Stateful

The Future of Onchain Capital Markets


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Mason Nystrom sits down with Austin Adams (Doppler Protocol) to explore why token launches are broken, how traditional IPOs died, and what onchain capital markets can fix.

The problem: 20% of all token launches in 2025 traded below their issue price. Traditional IPOs now happen at terminal valuations—OpenAI and SpaceX go public where they used to peak. Amazon IPO'd under $1B and went up 1000x in public markets. Apple went public in their second year. That doesn't happen anymore.

Key Topics:

• Why token launches fail: extractive pricing, poor liquidity, delayed price discovery

• The death of the IPO: companies now go public at $1T+ instead of early-stage

• How Circle's IPO popped 40%+ due to 3-month-old pricing (Genius Act repriced everything)

• One size fits none: why custom capital markets beat cookie-cutter token launchers

• Bundling price discovery with liquidity: the only way to prevent chart disasters

• Why coding stops being the moat (AI can write Solidity/Rust, but can't generate novel ideas)

• Ethereum vs Solana: go where the users are, the chain doesn't matter

• The future: solo unicorns and micro-companies with tokenized equity

The views expressed in the podcast are those of the individual personnel quoted and are not the views of Pantera Capital Partners LP or its affiliates ("Pantera"). The podcast is provided for informational purposes only to provide market commentary and for general educational purposes, and should not be relied upon as legal, business, investment, or tax advice. The podcast is not directed at nor intended for use by any investors or prospective investors and may not under any circumstances be relied upon when making a decision to invest. Please see additional important disclosures related to the content discussed in the podcast here.

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StatefulBy Pantera Capital