Episode 12: Rental Income Reality — What to Actually Expect in Belize
Everyone wants to know: "How much can I make renting my Belize property?" Today we're getting real about the numbers. This is where fantasy meets spreadsheet.
In This Episode:
- What drives rental income (4 key factors)
- A realistic example with real numbers
- Short-term vs. long-term rentals
- Common income projection mistakes
- Myth of the Week: "I'll make 15-20% returns on vacation rentals in Belize"
The Reality Check:
15-20% net returns are possible—but rare, and usually mean you're running a serious hospitality business, not passively collecting rent. For most investors, 3-8% net is realistic. Some hit higher, many hit lower.
The Total Return Picture:
(Not accounting advice—check with your accountant)
Consider your 5% cash-on-cash return PLUS:
• Market appreciation
• Tax deductions for property visits (U.S. citizens)
• Alternative depreciation options
• Value of personal use (no rental costs when visiting)
When you add it all up, the total return can be very attractive.
4 Factors That Drive Rental Income:
1. Location
Ambergris Caye and Placencia command higher nightly rates. Hopkins is growing. Inland/secondary areas have lower rates and different demand profiles.
2. Property Type
Beachfront or ocean-view condos outperform. Pool access matters. Newer builds with good amenities attract bookings. Larger properties with en suites, pool, game room, and media room attract massive income.
3. Seasonality
• Peak: Thanksgiving, Christmas/New Year, Easter, Lobsterfest, July 4th, Belize Independence
• High Season: December 1 – April 30 (plus May-June for summer breaks)
• Low Season: July – November (can be very slow)
You can't assume peak season rates year-round.
4. Management & Marketing
Professional photos, good listings, 5-star reviews, responsive management—these make a measurable difference.
Realistic Example: 2BR Placencia Condo ($300K)
Gross Rental Potential:
• Peak: $150-$200/night
• High season: $100-$130/night
• Low season: $80-$100/night
• Realistic occupancy: 45-55% annually
Gross Income: $25,000-$35,000/year
Expenses:
• Management (25%): $7,500
• HOA ($500/mo): $6,000
• Insurance, taxes, utilities: $3,000
• Maintenance reserve: $4,000
• Platform fees: $2,000
Net Income: $2,500-$12,500/year
Net Return: 1-4% on $300K
Sobering for people expecting 15%—but if you're using the property 4-6 weeks/year AND it appreciates 3-5% annually, the total return picture changes. Just don't buy based on fantasy projections.
Short-Term vs. Long-Term Rentals:
Short-term: Flexibility for personal use, potentially higher gross—but more management headaches and seasonality.
Long-term: Steady, predictable income with less hassle—but lower gross and no personal use.
Hybrid: Long-term tenant in low season, vacation rental in peak season.
Common Income Projection Mistakes:
• Using only peak season rates
• Assuming 50-65%+ occupancy in year one
• Ignoring some or all expenses
• Not factoring vacancy between guests
• Comparing to U.S. markets that behave differently
Bottom Line:
Why are you buying? Lifestyle hedge to offset costs, or strictly numbers and appreciation? Run your numbers conservatively. If it still makes sense at 40% occupancy with realistic expenses, you've got something. If it only works in a perfect-world scenario, keep looking.
Connect:
📧 [email protected] (put "SPREADSHEET" in subject line for David's short-term rental spreadsheet)
🏠 RE/MAX 1st Choice Belize]]>