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Gold has dropped nearly two percent in the last five days, settling around $4,057 an ounce, while the ten-year breakeven inflation rate ticked up to 2.26 percent. Lucas and Luna unpack the specific mechanism driving gold lower right now: rising real yields. They walk through how the Federal Reserve's latest signaling — and this morning's CPI print showing June inflation easing to 332.6 — reshapes the calculus for the metal that's supposed to be the ultimate hedge. They also touch on the geopolitical irony: even a U.S. strike on Iran over the Strait of Hormuz barely budged gold. For listeners who want one clean framework to understand why gold moves the way it does, this episode delivers it.
#Gold #RealYields #FederalReserve #Inflation #CPI #USStrikeIran #Commodities #PreciousMetals #InterestRates #TenYearTreasury #BreakevenInflation #Hormuz #Geopolitics #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #TheCommoditiesEconomy #InvestmentStrategy
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Episode 110 of The Commodities Economy dives into the unexpected link between skyrocketing corn prices and a surge in fertilizer costs. With July 2026 corn futures up over 7% in a week, we explore how higher corn acres are driving demand for nitrogen-based fertilizers, which in turn are boosting natural gas prices (a key input) and squeezing margins for other crops. Lucas and Luna break down the mechanics using real data, including corn at $4.59 per bushel, natural gas at $2.88 per MMBtu, and the latest CPI print. They also discuss the geopolitical backdrop, including tensions in the Strait of Hormuz that are adding risk premia to energy markets. If you've ever wondered why your grocery bill seems disconnected from farm prices, this episode offers a clear, data-driven explanation of the commodity loop.
#Corn #Fertilizer #NaturalGas #Ethanol #Commodities #Agriculture #SupplyChain #Inflation #CPI #Geopolitics #StraitOfHormuz #Economics #Business #RuralEconomy #Farming #EnergyCrops #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast
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On July 13, 2026, Brent crude surged past $82 while WTI held near $77, widening the Brent-WTI spread to over $5 for the first time in months. The catalyst? Former President Trump's proposal for a 20% toll on cargo through the Strait of Hormuz, paired with renewed threats to block Iranian shipments. Lucas and Luna break down how this geopolitical maneuver is reshaping global oil pricing, why Brent is commanding a growing premium over WTI, and what it means for the energy trade going forward. They unpack the mechanics of the Brent-WTI spread, the role of Gulf production costs versus Middle East disruptions, and how the market is pricing in the risk of a sustained choke point. Plus, they explore how this single policy idea is rippling through natural gas and energy equities, with XLE up 3.9% and XOP climbing 5%. If you've ever wondered why two barrels of oil can trade so differently, this episode gives you the framework.
#StraitOfHormuz #BrentCrude #WTICrude #BrentWTI #OilSpreads #GeopoliticalRisk #Trump #IranSanctions #EnergyMarkets #OilTrading #Commodities #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #July2026 #EnergyStocks #NaturalGas #OilPrice
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As US-Iran airstrikes escalate and the Strait of Hormuz standoff intensifies, Brent crude has surged past $78 while WTI lags near $74, widening the spread to nearly $5. In this episode, Lucas and Luna break down why the Brent-WTI spread is the market's clearest signal of geopolitical risk, how the spread behaves differently from past Gulf crises, and what energy traders are watching next. They point to the 7.2% jump in corn and the 6.7% rise in wheat as evidence that supply-chain fear is bleeding into grains too, even as natural gas crashes 9.5%. Specific numbers, one focused case: the mechanics of the Brent-WTI divergence and what it says about July 2026's commodity landscape.
#BrentCrude #WTICrude #StraitOfHormuz #GeopoliticalRisk #OilSpread #Commodities #CrudeOil #EnergyMarkets #Iran #USIranConflict #Corn #Wheat #NaturalGas #SupplyChain #Investing #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Economics
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In this episode of The Commodities Economy, Lucas and Luna break down copper's unexpected breakout to $6.28 per pound, while oil and gold drift amid mixed economic signals. They explore whether copper's rally signals genuine industrial demand or speculative froth, discuss the impact of U.S.-Iran tensions on energy markets, and examine why copper bull markets historically precede broader economic recoveries. The hosts also touch on the implications of sticky core inflation for the Federal Reserve's next move. If you want to understand why this red metal is suddenly the most interesting commodity on the board, this episode delivers the context you need.
#Copper #IndustrialMetals #Commodities #Oil #Gold #Inflation #FederalReserve #Geopolitics #SupplyChain #Economics #Business #Podcast #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #July2026 #MarketBreakout #IndustrialDemand #Metals
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In this episode of The Commodities Economy, Lucas and Luna unpack the widening gap between Brent and WTI crude oil, which has surged past $5 a barrel for the first time in years. They explain how the U.S. airstrikes against Iran after the Hormuz container ship attack are driving a wedge between global and domestic crude benchmarks. With Brent at $76 and WTI near $71, the spread reflects a market pricing in a real disruption risk to Middle East tanker routes. The hosts break down why this divergence matters for inflation, for energy stocks like Chevron and ConocoPhillips which are up 4-5% this week, and for the broader economic outlook heading into the second half of 2026. They also explore how the oil market is decoupling from other commodities — gold is flat, copper is up, natural gas is plunging — and what that tells us about where investors are placing their bets. A tight, data-driven look at one of the most underappreciated signals in the commodities complex.
#BrentCrude #WTICrude #OilSpread #GeopoliticalRisk #Hormuz #Iran #Commodities #Energy #Inflation #FOMC #Chevron #ConocoPhillips #XLE #NaturalGas #Copper #Gold #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast
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Lucas and Luna break down the widening spread between Brent crude and WTI crude oil in July 2026. With Brent at 76 dollars per barrel and WTI at 71, the gap has grown to nearly 5 dollars, the widest in over a year. They explore the geopolitical factors — including renewed US sanctions on Iran and the Trump administration's threats — as well as the structural dynamics of global oil flows. Lucas explains how the shift in OPEC+ quotas and the differential in quality and transport costs are amplifying the divergence. The conversation also touches on the impact on energy stocks like ConocoPhillips and Chevron, and what this means for the broader commodities market. A focused, data-driven look at why this spread matters.
#BrentCrude #WTICrude #OilSpread #Geopolitics #Commodities #CrudeOil #Energy #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Economics #OPEC #Sanctions #Trump #Iran #ConocoPhillips #Chevron #OilPrices #July2026
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The gap between Brent crude and West Texas Intermediate has blown out to over $4.50 a barrel as of July 11, 2026 — the widest in a year. Lucas and Luna break down why Brent is surging past WTI, examining the geopolitical premium from renewed U.S.-Iran hostilities, the structural divergence in global refining demand, and the surprising role of natural gas in reshaping crude flows. They also look at how this spread reverberates through gasoline prices, energy stocks like Chevron and ConocoPhillips, and the broader inflation picture. A focused, data-driven conversation about one of the most telling signals in energy markets right now.
#BrentCrude #WTICrude #OilMarkets #EnergyMarkets #GeopoliticalRisk #IranHostilities #OilSpread #Chevron #ConocoPhillips #NaturalGas #Inflation #CPI #EnergyStocks #XLE #XOP #Commodities #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast
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On this episode of The Commodities Economy, Lucas and Luna explore the bizarre divergence between wheat and natural gas. Wheat futures are up 5.5% in the last five days to over $6.39 per bushel, while natural gas has plunged 9.3% to under $3. Why is one soaring and the other cratering? We unpack the drivers: a heat wave scorching Europe's wheat belt, record Russian exports capping gas prices, and the role of the U.S.-Iran tensions in energy markets. Plus, we tie it to the broader economic picture — cooling inflation expectations and a potential Fed pivot. No prior episode has covered wheat and natural gas together, making this a fresh take on commodity divergence.
#Wheat #NaturalGas #Commodities #Agriculture #Energy #Inflation #HeatWave #Russia #Ukraine #Iran #Fed #CPI #Corn #Soybeans #Cotton #Business #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast
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Crude oil is bouncing back—Brent gained 5% in five days—but cotton is the real story. Up 8.8% in the same window, cotton futures hit 80.49 cents. Lucas and Luna unpack why textile demand is defying the broader economic slowdown, how the collapse in natural gas is reshaping cotton's cost structure, and why this rally looks different from the 2022 spike. Plus: a producer in Gujarat explains why acres are shifting from soybeans to cotton.
#Cotton #CrudeOil #BrentCrude #NaturalGas #Commodities #TextileDemand #SoftCommodities #CTF #BZF #NGF #SupplyChain #IndiaCotton #GlobalTrade #July2026 #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #CommoditiesEconomy
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