Our intelligence team unpacks the strategic signals behind US–Iran military dynamics and what a failed attack near Niger’s capital means for regional risk.

This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers worsening fuel shortages and nationwide blackouts in Cuba, the first US–Russia–Ukraine trilateral talks since 2022, a disrupted Islamic State-linked plot in Azerbaijan, heightened US–Iran tensions following a major carrier deployment, escalating conflict risks in South Sudan, and new Nipah virus screening measures affecting travel across Asia-Pacific.

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This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers devastating wildfires in Chile, Russia’s energy strikes on Ukraine amid diplomatic manoeuvring, major shifts in northeast Syria, continued unrest in Iran alongside a strengthened US military posture, deadly flooding across southern Africa, an ISKP attack targeting Chinese nationals in Kabul, and heightened insurgent threats in southern Thailand ahead of elections.

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Following Uganda’s general election, concerns are mounting over violence, protests and the integrity of the vote. Joshua George outlines the latest developments and the risks ahead.

This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers US policy constraints on Venezuela, renewed protest risks in Bolivia, Russia’s missile strikes and energy attacks on Ukraine, uncertainty around the Gaza peace process, rising tensions between the US and Iran, election-related unrest in Uganda and Myanmar, and coordinated insurgent attacks in Thailand’s Deep South.

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This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers the US operation that captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, nationwide fuel protests in Bolivia, sabotage of power infrastructure in Germany, new security guarantees proposed for Ukraine, shifting alliances in Yemen, widespread unrest in Iran, election-related crackdowns in Uganda, and a surge in Chinese cyberattacks targeting Taiwan.

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This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers escalating violence in Guatemala, election-related unrest risks in Honduras, and the United States’ de facto blockade on Venezuelan oil exports. We also assess disrupted terror plots in Europe, Ukraine peace talks, mass protests in Romania, an ISIS attack on US personnel in Syria, renewed fighting between Thailand and Cambodia, and a deadly terrorist attack in Australia.

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This week’s briefing covers new US entry-screening proposals, increased US military pressure on Venezuela, mass farmers’ protests in Greece, the latest Ukraine peace negotiations, the STC’s major advances in Yemen, the attempted coup in Benin, and the AFC/M23 offensive near Uvira in the DRC. In Asia-Pacific, we assess the renewed border conflict between Thailand and Cambodia.

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Two major protests swept Mexico in November - one in response to political violence, the other driven by security and economic concerns. Intelligence Analyst Manfredi Pozzoli breaks down the causes and what might come next.

This week’s briefing covers Honduras’s disputed election, a US ultimatum to Venezuela, major protests in Bulgaria, Russia’s advances in Ukraine, ceasefire violations in the DRC, and Tanzania’s planned 9 December “mega-protest”. In Asia-Pacific, we examine failed Afghanistan–Pakistan peace talks, Sri Lanka’s deadly flooding and severe regional storms across Southeast Asia.

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