Pending home sales just printed one of the weakest June readings on record, and that’s not just a scary headline, it’s a 30 to 60 day signal for where closings may be headed next. We talk through why housing has felt stuck for the last four years, why “waiting for a snapback” can be a losing strategy, and what it means when the market flirts with recessionary-level transaction volume even while prices refuse to fall in a clean, satisfying way.
Then we get practical about what’s happening inside real transactions: fallout. We’re seeing more deals die in due diligence, often not because of one fatal issue, but because feelings change when the inspection report hits, the full monthly payment sinks in, and new numbers show up like insurance quotes, HOA dues, and property tax expectations. We share how we position this with clients ahead of time so they’re not blindsided by the emotional crash after the initial “we got the house” high.
We also dig into why affordability is so hard to “fix” with existing home supply alone, why prices are sticky on the way down, and how the lock-in effect keeps would-be sellers parked in place. Finally, we look at first-time homebuyers, why many stay on the sidelines, and why in some markets renting can still look cheaper than buying, especially for condos once dues are counted.
If you’re a loan originator, real estate agent, or housing nerd trying to make sense of 2026 housing trends, mortgage rates, and buyer psychology, this one’s for you. Subscribe, share it with a partner, and leave a review, then tell us: what’s driving fallout most in your market right now?
The Ground Game is independently produced and is not an official publication of Highland Mortgage. The views and opinions expressed are those of the individual speakers and do not necessarily represent those of BoxCar Mortgage, LLC or Highland Mortgage.
This podcast is provided for general informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended to constitute financial, legal, tax, or lending advice and should not be relied upon as a commitment to lend, an offer of credit, or a guarantee of loan approval or loan terms. Mortgage programs, guidelines, interest rates, terms, and availability are subject to change without notice. All loans are subject to borrower qualification, credit approval, income and asset verification, property evaluation, and applicable underwriting requirements. Listeners should consult qualified professionals regarding their individual circumstances.
Mark Milam, CEO/Mortgage Banker | NMLS# 35163
Bryan Lovell, VP of Sales/Mortgage Banker | NMLS# 321330
BoxCar Mortgage, LLC dba Highland Mortgage | NMLS# 1969375
Equal Housing Lender | nmlsconsumeraccess.org