This source examines deduction, induction, and abduction, the fundamental methods of human reasoning, highlighting both their strengths and inherent weaknesses. It argues that in the modern information landscape, these flawed tools are exacerbated by social media and echo chambers, leading to overconfidence in incorrect conclusions. The author uses analogies to illustrate the limitations of each reasoning type and suggests that a crucial aspect of sound reasoning is recognising these limitations with both confidence and humility. Ultimately, the text posits that reason is not a guarantee of truth but rather a fallible wager we must continue to make.https://philosophics.blog/2025/04/19/the-dubious-art-of-reasoning-why-thinking-is-harder-than-it-looks/