
Sign up to save your podcasts
Or


Collin Wilson, senior writer at The Action Network, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. After describing how he left software consulting for college football media, Collin talks about how his college football ratings work. Then he discusses a number of college football bowl games, including Alabama vs Cincinnati, Georgia vs Michigan and Arkansas vs Penn State. Finally, Collin gives three bets with value.
Parker Fleming, a football analyst that goes by @statsowar on Twitter, joins the show for a wide ranging discussion. He describes how his predictive college football model works, and what his predictions say about the college football playoff semi-final games: Michigan vs Georgia and Alabama vs Cincinnati. Then Parker talks about two other bowl games with value. Finally, he provides details about Gary Patterson's departure from TCU.
Kevin Cole, Senior Data Scientist at PFF, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. We start with a discussion of New England's strategy against Buffalo to end week 13. Then Kevin describes his new NFL model for predicting spreads and the metrics that go into this model. This leads him into a bet he likes for week 14. Kevin also describes his NFL QB rankings based on Bayesian updating. During the conversation, Kevin also provides his insights on Baker Mayfield, home field advantage, the Cardinals, the Rams and Jalen Hurts.
Mike Craig, a professional sports bettor, joins the show to talk about his trade. He describes how he makes college football predictions based on data, and he gives predictions for Alabama vs Georgia, Michigan vs Iowa and other games. Then he talks about how he bets the NFL without coming up with his own math model. Finally, Mike talks about college basketball betting and how he manages the immense number of games.
Neil Greenberg, sports writer for the Washington Post, joins the show to talk about NFL analytics and betting. After describing the unique way in which his job at the Post was created, Neil describes the statistics he uses to understand the NFL. Then he gives two week 11 games he has bet and discusses Buffalo, San Francisco, Indianapolis and Philadelphia among other teams.
Tony Miller, Director of the Sportsbook at the Golden Nugget, joins the show to talk about bookmaking. He starts with some great stories of meeting Dean Martin and Frank Sinatra when he started working in the industry in the 1980's. Tony then describes setting the line at the Golden Nugget, and how this involves pencil and paper power ratings across all sports. He talks about two NFL games in which his spread differs from market consensus. Finally, Tony gives two other NFL games with value.
Edward Egros, a professor at SMU and Pepperdine, joins the show to talk about predictive football analytics. He describes how his model works for college football and the NFL but why betting the two levels of football is much different. Edward reacts to the first college football playoff rankings before giving a bet he likes. For the NFL, he discusses Packers at Chiefs and the impact of the absence of Aaron Rodgers. Edward also talks about Titans at Rams and an NFL bet he likes.
Andy Molitor, co-host of the Deep Dive Podcast and Director of Content at Betsperts, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. He talks about his NFL model and a week 8 bet he likes. During the conversation, he discusses Kansas City, Arizona and Dallas among other teams. At the end, the conversation shifts to brown liquor, Steinbeck and food.
Bob Stoll, a long time pioneer in the use of analytics for football betting, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. He discusses the details of his college football and NFL models and how they differ due to data availability. Then Bob gives a bet he likes for both college football and the NFL. Throughout the conversation, he talks about player statistics and how to make adjustments for injuries.
George Chahrouri, CXO at Pro Football Focus (PFF), joins the show for a wide ranging conversation on NFL analytics and betting. He talks about going from teaching calculus in Compton to working on football analytics at PFF. George works on the production team for Sunday Night Football on NBC, and he describes the challenges of explaining analytics to the football public. Then he gets into Week 6 of the 2021 season: Chargers at Ravens, Cardinals at Browns and Bengals at Lions.
From the publisher's feed

393 Listeners