-season and goes into depth into the Cleveland Indians post season odds. 

Basewinner goes over the MLB post-season probability tree so you can see what needs to be done to accurately price the post-season.

A sneak peak at all 5 games of the BOS v CLE probable playoff match and all 4 probable NLDS series odds if they were to play today.

Also NFL Crunch is quickly previewed and rest-of-season team projections are touched on a bit. 

We serve up tomorrows plays overnight so you can look and bet the nickel lines and listen on your drive to work

On this edition of the Basewinner Crunch, the Basewinner reviews the YTD, monthly and previous week's results and looks at Tuesday's betting card to uncover value.

There is one play on the podcast that the BW goes deep into.

A bonus play thrown in at the end because Basewinner could not resist throwing out a Brand Hand stat and alluding to Fast Times at Ridgemont High.

The plays are in the Milwaukee Brewers v. San Francisco Giants and San Diego Padres v St. Louis Cardinals games game.

BW uses the log cutter to look at Jimmy Nelson’s and Jeff Samardzija’s pitching stats and projections.

Also a look at current BW Bullpen and closer ratings.

We serve up tomorrows plays overnight so you can look and bet the nickel lines and listen on your drive to work

www.ClearDataSports.com

One of the most common questions we get at Clear Data Sports is:  "How can I build a sports betting model using analytics?"  It's a great question, and there is not currently much helpful information available on this type of sports handicapping topic. Over 3 episodes, we will attempt to tackle this question.  Video 1: Intro to correlation analysis - Finding meaning in the noise. You can watch it here: https://cleardatasports.com/build-sports-betting-model/ Video 2: "Behind-the-Scenes" peek into the BaseWinner MLB Baseball betting model - Including how to create your own projected lines. You can watch it here: https://cleardatasports.com/build-sports-betting-model/ Video 3 (THIS VIDEO!): The Future of Data Science - Join us as we study Python and R, building Football & Basketball models (together as a community)

 

On this edition of the Basewinner Crunch, the Basewinner reviews the YTD, monthly and previous week's results and looks at Tuesday's betting card to uncover value.

There is one play on the podcast that the BW goes deep into.

The play is in the Tampa Bay Rays v. Toronto Blue Jays game and BW uses the log cutter to look at Blake Snell’s and Marco Estrada's pitching stats and projections.

Also a look at current BW Bullpen ratings.

We serve up tomorrows plays overnight so you can look and bet the nickel lines and listen on your drive to work

www.ClearDataSports.com

One of the most common questions we get at Clear Data Sports is:  "How can I build a sports betting model using analytics?"  It's a great question, and there is not currently much helpful information available on this type of sports handicapping topic. Over 3 episodes, we will attempt to tackle this question.  Video 1 (Available Now): Intro to correlation analysis - Finding meaning in the noise. You can watch it here: https://cleardatasports.com/build-sports-betting-model/ Video 2 (THIS VIDEO!): "Behind-the-Scenes" peek into the BaseWinner MLB Baseball betting model - Including how to create your own projected lines Video 3 (Friday, August 18): The Future of Data Science - Join us as we study Python and R, building Football & Basketball models (together as a community)

You can find more information here: https://cleardatasports.com/