Unfiltered Media

The Great Ad Tech Squeeze: Platforms dominate tech, kickbacks and consolidation


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In this episode of Unfiltered, Justin Lebbon and Ian Whittaker examine whether ad tech is facing its reckoning. From a finance lens, Ian explains why the market has turned skeptical on the sector — and why the biggest platforms, not the independent DSPs, increasingly hold the power.

  • The Trade Desk's fall: Decent Q1 numbers, yet the stock is down ~70% over the period — a story of collapsing multiples, perceived risk, and doubts about future growth.
  • Platforms own the pipes: Amazon and Google are taking DSP share while smaller players get squeezed; a handful of companies control up to 90% of new media spend.
  • The Standard Oil parallel: Ian argues dominance comes not from sheer size but from controlling the choke points — just as Rockefeller controlled the route to market via railroad deals.
  • Differentiation survives: Players with proprietary data and strong client relationships can defend value; commodity middlemen sitting in the gap are most at risk.
  • Agencies move back in: As TV money shifts online, proprietary trading and rebates prop up agency margins — but the deeper problem is that media buying and planning is now priced as a commodity.
  • AI as the efficiency tool: It has the potential to overturn ad tech economics, driving fewer steps, lower cost and pressure on fees.
  • What premium publishers must do: Simplify processes, push money toward working media, and build or white-label their own controlled solutions to protect CPMs.
Key takeaways
  • The Trade Desk's ~70% share-price decline is driven less by weak numbers than by collapsing multiples, higher perceived risk, and lost faith in future growth.
  • Amazon and Google are taking DSP share and squeezing smaller players, who lack the scale and balance sheets to compete.
  • Ad tech's power dynamic mirrors Standard Oil: control of the choke points, not sheer size, is what matters.
  • Ad tech players with proprietary data or strong client relationships can defend their value; commodity middlemen are most exposed to consolidation.
  • Agency margins increasingly rely on proprietary trading and rebates because core media buying and planning is now priced as a commodity.
  • Premium publishers should simplify their processes and build or white-label controlled solutions to keep money flowing to working media and protect CPMs.
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Unfiltered MediaBy Justin Lebbon & Ian Whittaker