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The Fall of Aleppo: The Beginning of the End for Bashar al-Assad? A Geopolitical Analysis of the 2024 Northwestern Syria Offensive
In the aftermath of the stunning Fall of Aleppo (Syria's second most important urban center and formerly its most populous / economically vital city, prior to the initial onset of the conflict over a decade ago) and the ongoing success of the surprise Northwestern Syria Offensive led by HTS (Hayʼat Tahrir al-Sham, known formerly as the al-Nusra Front) and a motley coalition of rebel militia groups representing the Syrian Opposition, the question now on everyone's mind —Is this the beginning of the end for embattled Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and his secular, authoritarian Syrian Arab Republic?
Or... Will Russia, Iran, and the rest of his political allies from abroad be able to once again save him and his regime from a total collapse? And what is the strategic role and foreign policy priorities when it comes to Erdogan's Turkey and its particular concerns pertaining to the Syrian refugee crisis and the ever precarious Kurdish Question?
I discuss all these topics and provide further context to the rapidly evolving situation that has as of November 27th, 2024 (and continuing to the present) officially reignited the up until recently frozen conflict that is the Syrian Civil War which ever since 2011 has yet to be decisively settled in one way or another.
An updated description is coming shortly and also a second segment that will mainly analyze the (more) recent Fall of Hama, what we can expect to happen next, and as well as the broader consequences of the reignited hostilities in Syria is coming VERY soon!
Until then, please stay safe and stay tuned!
--
Recommended Resources:
• Read the New York Times article I referenced:
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/01/world/middleeast/syria-rebels-bashar-al-assad.html
• Syrian Civil War Live Map: https://syria.liveuamap.com/
• Watch the video version of this segment on YT:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=128rvL3yn4Q
• Other resources referenced will be added shortly!
--
Previous segments covering similar interrelated issues:
A Third Palestinian Intifada? | Hamas Launches MAJOR SUPRISE ATTACK (Operation al-Aqsa Flood), Israel Responds with DECLARATION of WAR! - October 2023:
https://getnuancednow.com/p/a-third-palestinian-intifada-hamas-092
The Russo-Ukrainian War as of October 2022 - Territorial Annexations and Tactical Nukes?! | Historical Context and Strategic Analysis of Putin's Byzantine Ambitions for a New Russian Empire:
https://getnuancednow.com/p/the-russo-ukrainian-war-as-of-october-1e7
A Neo-Ottoman Foreign Policy in Erdogan's Turkey? | Understanding the Geopolitical Situation in Northern Syria (and Ukraine) - JUNE 2022:
https://getnuancednow.com/p/a-neo-ottoman-foreign-policy-in-erdogans-e3d
Afghanistan on the Edge: Foreign Policy Analysis of America's Retreat from the Graveyard of Empires | JULY 2021 EDITION:
https://getnuancednow.com/p/afghanistan-on-the-edge-foreign-policy-e29
A Growing Rift Between Moscow and Damascus? | A Geopolitical Analysis of the Syrian Civil War - 2020:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vbC0Ct2E2h
--
CONNECT:
Substack Newsletter: http://www.GetNuancedNow.com/
Official Website: http://www.GetNuanced.com/
Tech Channel | http://youtube.com/TJCMN
Show Twitter | http://twitter.com/GetNuanced
Main Twitter | http://twitter.com/TJCM
Show Instagram | http://instagram.com/GetNuanced
Main Instagram | http://instagram.com/TJC
--
—Tom
View all episodes
By Thomas J. Ciotola
5
11 ratings
In the aftermath of the stunning Fall of Aleppo (Syria's second most important urban center and formerly its most populous / economically vital city, prior to the initial onset of the conflict over a decade ago) and the ongoing success of the surprise Northwestern Syria Offensive led by HTS (Hayʼat Tahrir al-Sham, known formerly as the al-Nusra Front) and a motley coalition of rebel militia groups representing the Syrian Opposition, the question now on everyone's mind —Is this the beginning of the end for embattled Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and his secular, authoritarian Syrian Arab Republic?
Or... Will Russia, Iran, and the rest of his political allies from abroad be able to once again save him and his regime from a total collapse? And what is the strategic role and foreign policy priorities when it comes to Erdogan's Turkey and its particular concerns pertaining to the Syrian refugee crisis and the ever precarious Kurdish Question?
I discuss all these topics and provide further context to the rapidly evolving situation that has as of November 27th, 2024 (and continuing to the present) officially reignited the up until recently frozen conflict that is the Syrian Civil War which ever since 2011 has yet to be decisively settled in one way or another.
An updated description is coming shortly and also a second segment that will mainly analyze the (more) recent Fall of Hama, what we can expect to happen next, and as well as the broader consequences of the reignited hostilities in Syria is coming VERY soon!
Until then, please stay safe and stay tuned!
--
Recommended Resources:
• Read the New York Times article I referenced:
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/01/world/middleeast/syria-rebels-bashar-al-assad.html
• Syrian Civil War Live Map: https://syria.liveuamap.com/
• Watch the video version of this segment on YT:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=128rvL3yn4Q
• Other resources referenced will be added shortly!
--
Previous segments covering similar interrelated issues:
A Third Palestinian Intifada? | Hamas Launches MAJOR SUPRISE ATTACK (Operation al-Aqsa Flood), Israel Responds with DECLARATION of WAR! - October 2023:
https://getnuancednow.com/p/a-third-palestinian-intifada-hamas-092
The Russo-Ukrainian War as of October 2022 - Territorial Annexations and Tactical Nukes?! | Historical Context and Strategic Analysis of Putin's Byzantine Ambitions for a New Russian Empire:
https://getnuancednow.com/p/the-russo-ukrainian-war-as-of-october-1e7
A Neo-Ottoman Foreign Policy in Erdogan's Turkey? | Understanding the Geopolitical Situation in Northern Syria (and Ukraine) - JUNE 2022:
https://getnuancednow.com/p/a-neo-ottoman-foreign-policy-in-erdogans-e3d
Afghanistan on the Edge: Foreign Policy Analysis of America's Retreat from the Graveyard of Empires | JULY 2021 EDITION:
https://getnuancednow.com/p/afghanistan-on-the-edge-foreign-policy-e29
A Growing Rift Between Moscow and Damascus? | A Geopolitical Analysis of the Syrian Civil War - 2020:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vbC0Ct2E2h
--
CONNECT:
Substack Newsletter: http://www.GetNuancedNow.com/
Official Website: http://www.GetNuanced.com/
Tech Channel | http://youtube.com/TJCMN
Show Twitter | http://twitter.com/GetNuanced
Main Twitter | http://twitter.com/TJCM
Show Instagram | http://instagram.com/GetNuanced
Main Instagram | http://instagram.com/TJC
--
—Tom