Good morning. Hawaii. I'm Michael Mosby.

Right now, it's 75 degrees and overcast statewide. The trades are hanging on, keeping things relatively dry. But that changes fast.

A monster kona storm is spinning up northwest of the islands. We're talking central pressure near 990 millibars, winds over 100 knots aloft. This thing is going to flip our entire weather pattern starting Tuesday.

Today stays calm. Oahu sees mostly sunny skies with a high near 81 degrees. Light east-southeast winds and just isolated showers. Tonight drops to 72 with haze. Over on the Big Island, expect scattered showers today with a high near 76. You've got a 60 percent chance of rain, especially along windward slopes. Tonight stays around 65 with those showers continuing. Maui gets the driest conditions — mostly sunny with haze, topping out at 82 degrees. Tonight dips to 66 with just isolated showers possible.

But Tuesday night is when things get serious. Deep tropical moisture surges northward. Oahu and Kauai face the first wave — frequent showers and thunderstorms with rainfall rates that could produce flash flooding. Some storms may dump three-quarters to one inch of rain in a short window.

By Wednesday, the entire state gets hammered. Here comes 1 to 2 inches of rain on Oahu, with thunderstorms capable of producing heavy downpours. This pattern locks in through the weekend — southerly winds gusting to 40 miles an hour, relentless rain. And a serious flash flood threat statewide.

A Flood Watch is already in effect for Kauai starting Tuesday morning and Oahu by Tuesday evening.

Charge your phones and fill up the gas tank before tonight.

See you this afternoon.

Good afternoon. Hawaii. I'm Matt Mullins.

Step outside right now and you'll feel 75 degrees wrapping around you like a warm hug. Mainly clear skies across the islands. But a monster storm is spinning near the International Date Line. And it's about to crash our party midweek.

Today? Trade winds keep things classic. Oahu sits at 82 degrees with scattered showers this morning — about a 30 percent shot. East winds gusting to 22 miles an hour. Tonight cools to 72 with those showers sticking around.

The Big Island gets the cloudiest conditions. High of 76 with rain showers likely throughout the day. Southeast winds stay gentle, barely reaching 8 miles an hour. Tonight drops to 65 with a 60 percent chance of showers continuing.

Maui steals the show today. Mostly sunny with isolated showers before noon, then hitting 83 degrees. East northeast winds gusting to 25. Tonight cools to 65 under mostly cloudy skies.

Now here's where things get serious. That low pressure system I mentioned? It's bringing dangerous impacts starting Tuesday. We're talking 4 to 12 inches of rain through Saturday — some spots could see more. Flooding becomes a real threat by midweek as the ground saturates. Southerly winds strengthen to damaging levels Friday through Sunday, with gusts potentially strong enough to snap branches and knock out power. Strong thunderstorms will pack dangerous lightning and damaging winds.

Big Island summits? Snow and ice with strong winds will close observatory access.

This is a multi-day severe weather event. Clear your storm drains today. Secure loose outdoor items. Stock up on essentials now.

See you this evening.

Good morning. Hawaii. I'm Michael Nally.

Step outside and you'll feel those classic trade winds, steady at 13 miles an hour. It's 75 degrees statewide with scattered showers drifting through before sunrise.

Here's your day. Oahu gets partly sunny skies with scattered showers wrapping up by mid-morning. You'll hit 82 degrees by noon. East winds gust to 22 miles an hour — enough to mess with your beach umbrella. Tonight drops to 72 degrees with more showers overnight.

The Big Island sees cloudier conditions. Showers likely through the day, especially on windward slopes. Highs reach 76 degrees. Light southwest winds shift southeast by late morning. Tonight stays cloudy around 65 degrees with a 60 percent chance of showers.

Maui gets the best deal today. Isolated showers taper off by noon, then mostly sunny skies take over. Highs hit 83 degrees. East-northeast winds blow 9 to 18 miles an hour, gusting to 65 miles an hour. Tonight cools to 65 degrees with isolated showers possible.

Now here's the big story. A powerful low pressure system is deepening near the International Dateline right now. By Tuesday, dangerous weather moves in statewide. Heavy rain. Flooding potential. Strong thunderstorms. Gusty southerly winds reaching 35 miles an hour or more.

This isn't your typical passing shower pattern. This system parks over the islands and lingers through the weekend. Flooding becomes increasingly likely as soils saturate and streams rise. Big Island summits could even see snow and ice.

Monday stays quiet with lighter winds and scattered showers. But Tuesday through next weekend? Expect periods of heavy rain, embedded thunderstorms. And strong south winds.

Monitor forecasts closely as this develops.

See you this afternoon.

Good evening. Hawaii. I'm Michael Nally.

You know that feeling when you step outside and the air is so thick with moisture you can almost *taste* the rain coming? That’s the story today. We’re sitting at 83 degrees right now—balmy, yes—but there’s a tropical moisture surge building just offshore. And it’s about to make its move.

**Here’s the breakdown.**

**Oahu** starts sunny but don’t be fooled—those trade winds at 16 miles an hour are pushing clouds in fast. By tonight, scattered showers roll through, dropping temps to 73. Tomorrow? More of the same: highs near 82, but with a a chance those showers linger like an uninvited guest at brunch.

**The Big Island** is already feeling it. Hilo’s windward side sees scattered showers this afternoon, while Kona stays drier—but only for now. Tonight, rain chances jump to as temps dip to 66. By Sunday, that tropical moisture really digs in, keeping highs in the mid-70s under mostly cloudy skies.

**Maui?** Well. Maui’s playing hard to get today. Sunny and 83 degrees now, with those signature trade winds howling at 18 miles an hour. But tonight, isolated showers creep in after midnight. By Tuesday, though, the floodgates open—heavy rain and even thunderstorms become likely as that moisture plume parks itself over the islands.

**The bigger picture?** This isn’t just a passing shower. A deep upper-level trough is spinning up northwest of the state. And by Monday, it starts pulling that tropical moisture northward like a magnet. We’re talking *days* of heavy rain, possible flooding. And even strong southerly winds that could gust over 20 miles an hour midweek. The National Weather Service is already warning about flash flood potential—especially on windward slopes where rain could train over the same areas for hours.

In **looking ahead, **

In **sunday, ** Scattered showers statewide, but still warm—highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. In **monday-tuesday, ** Rain becomes widespread. Heavy downpours and thunderstorms possible, especially Oahu westward. In **wednesday-friday, ** The trough stalls. Expect *persistent* heavy rain, strong winds. And flooding concerns. This isn’t a quick hit—it’s a slow-moving, soaking system. **Spring equinox is just 13 days away**, but don’t pack away the rain gear yet. This week, the umbrella is your best friend.

In **final thought, ** If you’ve got outdoor plans, *today’s* your day. Tomorrow, the weather turns messy—and by midweek, it turns downright dramatic. Clear those storm drains, secure loose items. And keep an eye on updates. This system has the potential to bring some of the heaviest rain we’ve seen in weeks.

See you tomorrow.

Good morning. Hawaii. I'm Aaron Jolly.

Trade winds are doing their thing today. Classic Hawaii weather — partly cloudy skies, scattered showers drifting through windward areas. Nothing dramatic, just those brief passing showers that favor the mountains overnight and into early morning.

Oahu wakes up at 72 degrees, climbing to 81 by midday. Scattered showers through the afternoon, mostly cloudy conditions. East winds pick up, gusting to 20 miles an hour. Tonight drops back to 72 with showers tapering off before midnight.

The Big Island starts cooler at 66 degrees, rising to 77 this afternoon. Scattered showers continue through the day and into tonight — about a coin flip on rain after dark. Southwest winds stay light around 6 to 8 miles an hour.

Maui gets the sunniest deal today. Low of 67 degrees, high near 83. Mostly sunny skies with east northeast winds ramping up, gusting to 28 miles an hour by afternoon. Tonight stays partly cloudy around 67 degrees.

The weekend stays pleasant. Mostly sunny skies Saturday and Sunday. Trade winds continue through Sunday night. But here's where things shift.

Monday brings a major pattern change. Winds flip southerly as a powerful cutoff low approaches from the northwest. That system draws deep tropical moisture northward, setting up several days of unsettled weather.

From Monday night into Tuesday, expect strong southerly winds, heavy rainfall. And thunderstorms. Some storms could produce damaging winds, lightning. And flash flooding. The threat spreads statewide Wednesday through Friday. High summits on Mauna Kea and Mauna Loa could see snow and ice above 12,000 feet.

Prepare now for significant impacts next week. Multiple days of heavy rain, strong winds. And severe weather potential statewide.

See you tomorrow.

For the extended outlook, check the latest forecast See you tomorrow.

Good afternoon. Hawaii. I'm Aaron Jolly.

Step outside right now and you'll feel exactly why people move here. Trade winds out of the east, sunshine breaking through those puffy clouds. And 83 degrees of pure perfection. This is postcard weather.

In the next 24 hours. Oahu tops out at 81 degrees this afternoon. Mostly sunny with just a slight chance of an isolated shower — nothing to worry about. Winds stay gentle around 10 miles an hour. Tonight drops to 72 degrees under partly cloudy skies.

Over on the Big Island, you're sitting at 78 degrees with isolated showers possible. Tonight's when things get a bit wetter — scattered showers develop after sunset with about a 40 percent chance. Low near 66 degrees.

Maui takes the crown today. High near 83 degrees with mostly sunny skies and barely a cloud to complain about. Tonight stays comfortable at 67 degrees.

Friday looks nearly identical. Scattered showers tick up slightly across Oahu and the Big Island, but we're still talking upper 70s to low 80s. Maui stays mostly sunny.

The weekend is gorgeous — mostly sunny Saturday and Sunday with highs in the low 80s. Trade winds ease slightly but stick around. Because Monday night everything flips. Winds shift southerly, deep tropical moisture rolls in. And a cold front approaches from the northwest. Tuesday through Wednesday brings occasional to heavy showers with an 80 percent chance on Oahu. The Big Island and Maui see scattered showers but lower chances. This could linger into the following week with flash flooding becoming a real concern.

We'll keep you updated as that system gets closer.

For the extended outlook, check the latest forecast as confidence improves.

That's your forecast — we'll be back tomorrow.

Good morning. Hawaii. I'm Aaron Jolly.

Step outside right now and you're greeted by 74 degrees and clear skies. The kind of gentle morning that makes you remember why you live here. But don't get too comfortable — that easterly breeze is already stirring. And it's about to flex a little muscle.

In the next 24 hours. Oahu climbs to 81 degrees today under mostly sunny skies. There's a slight chance of an isolated shower sneaking through, mainly along those windward slopes. Tonight settles to 72 under partly cloudy skies.

The Big Island starts cooler at 67 degrees. Scattered showers are likely early this morning, especially around 5 A.M. When rain chances peak. The day clears to mostly sunny with a high of 78. Another round of showers moves through tonight with a low of 66.

Maui wins the warmth contest today. 83 degrees under mostly sunny skies. But here's the catch — that easterly wind gets gusty, reaching 29 miles an hour by late morning. Hold onto your hats.

Tonight's full moon rises around sunset. If those clouds cooperate, it'll be a beautiful sight.

Friday keeps the trade wind pattern rolling. Oahu and Maui both hit 81 to 83 degrees with more clouds building in. Scattered showers become more widespread, especially by afternoon. The weekend looks drier and pleasant with mostly sunny skies both days. Highs hold in the low 80s.

But here's what's worth watching. A shift arrives early next week. Southerly winds pull deep tropical moisture northward. By Tuesday and Wednesday, rain chances jump significantly. Could be a wetter pattern settling in for midweek.

If you found this helpful, a quick rating really does help us out.

Enjoy the breezy sunshine. For the extended outlook, check the latest forecast as confidence improves.

That's your forecast — we'll be back tomorrow.

Good evening. Hawaii. I'm Aaron Jolly.

Step outside and you feel it immediately. That thick blanket of cloud is trapping the heat. We're sitting at 79 degrees right now. And the overnight low only dipped to a balmy 75.

In the next 24 hours. It's a tale of three islands today. Maui hit the sunshine lottery. You're looking at clear skies and a high of 84 degrees. Perfect beach weather if you ask me.

Oahu, you're caught in the middle. Scattered showers linger through this evening before tapering off. Expect more sun breaks with a high near 82. Just watch those east winds gusting to 23 miles an hour. They will find every gap in your umbrella.

The Big Island catches the brunt of the moisture. A 70 percent chance of rain tonight, especially along those southeast-facing slopes. Highs reach 78 today with scattered showers continuing through midday Thursday.

Keep your eyes on the sky tonight. A full moon is rising. We saw sunrise at 6:50 this morning. And sunset is at 6:38 this evening. We're gaining over a minute of daylight every day now. Spring equinox is just two weeks away.

Looking ahead, the pattern stays relatively quiet through the weekend. Highs hold steady in the low 80s for Oahu and Maui. And the upper 70s for the Big Island. But next week brings a shift. Deep tropical moisture moves in Tuesday into Wednesday. Rain chances jump to 80 percent for some areas. We could see heavy rain and thunderstorms by midweek.

A quick note for the boaters. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for waters around Maui and the Big Island through Thursday evening. If you're heading out, check the conditions first.

For the extended outlook, check the latest forecast as confidence improves.

Take care

That's your forecast — we'll be back tomorrow.

Good morning. Hawaii. I'm Aaron Jolly.

Step outside and you might think the thermometer is stuck. We held at 75 degrees all night long. That was your low. That was your high. It's just remarkably steady out there.

In the next 24 hours. Trade winds are running the show today, but each island is getting a different experience.

Let's hop over to Maui. You've got the ticket today. Highs climb to 83 degrees under partly sunny skies. East winds are gentle, right around 14 miles an hour. It cools down to a comfortable 66 tonight.

Over on Oahu, keep an eye on the sky this morning. Isolated showers linger before noon, but then the sun breaks through. You'll hit 81 degrees. Just watch for those gusty easterly winds. They could hit 28 miles an hour at times. Tonight, you stay warm with a low of 73.

The Big Island sees the most active weather. Expect scattered showers under mostly cloudy skies with a high near 78. Southeast winds stay lighter, just 6 to 12 miles an hour. Tonight dips to 67.

Look up tonight if you can. We've a full moon rising. It should be incredible if the clouds cooperate.

Thursday looks drier everywhere. Maui hits 84 degrees. Oahu and the Big Island clear out nicely by midday, reaching 82 and 78 respectively.

The pattern holds through the weekend. Trade winds ease up slightly and shift southeast. You'll see those typical afternoon showers along the windward slopes. Then early next week, a front approaches from the northwest. That brings wetter weather and gusty southerly winds by Tuesday.

We're gaining over a minute of daylight every single day. The spring equinox is just two weeks away. The light is returning, folks.

For the extended outlook, check the latest forecast as confidence improves.

That's your forecast — we'll be back tomorrow.

Good morning. Hawaii. I'm Aaron Jolly.

That high pressure system parked north of us? It's squeezing the atmosphere like a tube of toothpaste. And the trade winds are what's coming out. Expect breezy easterlies gusting to 25 miles an hour on Oahu. Maui gets it even stronger at 28.

In the next 24 hours. Now the Big Island is telling a different story today. A weak upper level disturbance is draped overhead, keeping skies cloudy with showers likely through midday. Highs top out around 78 degrees. Hop over to Oahu and you're looking at partly sunny skies and 81. Maui wins the thermometer contest at 82 with just some haze floating around.

Tonight the Big Island stays damp. Lows settle near 67 degrees. Oahu holds warmer at 73 under cloudy skies. Maui matches the Big Island at 67.

Quick note on something that matters. A Coastal Flood Statement runs through Wednesday morning. Peak monthly high tides plus elevated water levels mean minor flooding in low lying coastal areas during the early morning hours. Don't drive through flooded roads. Just don't.

Wednesday plays a similar tune. Moderate trades, scattered morning showers. But then things get interesting. Thursday into the weekend, winds ease and shift east southeast. Translation? Sunshine takes over with highs in the low 80s across most islands. The Big Island stays a touch cooler in the upper 70s. A possible cold front lurks early next week, but that's still fuzzy.

One more thing worth stepping outside for tonight. Full moon rising over the Pacific. We're gaining over a minute of daylight each day now, with the spring equinox just two weeks out. You can feel the season turning.

Charge your phone, check the tide charts if you're near the coast. And enjoy that moonrise tonight.

For the extended outlook, check the latest forecast as confidence improves.

That's your forecast — we'll be back tomorrow.